LA returns home Thursday up 2-0 in the NLCS over Milwaukee. SBR's Shane Jackson offers his best player prop bets for Game 3 of Brewers vs Dodgers:
Tyler Glasnow Under 1.5 earned runs allowed (+110 via bet365)
"Los Angeles starter Tyler Glasnow spun six shutout innings in his last start during the NLDS against the Philadelphia Phillies. This comes after he allowed one run or fewer in three of his final four starts of the regular season, indicating he’s found a rhythm after a rocky start to the campaign.
The reason why I like this Under so much is that there are two paths to getting this ticket home. Glasnow can either shove again for the second straight playoff start, or Dave Roberts can make an early call to the bullpen after getting 17 innings from Snell and Yamamoto in the first two games of the series.
Milwaukee has been held to two runs through two games, making this plus-money price that much more appealing."
Tyler Glasnow Over 15.5 pitching outs (-112 via Caesars)
"Okay, I know what I said above about Roberts being more willing to call on a rested bullpen. However, he’d certainly prefer to get as many outs as possible from his starter, as evidenced by how he’s handled the staff this postseason.
A Dodgers starter has pitched at least six innings in seven of the eight playoff games this year. The one time they didn’t was during their lone loss, as Yamamoto lasted four innings in a game Los Angeles eventually punted. Los Angeles' starters have averaged a little over 6.5 innings per outing this postseason.
With that in mind, I have no choice but to take this Over at -112 for Glasnow to record one out in the sixth."
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+250 via BetMGM)
"The Dodgers are only starting Glasnow in Game 3 because they want to get Shohei Ohtani’s bat going this postseason. He has five hits, six RBIs, and two home runs in eight games during this playoff run.
Both of Ohtani’s homers came in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card, meaning he’s gone seven games without going yard. That would match his third-longest drought (his longest is 10 games) of the year, suggesting he’s more than due on a day with favorable power conditions."
Tyler Glasnow Under 1.5 earned runs allowed (+110 via bet365)
"Los Angeles starter Tyler Glasnow spun six shutout innings in his last start during the NLDS against the Philadelphia Phillies. This comes after he allowed one run or fewer in three of his final four starts of the regular season, indicating he’s found a rhythm after a rocky start to the campaign.
The reason why I like this Under so much is that there are two paths to getting this ticket home. Glasnow can either shove again for the second straight playoff start, or Dave Roberts can make an early call to the bullpen after getting 17 innings from Snell and Yamamoto in the first two games of the series.
Milwaukee has been held to two runs through two games, making this plus-money price that much more appealing."
Tyler Glasnow Over 15.5 pitching outs (-112 via Caesars)
"Okay, I know what I said above about Roberts being more willing to call on a rested bullpen. However, he’d certainly prefer to get as many outs as possible from his starter, as evidenced by how he’s handled the staff this postseason.
A Dodgers starter has pitched at least six innings in seven of the eight playoff games this year. The one time they didn’t was during their lone loss, as Yamamoto lasted four innings in a game Los Angeles eventually punted. Los Angeles' starters have averaged a little over 6.5 innings per outing this postseason.
With that in mind, I have no choice but to take this Over at -112 for Glasnow to record one out in the sixth."
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+250 via BetMGM)
"The Dodgers are only starting Glasnow in Game 3 because they want to get Shohei Ohtani’s bat going this postseason. He has five hits, six RBIs, and two home runs in eight games during this playoff run.
Both of Ohtani’s homers came in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card, meaning he’s gone seven games without going yard. That would match his third-longest drought (his longest is 10 games) of the year, suggesting he’s more than due on a day with favorable power conditions."