4/26/17
20-24-3, RoR +3.40% (vs 11/10 odds 54.2%) Still breathing, but in need of resuscitation.
Twins +138, Santiago /Hamels
I honestly think we have both the pitching and offensive advantages in this one. Call me nuts, or fall back on the old “won’t get swept at home” theory, but Santiago has been better than Hamels so far and the Twins offense is more productive versus lefty than the Rangers. Last outing Santiago beat the Tigers and Hamels beat the Royals for his first win, but beating the Tigers (40.2) is a far bigger accomplishment than beating the Royals (31.7). And, the Tigers are 4-1-1 versus lefty starters versus the Royals 1-3-1. Those results are 5 inning results, but they give us an objective view of probable performance versus starters. Given a lead after 5 or 6 innings I will live with whatever bullpen I am given. The 5 inning line will be much lower.
BOL
20-24-3, RoR +3.40% (vs 11/10 odds 54.2%) Still breathing, but in need of resuscitation.
Twins +138, Santiago /Hamels
I honestly think we have both the pitching and offensive advantages in this one. Call me nuts, or fall back on the old “won’t get swept at home” theory, but Santiago has been better than Hamels so far and the Twins offense is more productive versus lefty than the Rangers. Last outing Santiago beat the Tigers and Hamels beat the Royals for his first win, but beating the Tigers (40.2) is a far bigger accomplishment than beating the Royals (31.7). And, the Tigers are 4-1-1 versus lefty starters versus the Royals 1-3-1. Those results are 5 inning results, but they give us an objective view of probable performance versus starters. Given a lead after 5 or 6 innings I will live with whatever bullpen I am given. The 5 inning line will be much lower.
BOL
