Oh okay...so the Men Wearing Orange totally messed with the matchups with last minute changes and now Lyles is facing Eovaldi...that's not what I intended to spend my money on. I wanted Winckowski vs Lyles...
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Looking ahead to tomorrow I am filling purchase orders for Roansy Contreras (Coffee Cakes) as he faces the Fathers. The Fathers haven't fared well against righties this year and oddly enough Contreras is on less than 20% of rosters in leagues; making him the streaming POD. I hope that his command is a bit better and his debut's erratic nature was just the product of nerves. Let's just say that in a perfect world he comes out there and shuts down the Fathers and I start making plans to cash out immediately.
Jose Berrios (Jays) is the Great Undulater. Keep starting the man, even if it's against the tough Halo's offense. I am going to buck my trend of taking an OVER when two of my top tier offensive 7 face one another. I've been slightly overrating the Jays offense in the opening weeks of the year which makes a date with the Jays a little easier for Patrick Sandoval (Halos).
Triston McKenzie is back on Sunday. Don't overthink this. Just start the man.
Despite facing the Bombers, it's hard to argue against Shane McClanahan (Rays) coming in #2 in my rankings. He's been Money McShane all year. On the other side is Severino (Bombers); who hasn't been a locked in as I want him to be, but began earning whiffs with his slider last start, and could have found a new gear.I'm letting him loose everywhere.
No brainer Corbin Burnes (Brews) slides in at #1Comment -
ADDED MOVE
Rot.#911 Blunts-105 ML FF EflinComment -
I have Zach Eflin ranked slightly higher than Tijuan Walker and he has a better offense to back him as wellComment -
LOSS Rot.#914 Fathers-0.5 -150 RL FF Musgrove (#1)
WIN Rot.#905 Fish-114 ML FF Alcantara (#3)
WIN Rot.#921 Guardians/Tigers UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Bieber(#6)/Faedo (POD)
WIN Rot.#928 Halos-115 RL FF Lorenzen (#10)
LOSS Rot.#907 Giants-0.5 -130 RL FF Wood (#7)
LOSS Rot.#929 Astronauts/Sailors UNDER 4 -115 FF Urquidy (#8)/Gilbert (#9)
WIN Rot.#901 Brews/Cardinals OVER 4.5 -105 Houser (DNS)/Leberator (DNS)
PUSH Rot.#925 Men Wearing Orange/Red Sox OVER 5-120 FF Winckowski (DNS)/Reyes (DNS) Game 2
LOSS Rot.#911 Blunts-105 ML FF Eflin
4-4-1 on thoseComment -
Time to open up the grill hood today! Gonna smoke a 4.2 lbs beef ribeye roast; some sockeye salmon, 2 whole chickens, and some zucchini, corn and bell peppers for friends and family. And there's beer. 9.5% ABV Golden Monkey Beer and some Unholy 9.2% ABV.
What a great time to be alive!
Ok so here goes what you really want
Rot.#957 Brews-135 ML FF Burnes (#1)
Rot.#969 Bombers/Rays UNDER 3.5 -125 FF Severino (#6)/McClanahan (#2)
Rot.#963 Blunts/Metropolitans UNDER 4 -120 FF Wheeler (#3)/Bassitt (#8)
Rot.#956 Braves -0.5 -140 RL FF Fried (#4)
Rot.#980 Pale Hose-165 ML FF Cease (#5)
Rot.#975 Jays/Halos UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Berrios (#7)/Sandoval (#10)
Rot.#967 Guardians-165 ML FF McKenzie (#9)
Rot.#961 Coffee Cakes+0.5 +115 RL FF Contreras PODComment -
I will be along to tighten up the Braves and Coffee Cakes FF RL information when it becomes availableComment -
Coffee Cakes and Braves RL prices have been posted on the big boardComment -
Should Contreras pull this off today I am cashing out that $2300 gain immediately. No one has him in the universe except me!He is on LESS than 20% of the rosters (14%). His line went even higher after the Coffee Cakes beat the Fathers last night!
