New Baseball Power Rating System

[Formulawiz]

[quote=SOXROCK;1967671]

I will do that for you. i have also been using sportrends with an excel spreadsheet to put together picks. went 6-0 last night and over the last 8 days 49-16. I will call this sportrends twisted and keep you informed. so far it looks promising but to early tell.

SOXROCK thanks for keeping the records. Also at some point it would be nice if you tell us how your getting 49-16 using the spreadsheet

[peterpan19]

PR 1-4 -3.1 on filtered plays.... overall 3-7 -2.65
run: 1-1 +-0

todays plays to follow

[firstimer]

Nice day yesterday

went 11 wins 3 loses 11 out of 14 yesssssssssss
up 27 units since June 21

todays picks

top picks
NYY RL -1
CLE ML

REST
SD ML
SF ODDS ARE NOT OUT YET
LAA RL -1
KC ML
MIL ML
NYM RL -1
PHI ML
CIN ML
CHC ML

[peterpan19]

PR plays: DET, WAS, PIT, CIN, BAL, KC, TX, SD
run:NYY, BAL, LAD, SD
filtered PR: DET, SD

GL

[peterpan19]

went 11 wins 3 loses 11 out of 14 yesssssssssss
up 27 units since June 21

and how do you come up with the plays ?

[firstimer]

using sportrend system

using there system and 3 of my filters to get the picks its a little complex right now to explain but when i have more time to explain it to you i will i bought sportrend few days back and studied it and new there was more to it so tried a few things and i back tested it 3 times back to may 1st to be sure cause i don't have money to waste

and came up with 178 wins and 11 loses but i took out all the was games and only had 6 loses

will tell more later give it few more days you no as well me things can turn lolol

but in all honesty from the back testing it is for real if it stays its coarse

your pal firstimer

[firstimer]

my bets

my bets are all + bets never -
i don't care about wins or loses i play them all
my juice is awsome trying to figure out my loses i can have in a day and still break even or win some money depending on the juices you can pretty much break even or make a profit on a 50 50 split on win and loes on that day anything over 50% in wins is a bonus

[SOXROCK]

Formulawiz

today:
No o/u plays
No Salami play
6 sportrends with a twist plays.

half of the 6 plays I do not agree with but will update results on thurs.

[Formulawiz]

using there system and 3 of my filters to get the picks its a little complex right now to explain but when i have more time to explain it to you i will i bought sportrend few days back and studied it and new there was more to it so tried a few things and i back tested it 3 times back to may 1st to be sure cause i don't have money to waste

and came up with 178 wins and 11 loses but i took out all the was games and only had 6 loses

will tell more later give it few more days you no as well me things can turn lolol

but in all honesty from the back testing it is for real if it stays its coarse

your pal firstimer

You need to explain yourself and how you came up with this record. I have been using sportrends software now for close to 15 years and I never even came close to such a record. We need details.

[SOXROCK]

formulawiz,

checking to see if you got my pm. First timer

[SOXROCK]

formula,

sportrend with a twist went 4-2 on the night with a big dog win and big dog loss. i will take it.

[firstimer]

well her we go again

went 6 for 11 last night
but made out good because of the juice
up 34 units MY GRAVY PICK IS LAD I PICK THEM EVERY SINGLE NIGHT EVERY NIGHT TO WIN

BP
STL RL -1
NYY RL -1

GP
MIN RL -1
SD ML
PHI ML
BAL ML
ARI ML
BOS RL-1

IF YOU CAN GET CLE LATER AT RL -1 MAKE SURE IT IS AT A +IN THE RL ONLY THEY ARE PICKED TO WIN 3* OUT OF 4

GOOD LUCK

[Formulawiz]

went 6 for 11 last night
but made out good because of the juice
up 34 units MY GRAVY PICK IS LAD I PICK THEM EVERY SINGLE NIGHT EVERY NIGHT TO WIN

BP
STL RL -1
NYY RL -1

GP
MIN RL -1
SD ML
PHI ML
BAL ML
ARI ML
BOS RL-1

IF YOU CAN GET CLE LATER AT RL -1 MAKE SURE IT IS AT A +IN THE RL ONLY THEY ARE PICKED TO WIN 3* OUT OF 4

GOOD LUCK

Do not give out software plays, its not fair to sportrends. All we need is an explanation as to how your coming up with your plays.

