joes are blasting away on the Bombers today-yet I have Schmidt as #15 and Rodriguez as #4. As far as the Rays being the CRUMBS POD I have Pepiot as #5 and facing Bryce Wilson who is listed by me as DNS and ranked #22 out of the 24 pitchers for today. C'mon man....
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Also I see the Rays as a favorite on DraftKings so I am adding on
Rot.#917 Rays-1.5 +160 RL 2 UNITSComment -
95-88-4 +37.39 UNITS
I snapped up some positions for tomorrow early. I will be chasing K's with Simeon Woods-Richardson tomorrow as well. Webb is #3 and facing Criswell who I have at #17. Ordinarily I would trot out Freddy Peralta, and not think twice about it. I have him shelved for a bit to work out the kinks-Devers is not a good option for over 1.5 bases vs Webb, so I will end up taking Juan Soto over 1.5 bases just so that I don't end up with a gaping hole on my roster.
Rot.#969 Giants-123 Webb#3 2 UNITS
Rot.#973 Nats+145 Gore#10
Rot.#959 Bombers-114 Cortes, Jr.#9 2 UNITS
Rot.#979 Buccos-127 Keller#14
Rot.#961 Royals/Jays UNDER 4 FF -107 Ragans#2/Berrios#5
Rot.#977 Braves/Sailors UNDER 4 FF -117 Lopez#6/Castillo#4
Rot.#963 Simeon Woods-Richardson (Twins)OVER 4.5 K's +112
Rot.#982 Tigers-118 Flaherty#8 GAME ONE
Rot.#959 Juan Soto (Bombers) OVER 1.5 BASES +108 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 04-30-24, 09:09 AM.Comment -
Those who want to spice things up a bit may want to look to taking the FF OVER for the Brews/Rays as I have Tyler Alexander as a DNS and something is wrong with Freddy PeraltaLast edited by atthehalf; 04-30-24, 05:45 AM.Comment -
Only waiting on Simeon and Soto's individual performance offerings. Everything else has been updatedComment -
First parlay of the season here...a 4 way all RL. Trust me- I NEVER parlay so expect this one to lose
Giants-1.5 +130/Buccos-1.5 +130/Fish-1.5 +160/Bombers-1.5 +137
RISKING 1 UNIT TO WIN 5.57 UNITS
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Ok the big board has been filled in completely with the Soto bases and Simeon's K'sComment -
I wouldn't make a move on the Fish in this platform for a few choice reasons and also because simply their bullpen absolutely sucks. In order for them to beat a team they have to score a bunch of runs and be way ahead. I took a flyer on them for the parlay and that's about it. Sixto Sanchez can either be good or extremely bad given the day. his ERA is blown out of proportion however at 10 plus because he had 2.2 innings that didn't go too well for him. But hey he averages 96 plus on his 4 seamer-which he should throw more than he does. For some odd reason his go to pitch is his slider (38%). He throws his 4 seamer 30% and his changeup 29%, and sinker 3% and cutter 1%. For him to climb the charts that 4 seamer use should go up replacing some of those change ups and sliders. His cutter is mid level and needs work. That's what the off season is for-and he apparently just cruises around the Dominican Island in a car that no one else there can afford looking for girls instead of putting in the work. I have him listed as a DNS to be sure as a result...Comment -
In other news I dropped Seth Lugo (Royals) and grabbed Ranger Suarez (Blunts), I also sold Alec Bohm (Blunts)Comment -
98-95-4 +33.57 UNITS
Here's what I am doing tomorrow-one I already made a move on with Imanga#3 facing Butto#16. The Giants are scrambling to try and find a spot starter for Wednesday which won't work out too well for them vs my #9 starter. It may be Jefferies#28. I will more than likely go higher units on the Sox. I will fill in the blanks of the numbers that I get once available and tidy up my record after I go around .500 this evening
