All set. I streamed POD Silseth (LAA) in all four leagues along with Skubal and Ray and two leaguers on the rest of the top tier top 10
-
Comment -
Looking ahead to tomorrow it's Rodon Day. I have him ranked at #1 right ahead of Verlander (#2) Manoah comes in at #3 followed in order by Woodruff and Musgrove in order to round out my top 5 of my top tier. Will have to utilize the RL with Verlander. Good thing the Astronauts are one of my top 7 offenses vs Jon Gray my 21st ranked armComment -
Also I am adding in
Rot.#916 Rays/Orioles OVER 4.5 FF Beeks/WellsComment -
Damn... the Braves and the Fish already went over the total in the 2nd inning! Well at least it wasn't a nail biter lossComment -
Clear cases of a loss in a straight in this format for the FF moves and huge fantasy league wins and all that one could hope for with
Lauer 5 innings 4K's and 0 walks
Skubal 5 innings 5 k's and 0 walks;Comment -
Silseth with 4 K through 1 2/3rds innings! I can just taste those streamer winningsComment -
Up and down day yesterday in this format-a robust day in fantasy leagues with some awesome performances by my top tier top 10's. There were some push moves-that's something that you cannot get by making moves on a full event
PUSH Rot.#919 Tigers-115 ML FF Skubal (#1)/Civale (DNS)
LOSS Rot.#921 Sailors-105 ML FF Ray (#2)/Wacha (DNS)
POSTPONED Rot.#918 Bombers-0.5 -140 RL FF Cortes, Jr (#5)/Keuchel (DNS)
LOSS Rot.#910 Brews-0.5 30 RL FF Lauer (#4)/Fedde (DNS)
LOSS Rot.#905 Braves/Fish UNDER 3.5 +100 FF Morton (#5)/Rogers (#8)
LOSS Rot.#907 Dodgers/Blunts OVER 4.5 FF Urias (#6)/Suarez (DNS) and Shutout (A)
PUSH Rot.#913 Fathers-105 ML FF Manaea (#7)/Junis (#12)
WIN Rot.#903 Cardinals-150 ML FF Wainwright (#9)/Thompson (DNS)
WIN Rot.#930 Jays-0.5 -119 RL FF Ryu (#10)/Castillo (#17)
LOSS Rot.#928 Halos-0.5 -119 RL FF Silseth (POD)/Blackburn (#15)
WIN Rot.#923 Twins/Royals OVER 4.5 +100 Smeltzer (DNS)/Lynch (DNS)
LOSS Rot.#916 Rays/Orioles OVER 4.5 FF Beeks/Wells
3-6-2 on thoseComment -
Back again at it this wonderful overcast day here in Tampa and waiting on the rain.
For my top tier top 10's I am electing to go with 3 as my fantasy streamers with Verlander, Manoah, Woodruff and Cortes, Jr. (the latter isn't in the top tier today as his event was postponed and i performed my rankings early yesterday.
The switch from Peterson and Gomber seems to be under way and it looks as if the pitching changes will lead to a bullpen game in Coors.
Rot.#953 Fathers/Giants UNDER 3.5 -125 FF Rodon (#1)/Musgrove (#5)
Rot.#977 A's+0.5 -125 RL FF Montas (#8)
Rot.#969 Guardians/Tigers UNDER 4 +100 FF Faedo (POD)/Bieber (#6)
Rot.#957 Braves-145 ML FF Wright (#7)
Rot.#975 Twins-145 ML FF Ryan (#10)
Rot.#964 Metropolitans/Rox OVER 5.5 -120 FF Williams(DNS)/Blach (DNS)
EXOTICS
A's+127 ML/Orioles+119 ML 2 WAY PARLAY FULL GAMEComment -
When it comes to making moves on parlays-don't do them often. The straight move is the pro's bread and butter. Welp..today is one of those days.
It's best to parlay with inner division teams and in those cases almost certainly always take the underdogs.
What I look for is a significant line movement erasing some of the crumbs of the underdog coupled with a rise of the total or a frozen total.
Such is the case today with the Orioles going from +139 to +119 as a dog to the Rays with only 13% of the cash on their side and the total has stayed frozen at 8.5 with 78% of the cash on the under; and on the other coast the A's went from +157 to +127 with 19% of the cash on their side and the total remains at 7.5 with 80% of the cash on the over
Ok so what I am doing is combining
A's+127 ML/ Orioles +119 ML FULL GAME 2 WAY PARLAYComment -
The three things that the line makers don't account for properly are motivation, situation and familiarity. that's why when you parlay you should always go with inner division underdogs with good numbers that reflect that they aren't outclassed. That's in any sport..NFL, NCAA FBALL, NBA, MLB, etcComment -
Trevor Williams has a road ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.50.
