New Baseball Power Rating System

[peterpan19]

facasto
we only tracked the play b4 May 15th to see how the new system would do...and since they had it wrong on their website for the time from May 1st to May 14th I just went back and checked how the system should have gone...as said b4 we offically started to play the PR May 15th...so the record I post everyday in the morning with todays plays thats the record you have to look at...and we wont change it again...we will keep it...May 15th until the end of the season...I just wanted to show that the system also has profitable days and that we just started on the wrong foot...but hey we will see what the record is at the end of the year....

GL

[peterpan19]

rpbrownie
formulawiz uses the software....I use the PR they publish for free on their website....

xpertcapper
they will send you a username and password...go to download software on their page and download the fastball baseball program...unpack it and after that you download baseball pitchers and baseball stats into the same folder and overwrite the old one each day...just start the software and a dos-screen will appear...choose pick winners...got it ?

[Xpertcapper]

it asks for a secure username and password and not sure what to put

[madness]

when you order the software, you should have been emailed a username and password....it may not come instantaneously.

[rpbrownie]

Thanks Peter

Xpert I purchased it today and it took them about 20 minutes to send the email hopefully you have it by now and read the instructions its easy. It also has the Pythag Theorem that can give you additional picks but Formulawiz said its new and he is tracking it now so I would hold off a little on those picks but they look good early on.

Thanks and BOL everyone

[Xpertcapper]

Thanks but still havent got the email

[rpbrownie]

def give them a call

[mantorras77]

So for stats you have to count yesterday 0-2

Bro....when he posted his statement about it being 3-2 it was like 7pm and there were 2 games that night that were just starting and they both lost.

[mantorras77]

Software Picks: BEST BETS

(30 DAYS) YTD = 14-7 67% +5.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
(99 DAYS) YTD = 17-6 74% +9.18 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)

Since all games have started already today...the plays were:

(30 DAYS) = ChiCubs(-160)
(99 DAYS) = Florida(+140), Mets(-145), ChiCubs(-160), Dodgers(+134) and Twins(+108)

[Formulawiz]

Formulawiz,

Are you using the Fastball Program to get the best bets that you will not post? And this is different than the software picks Peterpan is posting?

I just want to get it right because it seems worth the $50 to give it a shot.

Thats correct I am using the software for best bets. Peter is posting the PR and run plays that is posted on sportrends website

[Nick6570]

Hey is there any way to get the sporttrends software to work on a mac computer??

[Formulawiz]

Software Picks: BEST BETS

(30 DAYS) YTD = 14-7 67% +5.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
(99 DAYS) YTD = 17-6 74% +9.18 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)

Since all games have started already today...the plays were:

(30 DAYS) = ChiCubs(-160)
(99 DAYS) = Florida(+140), Mets(-145), ChiCubs(-160), Dodgers(+134) and Twins(+108)

Mantorras
Please do not give out the plays from sportrends software. Its unethical to do so. If you want to help keep the win/loss records for best bets using both the 30 days and YTD thats fine.

[mantorras77]

another interesting angle using the BEST BETS selections on the (99 DAYS) option is that wer're supposed to eliminate all games over -175 so I thought what if we took the underdogs on those selections instead and I come up with an additional $338 profit on a 3-4 record bring the YTD to 20-10 67% +12.56 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)........

Hey WIZ....just out of curiousity but why aren't you using the YTD stats as opposed to the default stats seeing how it's bringing in more money?

[mantorras77]

Mantorras
Please do not give out the plays from sportrends software. Its unethical to do so. If you want to help keep the win/loss records for best bets using both the 30 days and YTD thats fine.

all the games had already started when I posted them so no one could place wagers on them......but at your request I will not post them anymore.

[Formulawiz]

all the games had already started when I posted them so no one could place wagers on them......but at your request I will not post them anymore.

I appreciate it. If you have the time and would like to, you can keep a win/loss record along with units on both best bet systems.

[mantorras77]

Hey WIZ....I emailed ST on how to properly use the PT SYSTEM and their was response was:

"PT compare PT plays on main screen otion 1 pick winners to those plays generated by PT plays found under update then click on option #7. Dont pay attention to .500 teams. We suggest for PT plays go back to 5/1 and Best Bets 5/15 where we recommend you start."

So based on that and the criteria of 65% or more.....the record is: YTD 31-25 55% +$32.00

Interesting enough though the PT System from 5/1 - 5/14 went 12-18 (-$1,055) and from 5/15 through 5/26 it has gone 19-7 73% +$1,087.

BTW....these numbers are based on the default 30 days stats.......i'm taking a break for the night and enjoying my $$$$$$ the software has brought me tonight!

