Originally posted by Formulawiz
New Baseball Power Rating System
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mantorras77SBR Sharp
- 05-08-09
- 378
#281WIZ, what were your 8 plays yesterday...I just want to make sure i'm doing it right cause right now i'm only coming up with 6 without dropping any games.Comment -
rogercSBR Rookie
- 05-26-09
- 20
#282Wow lot of potential plays today.
I got the following Using 30 days
11 Regular Play picks
3 Best Bet Pick
9 PT Picks
3 Picks that are both PT and BB
Is everybody else getting the same?
RogerComment -
mantorras77SBR Sharp
- 05-08-09
- 378
#283yes sir! action on every American league game today!Originally posted by rogercWow lot of potential plays today.
I got the following Using 30 days
11 Regular Play picks
3 Best Bet Pick
9 PT Picks
3 Picks that are both PT and BB
Is everybody else getting the same?
RogerComment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#284I'll only do this one time. NYM-Drop, ATL, BAL-64.5% close enough, TOR, TB, TEX, KC, LAA-drop.Originally posted by mantorras77WIZ, what were your 8 plays yesterday...I just want to make sure i'm doing it right cause right now i'm only coming up with 6 without dropping any games.
5-1.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#285Only 9 PT plays today and be careful of teams that are over a 3 game winning streak or 3 game losing streak since they are bound to reverse.Originally posted by rogercWow lot of potential plays today.
I got the following Using 30 days
11 Regular Play picks
3 Best Bet Pick
9 PT Picks
3 Picks that are both PT and BB
Is everybody else getting the same?
RogerComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#286ATL was a no play since it was not over .500...exactly .500...but if you count Bal too ?, one time it will hit another time maybe not ?...and we had two plays on TX...early and late game....and NYM line closed at -180...so it was a drop for me...so I have them at 4-1...anyway nice day...Originally posted by FormulawizI'll only do this one time. NYM-Drop, ATL, BAL-64.5% close enough, TOR, TB, TEX, KC, LAA-drop.
5-1.
PR plays to be posted laterComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#287PR yesterday went 4-2 +2.4 Units
early play: BOS
GLComment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#288ATL was definitely a play. It was at +.500 and the other team was below it and it was above 65%. The team can be at .500 as long as the other team is under .500.Originally posted by peterpan19ATL was a no play since it was not over .500...exactly .500...but if you count Bal too ?, one time it will hit another time maybe not ?...and we had two plays on TX...early and late game....and NYM line closed at -180...so it was a drop for me...so I have them at 4-1...anyway nice day...
PR plays to be posted laterComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#289rest of today:
PR: BAL, CLE, HOU, OAK, COL, SF, KC
run: CIN, WAS, SDComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#290formulawiz
but it says +.500 ...so for me + means >.500 and not >= .500 ??Comment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#291early best bet not looking good so far and also PT not...but we still have some bb left...so lets hope it gets betterComment -
Bobby518SBR Hustler
- 01-24-09
- 84
#292Originally posted by peterpan19early best bet not looking good so far and also PT not...but we still have some bb left...so lets hope it gets better
It did!Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#293Pete even though its exactly at .500 I feel as long as the opposing team is < .500 its OK. Ill keep doing it this way until I see there is a problem. So far you dont run into many of these situationsOriginally posted by peterpan19formulawiz
but it says +.500 ...so for me + means >.500 and not >= .500 ??Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#294In addition to the software generating plays we still have the responsibility to handicap each game the software picks. Of course for the win/loss records these games count whether you personally use the plays or not. Let me give an ex: I have posted several times you need to watch out for teams that are on a 4 game or more W/L stretch because they have a very good chance of reversing. I call this the danger zone for or against that particular team. Look at the NYM today. 4 game winning streak. Even though I did not play them it still counts for the PT system w/l record as a loss today. The reason I stayed away from this game is that they are on a 4 game winning streak, danger zone. They were facing a good opposing pitcher and had a piece of shit pitcher going. Not only this but they were a + 120 dog and the bookies were begging you take them. BAL is another good ex: on a 5 game winning streak and a dog, very dangerous and stayed away. Of course what ever happens it will go into the wi/loss record and I hope these games win. So the point I am getting at is we all need to do some homework before pulling the handle. Each game has different characteristics where I might take a team with a 4 game winning streak and stay away from another team with a 4 game winning streak. I hope this makes some sense.Originally posted by peterpan19early best bet not looking good so far and also PT not...but we still have some bb left...so lets hope it gets betterComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#295formula
yeah I dont feel comfortable going against Verlander today... I never would have played BAL anyway so I feel not good about it...I personally will play DET 1H so even the players who play all PT have a chance to cash...I also will not play NYY, as it is already over -175 (was that s unexoeted today ?)
GL tonightComment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#296Originally posted by peterpan19formula
yeah I dont feel comfortable going against Verlander today... I never would have played BAL anyway so I feel not good about it...I personally will play DET 1H so even the players who play all PT have a chance to cash...I also will not play NYY, as it is already over -175 (was that s unexoeted today ?)
GL tonight
NYY are fine they ranged between -167 to -175 and I played them since they are on a 2 game winning streak Sabathia pitching against Carmona who sucks..Comment -
jmathesSBR MVP
- 02-19-09
- 2385
#297formula,
if you don't mind me asking what software/program does sportrends use?Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#298Originally posted by jmathesformula,
if you don't mind me asking what software/program does sportrends use?