I am no fool however-I did roster up with MacKenzie Gore too as he's been dealt a matchup against the Coffee Cakes and things should go well in his favor. This is MLB and anything can happen. The payout kind of sucks for this arbitrage move with is side of the matter-I just don't like to take a complete loss whenever I can manage not to do so. I learned this quite a long time ago. Fool me once shame on you; fool me twice-shame on me.Comment -
Also only strictly in my fantasy leagues-I took the Dodgers offense against Zach Davies who I have ranked dead last todayComment -
Bad break for Triston McKenzie with 5 innings 6 K's and 1 BB and 1 run in this format. Elvin Rodriguez only went 4 innings with 4 k's 0 BB's and 0 BB's making for the win for Triston in fantasy and a loss in this format.Comment -
Oh wow! So we smoked that 4.2 lbs brisket from 9 to 3:30 PM EST and yes now we decided to put it in the crockpot until 8:30 PM EST or so...there has never been a better time to be aliveComment -
C'mon Contreras! You got this!Comment -
Wow...Contreras gives up the 2 run dinger with 2 out in the bottom of the 5th! OuchComment -
WIN Rot.#957 Brews-135 ML FF Burnes (#1)
WIN Rot.#969 Bombers/Rays UNDER 3.5 -125 FF Severino (#6)/McClanahan (#2)
PUSH Rot.#963 Blunts/Metropolitans UNDER 4 -120 FF Wheeler (#3)/Bassitt (#8)
WIN Rot.#956 Braves -0.5 -140 RL FF Fried (#4)
PUSH Rot.#980 Pale Hose-165 ML FF Cease (#5)
LOSS Rot.#975 Jays/Halos UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Berrios (#7)/Sandoval (#10)
LOSS Rot.#967 Guardians-165 ML FF McKenzie (#9)
LOSS Rot.#961 Coffee Cakes+0.5 +115 RL FF Contreras POD
3-3-2 on those
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There are still some beers left in the fridge!
As far as my rankings for today-they are sparse. A lot of teams are starting AAA farmhands and some preferred under situations are in over parks; and some over situations are in under parks. Scheduled starters have been dismissed today so those that I ranked will probably be going tomorrow or Wednesday.
My number one Walker Buehler is out of the purchase point that I look for so I am rolling with him in fantasy only. The same for Framber Valdez as well.
Anyway here it is
Rot.#914 Snakes-110 ML FF Gallen (#2)
Rot.#905 Giants-115 ML FF Webb (#3)
Rot.#925 Rays-145 ML FF Rasmussen (#5)
Rot.#903 Fathers-110 ML FF Martinez (#7)Comment -
Nick Martinez with the 5 innings of work and 2 K's and 2 BB and more runs to cross the plate. Demotion is forthcoming to the second tier. I only started him in two leagues yet this is still not what I expected out of him against a pitcher in Naughton who everyone on this side of the universe knew wouldn't make it through the first five frames.Comment -
I did squeak in a K chase with Spencer Strider (Braves) for today
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The only thing is it must be a 2-1 ratio for K's to walks. Those guys in that league are scrupulous and are magnifying glass types with thick bifocals.Comment -
I have my top tier top ten together for tomorrow already and my POD will be slightly outside of the top tier in my search for value. My streaming pick of the day will be Devin Smeltzer. Devin is fresh off a strong seven inning performance and the Tigers are a solid team to stream against. Don't expect much for the long haul from Devin, yet and still this could work. he faces DNS arm Rony Garcia which the Twins should have good success against.
I am excited to watch the Gausman (#1)/Giolito 9#3) matchup tomorrow. As a result I am going to have to go with the UNDER FF on that one. the same could be said about one of my fantasy All Stars Frankie Montas (#4) vs Christian Javier(#6) which will also result in a move for the UNDER FF.
I will catch fire for this one as Michael Wacha (Red Sox)(DNS)will be favored over Castillo (Red Leggins)(#11) no doubt and that my friends will be a complete mistake by the line makers for the FF. The problem with this is Joey Votto and Wacha's penchant for giving up walks. expect to see the entire betting world on the Sox and I will be one of the few who goes with the Red Leggins. I my mind I can hear my Gramps voice saying "Your habits will fail you or carry you"Comment -
WIN Rot.#914 Snakes-110 ML FF Gallen (#2)
LOSS Rot.#905 Giants-115 ML FF Webb (#3)
LOSS Rot.#925 Rays-145 ML FF Rasmussen (#5)
LOSS Rot.#903 Fathers-110 ML FF Martinez (#7)
1-3-0 on thoseComment -
Remember to stream Smeltzer (Twins) in your leagues-that is the POD for today. After a few days of back and forth looks like some good matchups today and I am excited to see some good returns out of my top tier in my leagues and in this format
Rot.#961 Braves-155 ML FF Morton (#10)
Rot.#973 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 4 -105 FF Gausman(#1)/Giolito (#3)
Rot.#979 Astronauts/A's UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Montas (#4)/Javier (#6)
Rot.#957 Brews-125 ML FF Lauer (#5)
Rot.#978 Wanderers-120 ML FF Perez (#7)
Rot.#965 Twins-135 ML FF Smeltzer POD
Rot.#953 Nationals/Metropolitans OVER 5 -105 Corbin (DNS)/Williams (DNS)
Rot.#981 Red Leggins+0.5 -130 RL FF Castillo (#11)Comment -
I will tighten up the big board once the Braves and Red Leggins RL's are availableComment -
I changed my mind and went with the Braves-155 ML MortonComment -
Ok so Red Leggins+0.5 -130 RL FF CastilloComment -
Not spectacular for Smeltzer with 5 frames and 2 Ks and no BB's an done earned-I will take it all the way to the piggy bank for the POD cashing on a ll formats including this oneComment -
My reluctant POD streaming pick of the day tomorrow will be Dakota Hudson (Cardinals); who is a coin flip to me against the fathers. The Fathers haven't done well against righties this year and hopefully Hudson generates enough outs in the field with that wonderful Red Birds defense backing him to make this worthwhile.
