SDQL for Wednesday 5/3/17

[FUqer]

I've been doing this everyday in my thread but I don't think many people notice because of the poorly named title I have, so I'm going to start posting a thread everyday for it.

I post them, you analyze them how you wish, some are better than others. Good Luck!

________________________________________ ____
SDQL 5/3

ALL = Yesterday 8-5 (Total 52-34)
SU = Yesterday 7-2 (Total 31-16)
RL = Yesterday 0-2 (Total 11-8)
OU = Yesterday 1-1 (Total 10-10)
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SU

PLAY: The Twins

HF and line<-105 and line>-120 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10

47-30 (0.70, 61.0%)

avg line: -112.3 / 102.3

on / against: +$1,329 / -$1,633

ROI: +15.4% / -21.2%

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PLAY: The Dodgers

HF and line<-130 and line>-160 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10

103-53 (1.42, 66.0%)

avg line: -144.6 / 134.6

on / against: +$2,680 / -$3,210

ROI: +11.9% / -20.6%

FADE: The Giants are 0-15 SU since August 1st 2014 as a dog of more than 130 in the last game of the series.

team = Giants and line>130 and LGS and date >= 20140800

0-15 (-3.87, 0.0%)

avg line: 164.6 / -179.9

on / against: -$1,500 / +$1,500

ROI: -100.0% / +55.1%

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PLAY: The Nationals are 14-0 since Sep 06, 2015 as a favorite vs a lefty off a game as a favorite and after facing three straight righties.

team=Nationals and F and p:F and o:STL and po:STR and ppo:STR and pppo:STR and date>=20150906

14-0 (3.14, 100.0%)

avg line: -193.9 / 175.9

on / against: +$1,400 / -$1,400

ROI: +50.4% / -100.0%

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PLAY: The Indians are 14-0 SU since Aug 04, 2016 as a 140+ favorite after Jason Kipnis was hitless in at least three at bats.

team=Indians and line<=-140 and Indians:Jason Kipnis:at bats>=3 and Indians:Jason Kipnis:hits=0 and date>=20160804

14-0 (4.21, 100.0%)

avg line: -174.0 / 160.3

on / against: +$1,400 / -$1,400

ROI: +57.5% / -100.0%

PLAY: The Tigers

WP > 50 and H and 165 > line >= 100 and o:WP > 50 and SG < 4 and month = 5

159-158 (-0.56, 50.2%)

avg line: 117.3 / -127.2

on / against: +$2,696 / -$4,266

ROI: +8.5% / -10.6%

PLAY: The Tigers

HF and p:margin > 7 and op:runs = 0 and (SG=2 or SG=3) and conference = AL

47-18 (1.60, 72.3%)

avg line: -166.6 / 150.7

on / against: +$1,945 / -$2,172

ROI: +18.0% / -33.4%

PLAY: The Tigers

WP>50 and H and 165>line>=100 and o:WP>50 and SG<4 and (month=4 or month=5 or month=9 or month=10)

407-413 (-0.44, 49.6%)

avg line: 118.1 / -128.1

on / against: +$6,527 / -$10,577

ROI: +8.0% / -10.1%

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FADE: The Phillies were 1-15 SU as a 130-plus dog after they had six or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.

team = Phillies and SG > 1 and line>=130 and p:hits <= 6 and season >= 2016

1-15 (-3.38, 6.2%)

avg line: 178.3 / -195.0

on / against: -$1,360 / +$1,350

ROI: -85.0% / +43.3%

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PLAY: The Padres

H and WP<55 and (month=4 or month=5) and SG!=3 and 170>=line>=105 and division=o:division

310-318 (-0.43, 49.4%)

avg line: 125.7 / -136.1

on / against: +$6,924 / -$10,089

ROI: +11.0% / -11.8%

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PLAY: The Angels and White Sox

playoffs=0 and AD and p:W and division=o:division and 7.5<=total<=10.5 and day not in [Saturday,Sunday]

1190-1408 (-0.24, 45.8%)

avg line: 139.2 / -152.4

on / against: +$20,927 / -$36,044

ROI: +8.1% / -9.1%

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PLAY: The Rangers

playoffs=0 and D and 120<=line<=200 and WP<=60 and o:WP>=60 and 8.5<=total<=11

852-1118 (-0.71, 43.2%)

avg line: 151.5 / -165.9

on / against: +$15,403 / -$27,104

ROI: +7.8% / -8.3%

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RL

FADE: The Royals are 0-18 RL as a 140-plus favorite off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

team = Royals and line <= -140 and p:H and p:SO > p:hits and date >= 20100817

0-18 (-2.83, 0.0%)

avg line: 137.3 / -149.2

on / against: -$1,802 / +$1,800

ROI: -100.0% / +67.0%

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OU

UNDER: The Indians are 0-14 OU as a road favorite after a game as a road favorite in which they did not hit a home run since Sep 23, 2015.

team=Indians and AF and p:AF and p:HR=0 and date>=20150923

0-14-0 (-2.71, 0.0%)

avg total: 8.2

over / under: -$1,537 / +$1,400

ROI: -100.0% / +90.7%

UNDER: Indians/Tigers

t:team = Indians and A and date >= 20130609

124-173-14 (-0.16, 41.8%)

avg total: 8.1

over / under: -$6,519 / +$3,541

ROI: -18.9% / +10.3%

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UNDER: The Cubs are 0-12 OU at home off a home game in which they allowed 5-plus walks and it is not a series opener.