Rot.#905 Cubs-115 Imanga#3 2 UNITS
Rot.#925 Blunts-1.5 -113 RL Wheeler#1
Rot.#914 Orioles-1.5 +135 RL Burnes#2
Rot.#923 Braves-1.5 +100 RL Sale#6
Rot.#917 Rays-118 Eflin#7 3 UNITS
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Snakes UNDER 4.5 -110 FF Yamamoto#4/Gallen#8
Rot.#919 Cardinals/Tigers OVER 4.5 -115 FF Mikolas#20/Maeda#19
Rot.#930 Wanderers-1.5 +128 RL Heaney#14
Rot.#928 Red Sox-110 Crawford#9 2 UNITS
Rot.#925 Alec Bohm (Blunts) OVER 1.5 BASES -105
Last edited by atthehalf; 05-01-24, 09:00 AM.Comment -
Ah..Simeon is being a little too cute here in the 4th!Comment -
And...just like that he got pulled! Egads!Comment -
Damn these prices
Wheeler-180
Burnes-160
Sale-175
Heaney-160
There's no way that I am gonna play the ML with those prices for my arms today. I am all about value and cost efficiency. I am on the RL with those guys and I will live with the lumps.
Webb cost me much more in my league than he did in this format yesterday, and the vice versa I got oodles of value with Flaherty who pitched a gem before the Tigers bullpen let it get away. In spite of that i am keeping Webb and hanging on dearly. Also I am still gonna use a bat when Freddy Peralta's turn comes again-there's no telling if he will have a suspension after plunking and ultimately causing the brawl between the Rays and Brews last night. He looked every part of the #1 status that I had for him. I decided to go with Eflin and the ML as it is bite sized enough for me to chew. I have him at #7 and Colin Rea at #18-therefore there will be 3 units at risk
Anyway the big board has been set with the exception of the Dodgers/Snakes UNDER FF which his understandably delayed after the late night bee colony debacle. I can't wait to see Yamamoto and Gallen go against one another this eveningComment -
The offering for the Dodgers/Snakes FF is 4.5 and priced at -110. This has been updated on the big boardComment -
With a brisk 7.6 k's per game over his 6 starts I am also going to grab Zack Wheelers K's today once the number is available as long as it's 6 or underComment -
Oh damn-I got a ping by my league-I have to find a bat today to replace Seth Lugo! I may elect to go with Acuna since he is facing a middling pitcher who may be a cherry bomb candidate since the Sailors have already secured a series win vs the Braves...or Bohm (Blunts)I will announce the bat later onComment -
Zach Wheeler's K's were listed at 7.5 so I am gonna pass on that
I did make a move on
Rot.#925 Alec Bohm (Blunts) OVER 1.5 BASES -105Comment -
101-102-4 +29.3 UNITS
Rough week so far in this format taking some bullpen losses and errors and so forth. The only thing keeping me from getting demolished is money management. Yesterday for instance I went 3-7 -0.3 UNITS because I refuse to pay high juice to chase a win. I would rather take the RL and the plus money than to go down in flames with just one unit than to be losing some of those -180 moves.
Enough about that. today I have Harrison#6 and the Giants facing the Red Sox with Winckowski(#11) who is a cherry bomb if there ever was one. Also how is a pitcher underrated? By having a 0-3 record and a 10.97 ERA based on a few bad innings. Such is the case with Arrighetti as I actually have him ranked #3 today over Logan Allen#9. And get this-the Guardians have the best record in MLB and are facing the Astronauts with a 10-20 record as an underdog. What more do you want? the Astronauts hit .438 off of this guy and he has a 7.71 ERA in his last start..