Ty Blach (the Preacher) has been honing his craft and working his way back to the bigs. His fourseam fastball has heavy sinking action, has essentially average velo and has slight armside run. His change dives down out of the zone and results in more flyballs compared to other pitchers' changeups. His slider has less than expected depth, has primarily 12-6 movement and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sliders. His sinker has surprisingly little armside run, results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers, has slightly above average velo and has some natural sinking action. His curve is slightly harder than usual.
All of this leads to
Rot.#964 Metropolitans/Rox OVER 5.5 -120 FF Williams/BlachComment -
Ok so the Men Wearing Orange disappointed me somewhat. This is why I don't parlay much if at allComment -
Sunday is always a major streaming day and while there aren't a ton of locked moves , the offerings that I have should help you all out
Load up on Wade Miley (Cubs) overnight. if you've got him on your rosters-start him-he will be the POD facing the weak hitting Snakes. He should be a very popular pickup for tomorrow. He dominated against the Coffee Cakes with cutters inside to righties, changeups away, and good fastballs. The Snakes aren't much different making for what I expect to be a good time.
Merrill Kelly also gets love in the top tier despite his recent struggles against top teams. he's rostered across leagues and now faces the Cubs. you're starting him
As a side note-Connor Overton and Johnny Cueto have each performed well lately, but their matchups are tough. Don't do thisComment -
WIN Rot.#953 Fathers/Giants UNDER 3.5 -125 FF Rodon (#1)/Musgrove (#5)
LOSS Rot.#977 A's+0.5 -125 RL FF Montas (#8)
POSTPONED Rot.#969 Guardians/Tigers UNDER 4 +100 FF Faedo (POD)/Bieber (#6)
WIN Rot.#957 Braves-145 ML FF Wright (#7)
WIN Rot.#975 Twins-145 ML FF Ryan (#10)
WIN Rot.#964 Metropolitans/Rox OVER 5.5 -120 FF Williams(DNS)/Blach (DNS)
EXOTICS
LOSS A's+127 ML/Orioles+119 ML 2 WAY PARLAY FULL GAME
4-2-0 on thoseComment -
Holy smokes! Most of what I wanted to make a move on had chalk to high for me to roll with in this format-so I placed my rostered streamers in the leagues I like only.
So in order for the information to help out here are the rankings; my moves on this format will be in the next post
#1 Alcantara (Fish) In play
#2 Peralta (Brews) Too much juice
#3 Sandoval (Halos) Too much juice
#4 Severino (Bombers) Too much juice
#5 Kelly (Snakes) Paired with my POD for an UNDER FF
#6 Eovaldi (Red Sox) In play
#7 Bieber (Guardians) I had McKenzie rostered for today and a postponement happened
#8 Taillon (bombers)
#9 Kikuchi (Jays)
#10 Matz (Cardinals
#11 Eflin (Blunts)
Ok so Kikuchi is on a fantastic 3 start run now and gets the lowly Red Leggins bats in Toronto-you have to let him roll here.
With Eovaldi-he's still a good play vs Sailors. he had a start where things didn't go his way; don't overthink it. And Trevor Story is hot as fish grease right now
Steve Matz has had his fair share of bumps in the road-but the Coffee Cakes make way for what should be a smooth Sunday afternoon.
Okay Gonsolin isn't impressing me enough with his slider to warrant a second tier move against the Blunts; though he could earn a win on the back of the Dodgers offense and some well placed splitters. So the ranking of Eflin at #11 isn't an indictment against the Dodgers at all-it's purely my rankings at workComment -
Rot.#906 Fish-125 ML FF Alcantara
Rot.#909 Snakes/Cubs UNDER 3.5 +105 FF Kelly/Miley (POD)
Rot.#918 Red Sox-130 ML FF Eovaldi
Rot.#901 Cardinals-0.5 -120 RL FF Matz
Rot.#911 Metropolitans/Rox OVER 6 -115 FF Walker/Gomber
Rot.#919 Tigers/Guardians UNDER 3.5 -110 Faedo/BieberComment -
Bryse Wilson (Coffee Cakes) is a DNS which is why it was easier to back Matz and the best defense in the bigsComment -
Just some thoughts on the data mining performed..