[xtream]

Firstimer Just want to say post only your strong plays. When you post that many you really misslead. If you have 2 or 4 plays that is better than trying to win 11 or 14 games. There is only one formula and that is LUCK.

[peterpan19]

PR went 3-4... filtered went 1-1
run went 0-3

todays plays:
PR: DET, NYM, CWS, HOU, NYY, PIT, FLA
filtered: DET, NYM, CWS, NYY, PIT, FLA


GL

[papster]

Based on the collective modified system

Based on the collective modified system how have the last two weeks been? Are you seeing the interleague play fowling things up at all?
Thanks,
TP

[peterpan19]

PR went 7-0 unfiltered and 6-0 filtered...nice day

[xtream]

Good Job

Any one have 3 strong plays for today. I like Tampa and Philly for now.

[Formulawiz]

Any one have 3 strong plays for today. I like Tampa and Philly for now.

I suggest you go to http://www.sportrends.com and look at the many different ways to handicap games or wait for Peter to post todays games based on their PR's and Runs.

[peterpan19]

PR: CWS; CLE; TOR, NYM, ATL, TB, HOU, ARZ, OAK
run: MIN, SEA

filtered PR: CWS, TOR, NYM, TB, HOU, OAK ... TB and OAK no play if over -130...

GL

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Any one have 3 strong plays for today. I like Tampa and Philly for now.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/195877-mlb-season-winners-p2.html#post1974516

[Formulawiz]

PR: CWS; CLE; TOR, NYM, ATL, TB, HOU, ARZ, OAK
run: MIN, SEA

filtered PR: CWS, TOR, NYM, TB, HOU, OAK ... TB and OAK no play if over -130...

GL

I dont have OAK, I believe Braden is pitching

[peterpan19]

formula...

yes with braden pitching no play on oak...

[firstimer]

ok an update

ok sorry taking so long trying to fine tune it and i think i'm almost there learning excell as i go to figure out the formulas for me
but as it stands
june 23 11 out of 15
june 24 12 out of 15
june 25 had a bad day 8 out of 12
june 26 11 out of 15

happy betting guys

[Formulawiz]

BB and PT

Looks like we are back on track with software BB 's and PT. Lets keep it going

[SOXROCK]

formula,

update from last night with record update

salami lost by 1/2 run 2-2 on season
o/u lost big 10-2 on season
sportrend twisted 2-0 reg. 41-15 on season
sportrend twisted 0-2 fade 26-13 on season

[peterpan19]

PR went 3-4... filtered 2-2... run went 1-1 (+.4)

todays plays later...

GL

[peterpan19]

early plays:
unfiltered PR: STL, BOS, ARZ
filtered: BOS

GL

[papster]

different intervals

Guys, have you ever used different time intervals in your predictive ratings? i.e. 45,30,15,5 do give you even more consistency?

[Formulawiz]

Exactly what do you mean by different time intervals. Be more specific.

[peterpan19]

late plays:
PR: WAS, TB, NYm
filtered: TB
run: COL

GL

[papster]

time intervals

it looks like the majority of the data is pulled up on 30 days worth of stats..it seems like you'd want to time that in with maybe 10/15 days worth of stats, especially if a particlular team has recently been hot or cold in the last two weeks...sure it shows up in the 30 day but might be more accurate on say a 15 day. just a thought/

[peterpan19]

results today:
PR went 2-3... filtered went 1-0 ... run went 1-0...

since Monday when I first used the new filters they are 11-8 +4.25 units compared to 18-18 +2.95 unfiltered...

GL

[Formulawiz]

SOXROX are you ready to give us an idea as to what your doing.

[peterpan19]

todays plays:
PR: PHI, ATL, HOU, MIN, COL, SEA, LAA
filtered PR: PHI, HOU, MIN, COL, SEA, LAA
run:CIN, CHC, LAA

GL