I do have Eovaldi (Wanderers) rostered up for today as my #1 for those interested, however I am not rolling him out in this format due to the juice
ROT.#959 Giants+100 Harrison 5 UNITS
Rot.#958 Astronauts-1.5 +150 RL Arrighetti 3 UNITS
Rot.#958 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 -110 3 UNITS
Rot.#959 Giants+100/OVER 9.5 +100 2 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT TO WIN 4.1 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 05-02-24, 01:54 PM.Comment -
I must be missing something in how you calculate your units. I have you losing 4.87 units yesterday, not the .3 units you’ve come up with. I also have you losing 10.19 units the day before, which is way more than your calculations. What am I missing?Comment -
Rot.#959 Giants+100/OVER 9.5 +100 2 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT TO WIN 4.1 UNITSComment -
Yesterday
7 losses for -7.3 UNITS
3 wins for +5 UNITS
-2.3 UNITS
PREVIOUS day
6 LOSES -10.05
3 WINS +4 UNITS
-6.05 UNITSLast edited by atthehalf; 05-02-24, 10:58 AM.Comment -
I did make an error about yesterdays recording in the paragraph at 0.3 instead of -2.3 in the description but I am at +31.54 UNITSComment -
Of course I’m counting wins again losses. How does 7 losses equate to -7.3 when you lost 3.54 units on the Rays game by itself? And there were other losses that were more than 1 unit.Comment -
Ok I will give you that-mere oversight on that one however
Rot.#905 Cubs-115 Imanga#3 2 UNITS WIN +2.0
Rot.#925 Blunts-1.5 -113 RL Wheeler#1 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#914 Orioles-1.5 +135 RL Burnes#2 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#923 Braves-1.5 +100 RL Sale#6 WIN+1.0
Rot.#917 Rays-118 Eflin#7 3 UNITS LOSS -3.54
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Snakes UNDER 4.5 -110 FF Yamamoto#4/Gallen#8 LOSS-1.0
Rot.#919 Cardinals/Tigers OVER 4.5 -115 FF Mikolas#20/Maeda#19 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#930 Wanderers-1.5 +128 RL Heaney#14 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#928 Red Sox-110 Crawford#9 2 UNITS WIN +2.0
Rot.#925 Alec Bohm (Blunts) OVER 1.5 BASES -105 LOSS -1.0
3-7-0 -4.54 UNITS
So where are the other losses of more than one unit you are speaking about? I don't see any. That's a -2.24 UNIT difference which I will take off. No prob. I am keeping records here and in my leagueComment -
Ok so the -2.24 units have been deducted. I just checked up and down the threads-I don't see any threads for maizey anywhere so that I also drop by and see how you're doing as well. You're more than welcome to put yourself out there for scrutiny and praise.
Nothing between you and starting a thread but space and opportunity. It's wide open.Comment -
So we're about 30 games into the season and now it's time to look at the offenses for landmines and puddles. The list that I have compiled is one that i will be using going forward. I'm sure it will change through the year and there are differences to be made about teams vs left or right handed pitching; but it works as a general table that y'all should keep in mind. I am going to start exchanging arms for bats as a result of my findings and little less reliance on just the arms now to stay ahead of the game in my fantasy league
Top Offenses (I will more than likely change for a bat when these teams are up against my arms and elect not make a move against these)
Braves
Orioles
@Red Sox (meaning Fenway Park factor)
Astronauts
Dodgers
Bombers
Wanderers
Solid Offenses
Snakes
Cubs
@Red Leggins (Park Factor)
Guardians
Royals
Blunts
Fathers
Average Offenses
@Rox (My how things have changed-Park factor)
Brews
Twins
Metropolitans
Jays
Weak Offenses
Red Sox (on road)
Red Leggins (On road)
Halos
Buccos
Sailors
Cardinals
Nats (However very good vs left ANYWHERE)
Poor Offenses
Pale Hose
Rox (on road)
Tigers
Fish ( I will be using Arraez as a bat tho)
Athletics
Giants
Rays (this one makes no sense with their lineup)
So with this being my rankings going forward there will be less moves each day on sides to be sure. Not many 10 bet daysComment -
104-103-4 +40.67 UNITS
George Kirby#3 and Ronel Blanco will be in play on my roster but not in this format facing one another tomorrow. Aces are gonna ace-and they have been brilliant-but those offenses are decent as hell-so live with the results and don't pull them from your lineups.