It's been a tough road for Alex Wood of the G-Men thus far, though I very much believe in the skill set with a HARDER fastball from last year and a slider that looks to match its dominant self from last year. Sadly he gets the Fathers, who can make southpaws struggle on the bump. I think that he can pull it off, but it could be tricky. I have him on my rosters and can't wait to see him on the board -145 or more which would be a tell tale sign that he will be facing overmatched bats. It's coming. patience is a virtue. Keep him even if you aren't starting him because he is an ace up your sleeve
I'm excited to see bailey Ober of the twins return frm the injured list; who fanned 7 with no walks in his 5.0 rehab start. I generally follow the rules of first starts off the injured list for a guy like Ober; and I recognize that he may be ready against a weak Royals offense; however rules are rules and I will wait it out until his next start and keep him on my deep rostersComment -
Yesterday's POD got postponed-I still have faith in both of the starters to get the job done early so adding on in
Rot.#919 Tigers/Guardians UNDER 3.5 -110 Faedo/BieberComment -
Somebody please call the authorities. The Matz and Cardinals are assaulting the Coffee Cakes in ways unimaginable.Comment -
PUSH Rot.#906 Fish-125 ML FF Alcantara
WIN Rot.#909 Snakes/Cubs UNDER 3.5 +105 FF Kelly/Miley (POD)
WIN Rot.#918 Red Sox-130 ML FF Eovaldi
WIN Rot.#901 Cardinals-0.5 -120 RL FF Matz
LOSS Rot.#911 Metropolitans/Rox OVER 6 -115 FF Walker/Gomber
LOSS Rot.#919 Tigers/Guardians UNDER 3.5 -110 Faedo/Bieber
3-2-1 on thoseComment -
Alcantara performed like a true top tier number 1 today going 9 innings with 7 k's and 2 BB's; padding the wallet along the way. He gave me a PUSH in this format giving up the run in the top of the 5th-no sweat however. He kept the lights on!Comment -
The Great Undulater Berrios (#3) returned the favor last week and may be on the path to redemption against the Cardinals. trust the history of Berrios and start him...
Zach Greinke (#10) faces the Snakes-his K's won't be much, but he should help with ERA and WHIP
I demoted Miles Mikolas (#13) out of the top tier top 10 because of the level of the lineup he is facing.
Luis Garcia (#4) and Gerritt Cole (#1) will only be moving and shaking in my fantasy leagues today and not in this format
Two DNS starters facing one anther in the launching pad in Cincy? OVER she blows
Let's get down to it
Rot.#957 Blunts-135 NL FF Wheeler (#2)
Rot.#971 Jays+100 ML FF Berrios (#3)
Rot.#970 Sailors-150 ML FF Gonzales (#6)
Rot.#962 Giants-145 ML FF Cobb (#7)
Rot.#951 Rox+110 ML FF Kuhl (#8) POD
Rot.#973 Royals-110 ML FF Greinke (#10)
Rot.#953 Cubs/Red Leggins OVER 5 -10 FF Smyly (DNS)/Gutierrez (DNS)
Rot.#967 Guardians+0.5 +100 RL FF McKenzie
Good luck today and alwaysComment -
PODs moved to 28-14 after yesterdays win with Miley. It's good when you can win in this format and across the board. Miley went through the first five frames with 3 K's and no walks and no runs which is a good thing given the fact that he started running onfumes in the 6th when he gave up the 3 runsComment -
I really don't look at cash or consensus much...that will lead you astray. Identifying reverse line movement is one thing-knowing why the line is moving is another. You can have big money boys blasting at one side to get better value on the true side that they intend to make a move on and all types of other wildness. I tend to lean more towards getting knowledge of the pitchers and then making the most of the time that they will be in the game; most of the time it's for the first five innings. The beauty of this approach is the the push moves that happen which avert total disaster even on a subpar day. You can't get a push of any kind on a side for a full event move; you can get a push on a total. And even then you are at the mercy of a bullpen or managerial decisions to throw the guy in with the 10.30 ERA...Comment -
I know that I have Garcia as ranked #4; Triston McKenzie is one of my fantasy studs and is keen on the K game. So I am going to go against all odds and take him and the even money RL for the FF
Rot.#967 Guardians+0.5 +100 RL FF McKenzieComment -
Good slider to induce a inning ending double play by Kuhl. The line however is atrocious with 1 K and 3 BB's! He is giving the Coffee Cakes all of the situations that they need at will...Comment -
Triston pitched to contact and got the outs! Good stuff!