[mantorras77]

Sportrends Software: 5/15 - 5/26

Best Bets (30 System) 15-7 68% +6.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
Best Bets (99 System) 21-7 75% +12.56 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
PT Bets (30 System) 19-7 73% +10.87 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
PT Bets (99 System) ***Coming Soon***

GRAND TOTAL of all systems combined are 26-9 74% +15.48 UNITS !!!!

also, take my theory of going against all the teams the system picks that are higher than -175 and you can add to that grand total an additional 4.16 UNITS!!

[Nick6570]

Alright im about to ask a dumb and obvious question, but when your looking in the sportrends software...is the pick under the pythagorean formula or is just the pick for the "pythagorean formula"....i noticed formula was talking about a record for the software and record for the pythagorean formula in the software. So i was wondering where you see both of these picks from because i didnt want to choose the wrong team

thanks and sorry for the dumb question

[Formulawiz]

Sportrends Software: through 5/26

Best Bets (30 System) 15-7 68% +6.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
Best Bets (99 System) 21-7 75% +12.56 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
PT Bets (30 System) 19-7 73% +10.87 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
PT Bets (99 System) ***Coming Soon***

GRAND TOTAL of all systems combined are 26-9 74% +15.48 UNITS !!!!

also, take my theory of going against all the teams the system picks that are higher than -175 and you can add to that grand total an additional 4.16 UNITS!!

ManT I dont think your record is correct for the PT system since 5/1 through 5/14. I was referring to the PT plays found under update menu option 7, using 30 days which is different then the PT plays you may be referring to which is found under option 1 on main page. I think the PT system found on the update menu screen only uses teams to calculate PT plays where the one on the main page may use pitching and team records. I dont know. Secondly, you should not play any game over -175 and when I looked at the games from 5/1 to 5/14 on I did not count them as a play. I believe thats what sportrends told me. Stay away from games above -175 unless you feel very confident and did all your handicapping homework. For our record we should not include anything over -175 the software generates. I also think we should go on from 5/15 since that is when I always start making plays and thats what Pete is using when he calculates the W/L records for sportrends new PR system and Proj Runs. This way we are all on the same page starting on the same date of 5/15. I definitely feel 5/1 is way too early to start making plays.

[CashMoney]

This software is awesome and I wish I knew about it sooner but I've been real happy with it thus far. Not sure if this will continue to work or not but I've been able to make some additional plays with what I call a Unanimous Selections.

I run the software using 30 days and write down all the "winners." I then run the PT program and write down all the selections. I then cross reference the "winners" with the PT selections to see if the software selects the same team in both instances. So far it has not resulted in a ton of additional plays but since 5/15 it resulted in 4 additional plays going 3-1.

[mantorras77]

ManT I dont think your record is correct for the PT system since 5/1 through 5/14. I was referring to the PT plays found under update menu option 7, using 30 days which is different then the PT plays you may be referring to which is found under option 1 on main page. I think the PT system found on the update menu screen only uses teams to calculate PT plays where the one on the main page may use pitching and team records. I dont know. Secondly, you should not play any game over -175 and when I looked at the games from 5/1 to 5/14 on I did not count them as a play. I believe thats what sportrends told me. Stay away from games above -175 unless you feel very confident and did all your handicapping homework. For our record we should not include anything over -175 the software generates. I also think we should go on from 5/15 since that is when I always start making plays and thats what Pete is using when he calculates the W/L records for sportrends new PR system and Proj Runs. This way we are all on the same page starting on the same date of 5/15. I definitely feel 5/1 is way too early to start making plays.

You are correct, i'm not using the PT plays the same way you are but I am using the PT Plays the way Sportrends taught me how to use it. Which was write down all the picks from "Option 1 (Pick Winners" and then write down all the picks from "Option 7 (PT System) and play the picks that match.

I will go back and back test your method when I have time as well. The records posted are from 5/15, I will edit that post to reflect that. My records don't include any selections higher than -175.

[mantorras77]

Alright im about to ask a dumb and obvious question, but when your looking in the sportrends software...is the pick under the pythagorean formula or is just the pick for the "pythagorean formula"....i noticed formula was talking about a record for the software and record for the pythagorean formula in the software. So i was wondering where you see both of these picks from because i didnt want to choose the wrong team

thanks and sorry for the dumb question

Nick, I think what Formula was talking about was:
"Record for the software" = Option 1 (Pick Winners)
"Pythagorean" = Option 7 (PT System) under Option 8 (run up-date program)

[mantorras77]

Sportrends Software: 5/15 - 5/26

Best Bets (30 System) 15-7 68% +6.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
Best Bets (99 System) 21-7 75% +12.56 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
PT Bets (30 System) 19-7 73% +10.87 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
PT Bets (99 System) ***Coming Soon***

GRAND TOTAL of all systems combined are 26-9 74% +15.48 UNITS !!!!

also, take my theory of going against all the teams the system picks that are higher than -175 and you can add to that grand total an additional 4.16 UNITS!!