I have made 2 moves already for Friday with the Red Sox and one that needs explanation. The Metropolitans and Quintana are underdogs to the Rays who do not have hot bats whatsoever. So although I have Civale ranked slightly higher than Quintana I see the Metropolitan bats squeaking this one out late in the game when the relievers come in.
The rest of my arms are priced out of my comfort range so I am going to go RL when those are available
Corbin is giving up a average of .388 over 80 at bats vs Jays hitters. Yep sounds good to me
Rot.#906 Nola (Blunts) OVER 6.5 K's +106 vs POOR OFFENSE
Rot.#928 Gray (Cardinals) OVER 6 K'S +100 vs POOR OFFENSE
Rot.#923 Jays-1.5 RL Kikuchi#7 vs Corbin DNS+ WEAK OFFENSE
Rot.#923 Jays Team Total OVER 5.5 +106 vs CORBIN (.388 AVG OVER 80 AT BATS)
Rot.#919 Red Sox+110 Houck#8 vs Paddack DNS+ AVERAGE OFFENSE
Rot.#925 Metropolitans+118 Quintana#12 + AVERAGE OFFENSE vs Civale#10 + WEAK OFFENSE CRUMBS POD
Rot.#922 Red Leggins Team Total OVER 4.5 +102 2 UNITS
Rot.#922 Red Leggins-1.5 +175 RL Greene
Last edited by atthehalf; 05-03-24, 10:27 AM.Comment -
Hoping the Cardinals RL is plus money. The problem is the Cardinals aren't very productive either and I need Gray to be sharp and give me a good WHIP and some K'sComment -
First, as I mentioned in your thread earlier when I commended your baseball knowledge and wished you luck, I can no longer beat baseball. I don't cap it anymore, so you won't see me originate any picks. I spot play a few weather related overnights, but that's it.
Second, this isn't about you having a losing spell. I never bash anybody for losing, never ever.
I call people out for one or more of the following (moderators at some forums do this, but most forums don't):
1. Unattainable lines -- yours look fine, so no issue there
2. Posting after games start -- you post way in advance, so no issue there
3. Inaccurate record keeping
So it's the record keeping that I'm taking issue with, not winning or losing. Honest mistakes are made. Everybody makes them. Maybe that's all it is. It just struck me as odd how little your total units went down when it looked like there were a couple of bad days. That's why I looked a little more carefully. So back to that
Rot.#925 Blunts-1.5 -113 RL Wheeler#1 LOSS -1.0
Why is that not a loss of 1.13 (same with the two losing FF)? That's where I see more than 1 unit losses.
Also, you were right about the previous day losing 6+ units, but you went from +37.39 to +33.57, which is only 3.82 units.Comment -
Fine, I'll drop it. I thought you would want to correct things so your record was accurate. I was wrong. My apologies. I will stay out of your thread.Comment -
As stated with my rankings for bats the margins will get shorter and the moves will be fewer.
Priced at -120 for a runline I am gracefully gonna pass on Sonny Gray and use him strictly in my fantasy league. the Cards don't have enough offense to support this investment in this platform. Hicks is sick against the Blunts with a sterling .100 bat vs pitch so no go there as well. the Guardians Bibbee is fine where he is and keep him on roster no matter what. However there is a pitch change under way for the Halos and I don't think that Soriano will see the bump as a result.
With the Buccos Martinez is also a good look in the fantasy platform even if the Rox hit .400 off of him-this is not the platform for him however and keep him on roster for K's as he has 10-1 ratio for that vs the Rox. El Paso.
That narrows things down to about 3 moves so far for tomorrow. As stated with the inclusion of my bat rankings things will be shortening from here on inComment
