Will take on the dreaded first post hex that seems to afflict me when starting out. Have not posted this year in MLB on this site.....up about 30 units betting one unit/game on another site's contest...PM me if you want proof and I'll tell you the site and my contest name.
Home dogs with a bad winning percentage (conference games) are good plays up until June, they win about half of their games straight up......for those SDQLers, check the low 40s in win percentage to validate. Saturdays are the only day where this has not worked in the past.
Betting all for one unit.
1) Kansas City +105
2) Phillies +126
3) Braves +111
4) Padres +135
The next set takes road division dogs <+170......in April they tend to work great with exception of Saturday games. In May, which overall is a favorite's month there are selected instances where this is still valid, specifically when a team has a certain minimum winning percentage but only on certain days of the week.
5) Diamondbacks +111
6) Astros +108
Lastly, non-divisional, conference small favorites with a winning percentage of <500 have been high percentage plays in May.
7) Oakland -107
The best overall months to bet underdogs in baseball are April, September and June in that order. I subscribe to the theory that league-wide angles function as a wave with particular high and low points that repeat themselves in monthly cycles. April away division dogs of less than +170 have had winning cumulative percentage 13 out of the past 14 seasons for example.
Home dogs with a bad winning percentage (conference games) are good plays up until June, they win about half of their games straight up......for those SDQLers, check the low 40s in win percentage to validate. Saturdays are the only day where this has not worked in the past.
Betting all for one unit.
1) Kansas City +105
2) Phillies +126
3) Braves +111
4) Padres +135
The next set takes road division dogs <+170......in April they tend to work great with exception of Saturday games. In May, which overall is a favorite's month there are selected instances where this is still valid, specifically when a team has a certain minimum winning percentage but only on certain days of the week.
5) Diamondbacks +111
6) Astros +108
Lastly, non-divisional, conference small favorites with a winning percentage of <500 have been high percentage plays in May.
7) Oakland -107
The best overall months to bet underdogs in baseball are April, September and June in that order. I subscribe to the theory that league-wide angles function as a wave with particular high and low points that repeat themselves in monthly cycles. April away division dogs of less than +170 have had winning cumulative percentage 13 out of the past 14 seasons for example.
