Max Play Opportunity? Kershaw v Giants and a Rookie Pitcher

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  • flabrah5
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-12
    • 1743

    #1
    Max Play Opportunity? Kershaw v Giants and a Rookie Pitcher
    Man, just wrote a huge write up and the browser crashed. I'll try my best to get this out quick as I want yalls input.

    Im a FF capper, but Dodgers + their Ace are too juiced and the RL -1.5 seems super, super well priced at -134 for a max play.

    Kershaw is 22-11 lifetime vs San Fran which seems super short of wins considering he sports at 1.72 ERA over 330.3 innings pitched vs the Giants.

    + Dodgers average 5.1 runs per game (T10th) and give up 3.6 runs per game (2nd)
    + Giants average 3.8 runs per game (28th) and give up 5.0 runs per game (19th)
    + Dodgers are 2nd with a team ERA of 3.23 and tied 1st with a team WHIP of 1.08
    + Giants are tied 15th a team ERA of 4.50 and tied 14th with a team WHIP of 1.33

    Anderson splits lean towards Righties. He has a .281 average vs Lefties and has to get through Pederson, Verdugo, Bellinger, Muncy, Beaty, and Kershaw who is a hitting pitcher.

    At home, coming off a low scoring loss 3-2, Ace on the mound, vs a rookie pitcher who stuggles vs Lefties and has to get through 6 of them that sport tremendous power = a max play lean IMO.

    Dodgers -1.5 @ -134. Yay or nay?

    I know each game is separate, but I do like the low scoring loss last night. Just for averages sake, Dodgers score 8 tonight to bring their run average over the last two games to 5 which they are T10th in the MLB.

    BOL to all, would love your input. I rarely to the RL and have only played 2 this year going 1-1.
  • flabrah5
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-12
    • 1743

    #2
    Locked in @ -140. Down to -132, froze on me, up to -140.

    $7k to win $5k.

    BOL to all
    Comment
    • flabrah5
      SBR MVP
      • 11-11-12
      • 1743

      #3
      Man, dodgers come on. I don't want to sweat this.

      2 runs thru 4 innings.

      0-8 RISP, yes 0-8 RISP. And 2 runs. Just think about this opportunity we've had this far.

      Hate a 2 run lead RL sweat when you could easily be winning by 4+ runs with a hit or 2 in 8 chances.

      3 doubles as well, leading off and being stranded.

      Make it stop!!!
      Comment
      • Mike Huntertz
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-19-09
        • 11207

        #4
        Still 2-0....kid looks good.
        Comment
        • flabrah5
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-12
          • 1743

          #5
          Got a 3-0. Bring in Bellinger here and I'll stop biting my nails.

          Kershaw with another gem vs Giants just like we expected improving that 1.72 ERA over 337.3 innings now.
          Comment
          • flabrah5
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-12
            • 1743

            #6
            KIKI with the grand salamiii.

            9-0 Dodgers. Guess those 8 runs did come to average out to 5+ a game 😎

            Cheers fellas, don't see this slipping away. 6 outs to go.
            Comment
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