team = Cubs and SG > 1 and H and p:H and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20150512

0-12-0 (-3.04, 0.0%)

avg total: 8.3

over / under: -$1,328 / +$1,205

ROI: -100.0% / +91.1%

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UNDER: The Angels are 1-12 OU since Jul 09, 2016 off a game as a dog in which they left 18+ men on base.

team=Angels and p and 18 <= p:LOB and date>=20160709

1-12-0 (-2.54, 7.7%)

avg total: 9.5

over / under: -$1,248 / +$1,080

ROI: -86.2% / +76.5%

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OVER: The White Sox are 22-2 OU as a dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base.

team = White Sox and D and p:LOB>=18 and p:W and date >= 20150622

22-2-0 (2.75, 91.7%)

avg total: 8.6

over / under: +$1,960 / -$2,230

ROI: +73.8% / -84.8%

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For Records

SU

Twins
Dodgers
Nationals
Tigers
Cubs
Padres
Angels
White Sox
Orioles

RL

White Sox +1.5
Orioles +1.5

OU

Indians/Tigers Under
Phillies/Cubs Under
Angels/Mariners Under
White Sox/Royals Over
___________________________________

[FUqer]

team=Reds and H and p:H and p:margin<=-5 and season>=2015

5-17 (-2.36, 22.7%)

avg line: 116.7 / -127.3

on / against: -$1,225 / +$1,151

ROI: -52.8% / +40.3%

14-7-1 (0.77, 66.7%)

avg total: 8.5

over / under: +$625 / -$865

ROI: +26.0% / -35.4%

[Scrivero]

Nice idea with the thread every day. Will you be posting your actual plays too like in the previous thread?

[TechnicalTrader]

Keep this thread going. A lot can be learned from this type of stuff!

[FUqer]

Rangers play for records canceled out cuz I just found this one.

The Astros are 43-14 SU and 14-1 SU L15 as a Home Favorite in the 3rd game of a series after winning the first two.

43-14 (1.44, 75.4%)

avg line: -167.1 / 151.0

on / against: +$2,204 / -$2,389

ROI: +23.2% / -41.9%

[FUqer]

Nice idea with the thread every day. Will you be posting your actual plays too like in the previous thread?

Not in this thread, they have been terrible anyway. I've been killed on totals and I haven't played enough SDQL plays and when I've had, I still been managing to lose.

[FUqer]

The Tigers have 3 that apply to them above, and when you add them in the query specifically for those spots, you get 6-2 L8 for one, 7-2 overall for another, and 18-9 for the last. Every other team that has a general trend applied to them, have done pretty decent as well when you add those teams in specifically for those spots.

I'm not trying to sell the Tigers or any other team to anyone, just passing on what I find.

[FUqer]

FYI - If I post two of them that contradict each other, they are cancelled out for the records. It's up to you which one you think is more important. It will be listed at the bottom of the OP if it's included in the records.

The Tigers have 3 pretty good ones and the Indians have a pretty silly one, so the Tigers get the play for records.

[FUqer]

The Indians are 2-14 OU since September 25th 2016 against Lefties.

2-14-0 (-1.94, 12.5%)

avg total: 8.2

over / under: -$1,288 / +$1,185

ROI: -75.2% / +65.4%

[Scrivero]

Not in this thread, they have been terrible anyway. I've been killed on totals and I haven't played enough SDQL plays and when I've had, I still been managing to lose.

Ok, sounds good. I also like the idea of the contradictory findings cancelling each other out.

Just an idea: How about you start playing your all "For Records" plays? If its too much money to bet each night, maybe decrease the bet size to 1/2 or 1/3 of the normal that you have. To me those SDQL leans have been the thing that seems to work. I also tried the thread of ending those streaks that youve found but I got totally destroyed in units. Meaning that your leans were good most of the time.

[FUqer]

The Indians are 1-8 SU & RL & Under vs Lefties L9.

1-8 (-1.89, 11.1%)	avg line: -172.3 / 157.1	on / against: -$1,296 / +$1,180	ROI: -83.3% / +129.1%
1-8 (-3.06, 11.1%)	avg line: -106.4 / -107.4	on / against: -$811 / +$734	ROI: -79.6% / +72.1%
1-8-0 (-2.33, 11.1%)	avg total: 8.4	over / under: -$745 / +$695	ROI: -77.6% / +67.8%

[FUqer]

Added:

PLAY: The Orioles are 13-0 SU & RL since Jul 21, 2016 in not the first game of a series as a road dog after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.

team=Orioles and AD and SG > 1 and p:SII <= 2 and date>=20160721

13-0 (4.08, 100.0%)	avg line: 127.0 / -137.0	on / against: +$1,649 / -$1,775	ROI: +126.5% / -100.0%
13-0 (5.58, 100.0%)	avg line: -164.1 / 150.2	on / against: +$1,300 / -$1,300	ROI: +60.9% / -100.0%

UNDER: The Indians are 0-17 OU on the road after a game as a road favorite in which they did not hit a home run since Apr 25, 2016.

team=Indians and A and p:AF and p:HR=0 and date>=20160425

0-17-0 (-2.76, 0.0%)

avg total: 8.2

over / under: -$1,865 / +$1,700

ROI: -100.0% / +90.7%