I know, Carlos Rodon hasn't been great across his last 3 starts, yet here is at #2 for me again of Wednesday. I don't think his stuff has dramatically dipped during his performance valley and considering many in my top tier have their own warts/poor matchups recently, I'm going to still lean on Rodon and his talent. Facing Aaron Nola (#4) and the Blunts I am going to elect to go with the under FF to pair them up in this format.Comment -
WIN Rot.#961 Braves-155 ML FF Morton (#10)
LOSS Rot.#973 Pale Hose/Jays UNDER 4 -105 FF Gausman(#1)/Giolito (#3)
WIN Rot.#979 Astronauts/A's UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Montas (#4)/Javier (#6)
PUSH Rot.#957 Brews-125 ML FF Lauer (#5)
WIN Rot.#978 Wanderers-120 ML FF Perez (#7)
WIN Rot.#965 Twins-135 ML FF Smeltzer POD
WIN Rot.#953 Nationals/Metropolitans OVER 5 -105 Corbin (DNS)/Williams (DNS)
WIN Rot.#981 Red Leggins+0.5 -130 RL FF Castillo (#11)
6-1-1 on thoseComment -
I had a chance to think about it overnight and given the strength of the Blunts offense which is in my top 7 and the recent struggles of Rodon combined also with the fact that the Giants will have some carryover effect from last night. I have them ranked a a solid offense too. This leads to an over situation and that's how I will buck my own trend for that affair in this format.
Also I am utilizing my own creation from some years ago today in a pure sense -the Shutout System and rolling with the Rays. Springs isn't a DNS. He is in my second tier; ranked #11 right behind Carlos Carrasco and Jon Gray (Wanderers) is ranked at #15. It's a chance that I am willing to take.
Speaking of Carrasco-he broke into my top tier top ten today and based upon what I am seeing with the ML juice I will opt for the RL along with Cortes, Jr, and your favorite and mine Verlander .
I'm ready-you're ready. Play ball!
Rot.#917 Astronauts-0.5 -145 RL FF Verlander (#1)
Rot.#909 Giants/Blunts OVER 4 -115 FF Rodon (#2)/Nola (#4)
Rot.#921 Sailors-135 ML FF Ray (#3)
Rot.#920 Bombers-0.5 -130 RL FF Cortes, Jr (#5)
Rot.#903 Fathers/Cardinals UNDER 4 -105 Darvish (#6)/Hudson POD
Rot.#907 Braves-151 ML FF Wright (#7)
Rot.#925 Tigers/Twins UNDER 3.5 +100 FF Skubal (#8)/Ober (#9)
Rot.#902 Metropolitans-0.5 -155 RL FF Carrasco (#10)
Rot.#915 Royals/Guardians OVER 4.5 -115 Keller (DNS)/Pilkington (DNS)
Rot.#927 Rays-121 ML FF Springs (PURE SHUTOUT (A))Comment -
I will come along and tidy up the big board with the Bombers, Astronauts, and Metropolitans RL's as soon as I make those movesComment -
Ok RL FF information for Astronauts, Bombers and Metroploitans has been added to the big boardComment -
WIN Rot.#903 Fathers/Cardinals UNDER 4 -105 Darvish (#6)/Hudson PODComment -
For tomorrow; would you look at that, Sandy Alcantara takes the top spot for me. It's hard to deny the man after tossing 3 straight games of 8+ inning ball, fresh off a 14 K game. Wow! What a dude.
Rounding out my top tier are Alek Manoah and Ohtani. Spoiler alert! That means you start them and don't think about it! I'm also letting Alex Wood loose against the Fish even as bad as his 2022 has been so far. I dig the fact that he's at 92.8 mph with his sinker and his slider is still a solid offering. this should play out in his favor.
All of that leads to my POD for tomorrow Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals) who gets a middle ground offense to face in the Cubs and Keegan Thompson is a gas can next to a BBQ pit.
Load up managers and put this one on your rosters and yes you have permission to go after K'sComment -
2 innings in and Verlander already with 3 K's! If you had him on your rosters I hope that you started him and chased K's!Comment -
Oh my goodness! Ober got lit up in the bottom of the 5th to snatch back the money! Rodon and Nola were cruising through the FF frames and then a 9 run explosion in the 6th which was one frame too late for this platform. I sort of knew that would happen-just bad timing and some collateral damage. No sweat. Those were some bad beats!Comment