Berrios has been a fantasy STUD tonight with 7 K's and no walks over 6 1/3rd.
Kuhl cost me a bit.
Wheeler came with 9 K's and 0 walks over 6 innings and he's still out there mowing down Braves for fun. In this format it may be an up and down night so far-however I am certain that I will be cashing out by night's end for my leagues. I will never be the guy that leaves money in his account and then eventually loses it back to the book. I don't want to see a high account balance-i want to see my bank account balance high-not theirs. If it looks like I keep on making moves on the same arms day in and day out-I am. Keep my boys on your rosters!Comment -
WIN Rot.#957 Blunts-135 ML FF Wheeler (#2)
LOSS Rot.#971 Jays+100 ML FF Berrios (#3)
WIN Rot.#970 Sailors-150 ML FF Gonzales (#6)
LOSS Rot.#962 Giants-145 ML FF Cobb (#7)
PUSH Rot.#951 Rox+110 ML FF Kuhl (#8) POD
LOSS Rot.#973 Royals-110 ML FF Greinke (#10)
LOSS Rot.#953 Cubs/Red Leggins OVER 5 -10 FF Smyly (DNS)/Gutierrez (DNS)
WIN Rot.#967 Guardians+0.5 +100 RL FF McKenzie
3-4-1 on those
And to think-at one time the Royals held a 4-0 lead LOL!Comment -
Low on time and not on ideals. I will be abit exposed today as I refuse to spend more than -160 on anything. So tread lightly. I would be overjoyed to win 50% of these and have my studs do well in my fantasy leagues.
Rot.#909 Brews-145 ML FF Burnes (#1)
Rot.#927 Jays-150 ML FF Gausman (#2)
Rot.#925 Fish/Rays UNDER 3 +105 FF McClanahan (#3)/Lopez (#6)
Rot.#930 Snakes-0.5 -140 RL FF Gallen (#5)
Rot.#908 Braves-0.5 -120 RL FF Fried (#7)
Rot.#911 Metropolitans/Giants UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Bassitt (#8)/Webb (#10)
Rot.#918 Pale Hose-0.5 -115 RL FF Cease (#9)Comment -
Although I won't be utilizing him in this format; blast away on some JP Sears (Bombers) as my POD in 2 leagues tomorrow (and yes I am chasing K's with him) as he starts against the Men Wearing Orange and their mediocre offense.
I generally don't go for starts like these, though Sears has strikeout ability, fanning 21 batters in his last 3 minor league starts. He's the pick solely because I don't trust Aaron Ashby as a lefty vs the Fathers and Reid Detmers is shaky without his slider, even if it's the Wanderers. There are better streams than this-which is why I didn't offer it in this format.Comment -
PUSH Rot.#909 Brews-145 ML FF Burnes (#1)
WIN Rot.#927 Jays-150 ML FF Gausman (#2)
WIN Rot.#925 Fish/Rays UNDER 3 +105 FF McClanahan (#3)/Lopez (#6)
LOSS Rot.#930 Snakes-0.5 -140 RL FF Gallen (#5)
WIN Rot.#908 Braves-0.5 -120 RL FF Fried (#7)
LOSS Rot.#911 Metropolitans/Giants UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Bassitt (#8)/Webb (#10)
LOSS Rot.#918 Pale Hose-0.5 -115 RL FF Cease (#9)
3-3-1 on those.Comment -
Top tier top 10's on deck
Rot.#965 Sailors/A's UNDER 4 -125 FF Ray (#1)/Blackburn (#9)
Rot.#955 Dodgers-0.5 -140 FF Urias (#2)
Rot.#970 Pale Hose-165 ML FF Giolito (#3)
Rot.#958 Fathers-130 ML FF Darvish (#4)
Rot.#960 Red Leggins-135 ML FF Castillo (#5)
Rot.#976 Rays-0.5 -125 RL FF Rasmussen (#6)
Rot.#972 Astronauts-0.5 -130 RL FF Javier (#7)
Rot.#962 Braves-145 ML FF Morton (#8)
Rot.#951 Rox/Coffee Cakes OVER 4 -115 FF Thompson (DNS)/Feltner (DNS)
I will come along and fill in the blanks later on once those lines become availableComment -
those lines are in and the big board has been updatedComment