I have no idea what they use to handicap and you would have to ask themComment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#299BB System kicked ass last night 3-0, + 3 Units
BB System YTD 23-9, 72%, + 11.85 Units
PT System Off last night 4-5, -1.42 Units
PT Systeme YTD 63-32, 66.3%, + 29.15 Units
Some way to lose the LAA game in top of 9th.
Today there are 2 BB plays and 9 PT plays where 3 games will probably drop due to high line. I also dont like 2 games where teams are on either a 2 or 3 game losing streak so will stay away.Comment -
mantorras77SBR Sharp
- 05-08-09
- 378
#300I'm sorry I asked. I thought we were all here to help each other out.Originally posted by FormulawizI'll only do this one time. NYM-Drop, ATL, BAL-64.5% close enough, TOR, TB, TEX, KC, LAA-drop.
5-1.Comment -
CashMoneySBR MVP
- 01-07-08
- 1982
#301Just send a PM. It's not fair to sportrends if we all start posting the plays.Originally posted by mantorras77I'm sorry I asked. I thought we were all here to help each other out.Comment -
mantorras77SBR Sharp
- 05-08-09
- 378
#302you mean the plays that happened the day before???? I see no big deal in that at all and if it's a big deal to WIZ about posting plays that happened the day before then he should have PM'd them to me.Originally posted by CashMoneyJust send a PM. It's not fair to sportrends if we all start posting the plays.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#303Originally posted by mantorras77I'm sorry I asked. I thought we were all here to help each other out.
That was dumb of me I should not have posted the plays yesterday.Comment -
rogercSBR Rookie
- 05-26-09
- 20
#304[QUOTE=Formulawiz;1897008]BB System kicked ass last night 3-0, + 3 Units
BB System YTD 23-9, 72%, + 11.85 Units
PT System Off last night 4-5, -1.42 Units
PT Systeme YTD 63-32, 66.3%, + 29.15 Units
Some way to lose the LAA game in top of 9th.
Good weekend so far but a lot of work to do with 9 PT to review for Sun.
Really like the Best Best so far... They Kick Ass.
RogerComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#305yesterday PR went 1-6 -5.1 units....run went 0-3 -3.0 units
YTD (PR): 29-43 -8.55
YTD (run): 6-8 -0.3
today PR: BOS, PHI, HOU; CIN, CWS, SF
run: FLA, WAS
GLComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#306looks like we wont win 4 best bets in a row...lets hope the later one hits....Comment -
Bobby518SBR Hustler
- 01-24-09
- 84
#307Lousy day so far.
Glad the Scotch is holding out . . . .Comment -
Nick6570SBR High Roller
- 04-15-09
- 163
#308I always feel a little sketchy betting on teams who have the chance to sweep. I always feel like the other team will pull something out of their A**. I think im gonna start keeping for detailed records like Win-Loss, W/L Streek, Home/Away stuff like that just to see if those really play a differenceComment -
Nick6570SBR High Roller
- 04-15-09
- 163
#309also the PT has done a pretty crappy job on picking the underdogs, i might have had some different pick then some of yall but im showing over the last 5 days the PT is 2-11 in picking the underdogs, Hopefully this is just a flawComment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#310Nick you are 100% correct. I have found never to wager on teams that are going for a sweep. You will lose substantially more games then you will win. Take the 5 teams going for sweeps today, they went 1-5. Anyway the loses will be counted for the BB system which went 0-2 and the PT system went 1-5.Originally posted by Nick6570I always feel a little sketchy betting on teams who have the chance to sweep. I always feel like the other team will pull something out of their A**. I think im gonna start keeping for detailed records like Win-Loss, W/L Streek, Home/Away stuff like that just to see if those really play a difference
The PR system looks like it will have a good day.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#311Originally posted by Nick6570also the PT has done a pretty crappy job on picking the underdogs, i might have had some different pick then some of yall but im showing over the last 5 days the PT is 2-11 in picking the underdogs, Hopefully this is just a flaw
I believe the PT system predominantly picks FAVComment -
peterpan19Restricted User
- 11-02-08
- 3377
#312and sportstrends says
crap day today...but TX had a chance but blew it...2 <> Watch for home teams that win the first 2 games of a 3 game series
as they win the 3rd game most of the time.Comment -
jmathesSBR MVP
- 02-19-09
- 2385
#313guys i ordered the fastball system but am having a little trouble opening it up. when i try to update the stats from the website it ask what program do i want to open it with? could any of you guys help me out?
also, what are your recommendations on what to play? i am hearing alot of mixed opions.
thanksComment -
rpbrownieSBR Hustler
- 04-14-09
- 64
#314jmathes
When you click on the pitching or team stats don't open the file just save it to the Fastball Folder on your cpu. It will then ask you to replace the old file and click yes. There is no need to opn these files and when you open the program it will already be populated.
As for the recommendations I am new myself so hopefully the wiz or peter can help you out.
BOLComment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#315Its very simple. After putting your user ID and password in just save both files to the fastball folder. You have to direct your computer to save it in the fastball folder otherwise it will save the file somewhere else and it will not update the program. As the other person said you have to replace both these files daily by answering "yes" when prompted. It takes a few seconds to update. If you are having trouble I suggest you go to a computer store and ask someone to show you how to download the stats, its really very simple.Originally posted by jmathesguys i ordered the fastball system but am having a little trouble opening it up. when i try to update the stats from the website it ask what program do i want to open it with? could any of you guys help me out?
also, what are your recommendations on what to play? i am hearing alot of mixed opions.
thanksComment
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