For anyone that's following along....only 1 total qualifying play for today from any of the 3 systems.

[peterpan19]

yesterday the PR system went 2-5 -2.5 units...wins were only with CLE and CWS, losses were with MIL, NYY, DET, BOS and PIT...PHI was a no play (line too high)

YTD (PR): 23-31 -2.9

no run plays yesterday...(only road dogs...)

todays plays are (PR)
CHC
OAK
HOU
WAS
CWS
SF

run plays....PIT and NYM...and PIT is a road dog today...

GL

[Hip2Bsq]

Software Picks: BEST BETS

(30 DAYS) YTD = 14-7 67% +5.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
(99 DAYS) YTD = 17-6 74% +9.18 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)

Since all games have started already today...the plays were:

(30 DAYS) = ChiCubs(-160)
(99 DAYS) = Florida(+140), Mets(-145), ChiCubs(-160), Dodgers(+134) and Twins(+108)

I know you not supposed to have posted these but this is most likely going to be what convinced me to make my own purchase of the system. That shyte was accurate on that day.

[Hip2Bsq]

Software Picks: BEST BETS

(30 DAYS) YTD = 14-7 67% +5.31 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)
(99 DAYS) YTD = 17-6 74% +9.18 UNITS (based on 1 unit bet per play)

Since all games have started already today...the plays were:

(30 DAYS) = ChiCubs(-160)
(99 DAYS) = Florida(+140), Mets(-145), ChiCubs(-160), Dodgers(+134) and Twins(+108)

I know you were not supposed to have posted these but this is most likely going to be what convinced me to make my own purchase of the system. That shyte was accurate on that day.

[Nick6570]

Regarding back to the system, how do you know which teams to play. I noticed for 5-26-09 you only said one play for the 30 days but the software spits out about 8 or 9 teams a day.

[Nick6570]

Alright im about to ask the dumbest question. And im only asking here because i have been following this forum and it seems like you guys are pretty good with dumb questions and wont give me crap. But for the life of me i dont understand the Unit System. Like when someone says +6.7 units what does that mean. Honestly I havent even made a bet before i have just been paper trading trying to understand everything and this is the only thing i really dont get.
Thanks

[Xpertcapper]

For anyone that's following along....only 1 total qualifying play for today from any of the 3 systems.

I see more than 1 play today. There is 1 best bet but other PT plays

[peterpan19]

nick6570
only play the games where it says " Best Bet"

unit system:1 unit is the base amount (like $100 or $1000) you try to win when you play a fav or the amount you risk when you play a dog... e.g. today STL is +130 and MIL is -140 ... so if you play STL you risk 1 unit to 1.3 units (or risk $100 to win $130)...or if you play Mil you would risk 1.4 units to win 1 unit ($140 to win $100)

hope that helps....

[peterpan19]

xpertcapper

yeah we have more than 1 PT play...but since we dont really know how it does over a longer period I would only play the best bets...btw I think todays one has a good chance of hitting...I also think we would have 1 play today according to cashmoney's overlay of plays and PT...

[Xpertcapper]

xpertcapper

yeah we have more than 1 PT play...but since we dont really know how it does over a longer period I would only play the best bets...btw I think todays one has a good chance of hitting...I also think we would have 1 play today according to cashmoney's overlay of plays and PT...

So how do you determine a PT play? Which option do you use, option 1 or 7?

[Xpertcapper]

xpertcapper

yeah we have more than 1 PT play...but since we dont really know how it does over a longer period I would only play the best bets...btw I think todays one has a good chance of hitting...I also think we would have 1 play today according to cashmoney's overlay of plays and PT...

I see 3 best bets for today but we only play 1 because the other 2 are over -175 right?

[peterpan19]

Xpertcapper
yeah your right...3 plays but 2 are over -175...to determine a PT I first choose 9 (Run update program) and after that I choose 7 (PT) and that are the PT plays....but I dont play them, bc like I said b4 we dont know how they do over the season...and I already have a lot of plays...PR plays, best bets (+cash money overlay plays) and of course my own plays...
hope that helps...if you have more Questions hit me with a PM

GL

[Xpertcapper]

Peter thanks and disregard my pm