well... I am up a bit over 10 units using BB ML since the 29th... but I dont play every game and I filter some...e.g. yesterday I didnt play PIT or SF... well you can use BB, PT and the normal plays... but I dont know how they did over the last week or so...hell I just checked it 16-13 last 7 days +1.03 units... so not really much... but I think if you did the filtered PR for 1 unit, the unfiltered for .5 unit and the BB for 1 unit.... you should be up something like 20 units or so in the last 7 days... so what do you want more ??
-
Comment -
todays plays:
PR: MIL, BOS, CWS, SD
filtered: BOS, CWS
run: TOR, OAK
GLComment -
PR went 1-3 -1.77
filtered went 1-1 +0.23
run went 0-2 -2.0
BB went 1-0
Happy 4th of July !!Comment -
todays picks:
PR: SEA, NYY, MIL, KC, PHI, HOU, MIN, SD, PIT; ARZ
filtered PR: SEA, NYY, PHI, HOU, MIN, PIT
run: NYM, STL, DET, OAK... only if they are the dog...
GLComment -
3-0 early on....1 game pending...Comment -
PM sent.Comment -
really good 4th of July... PR went 7-2 +7.66 units... some of you might have played PHI too and picked up another win, but since I check it 10 min b4 gametime... it went to -135 and so it was not a play anymore...
filtered went 3-2 +1.97 units
run went 0-4 -4 units... not looking good this week... I might even drop the run plays at all... it seems like when run and PR are on different plays the PR always wins...
anyway on the week so far...PR is 22-18 +12.75 units (add the win from last week and you are up 22 units the last 14 days)... filtered is 12-8 +7.83 .... I dont know... seems like we dont need the filters anymore... as I said b4 they changed the system a few weeks back and the filters were based on what happend b4... but I will keep the filters for 2 or 3 more weeks and see how it does...
run is only 1-9 -6.4 units this week... for the season its hitting 42.8%...
and the new PR system (since June 18th) hits at a clip of 53.5% and is up 23.75 units ... I think if you only played it for $100 you would be up well over $2000 in 2.5 weeks... nice and easy profit I guess... lets hope it continues... and the best thing, you only had to pay vig for about 25% (and if you play a fav you hit them at a clip of 66% +8 units so far, might be a good idea to double up on favs) of the time... over 75% of the plays are dogs !!! ... hell I like the system now...
BB had a rough day going 1-3... but I expect the Cubs and Dodgers to win today (personla play so far)... so you can get your money back right here today...
todays plays later on...
GLComment -
todays plays:
PR TOR, CIN, PIT, SEA, PHI, COL, TX
filtered PR: CIN, PIT, SEA, PHI, COL, TX
run: TOR; PIT, NYM, CWS, ARZ... dogs only
GLComment -
yeah I think I will stop looking at the run plays starting on Monday...
another interesting thing I found when I analyzed the last 2 weeks this morning...
you would be up 50+ units for the last two weeks if you did the following/example for today:
unfiltered plays risk/win 1 unit Tor risk 1 unit
filtered plays risk/win 2 units PIT risk 2 units
if it is a fav (-101 or more) win 2 units COL win 2 units
now COL is also a filtered play so we would place wagers to win 4 units on them today... it looked very profitable doing it this way... I do it this way bc the win% of favs is very high so far (60+), plus filtered plays too (60+)
results this week by day:
MON: +5.05 units, TUE: +8.05 units, WED: +4.84 units, THU: +0.16 units, FRI: -3.86 units, SAT: +11.63 units ... for the week we would be up 25.87 units...
so for today you would play: (risk/win)
TOR (1 unit), CIN (2 units), PIT (2 units), SEA (2 units), PHI (2 units), COL (4 units), TX (2 units)...
lets see how it does... I just try to max. our profits here guys...
GLComment -
formulawiz
PHI is a filtered play !!... and OAK is a no play bc Gonzalez doesnt have 20 IP...
Originally Posted by peterpan19
todays plays:
PR TOR, CIN, PIT, SEA, PHI, COL, TX
filtered PR: CIN, PIT, SEA, PHI, COL, TX
run: TOR; PIT, NYM, CWS, ARZ... dogs only
GLComment -
...also dont forget...PHI could end up as a 4 unit play too today...if they have -101 or higher ... I will post 10 min b4 gametime what kind of play it will be...
GLComment -
Any stats on how BB's and PR preform when they suggest different teams in the same matchup?
How about something like this Pete?
- Unfiltered Plays - Risk 1 Unit
- If Fav - Win 1 Unit
- Filtered Plays - Risk 2 Units
- If Fav - Risk 4 Units
- BB and PR - Risk 2 Unit RL
- If Fav - Risk 4 Unit RL
- BB ≠ PR - Risk 1 Unit on BB or RL (depends on history)
Comment - Unfiltered Plays - Risk 1 Unit
-
NVM.Comment -
BTTNext
nope still a play... I already had the pitching change in when I posted the picks...
GL
Cannaloop
PR and BB are not on the same page most of the time...BB most of the time pick huge favs and the cutoff for PR is -130...
so I will stay with unfiltered plays 1 unit....if fav 3 units....filtered plays 2 units....if fav 4 units...
also most of the time (80+) when we have a fav it was a filtered play anyway... also fav is -anything...
GLComment -
also PHI is a 4 unit play today...
GL guysComment -
peter your record that you posted above with the units won
is that with you playing certian games more then 1 unit?? or is that the units you would have won if you played each game as 1 unit?Comment -
1 unit (risk/win) on every game since the new system started 61-53 +23.62 units
filtered plays (also 1 unit) 28-17 +17.38 units so far
hope it helps...Comment -
yep that helps
so what were you talking about earlier, phillies being a 4 unit play and some games being 2 unit playsComment -
I noticed 5 out of the 7 games we were playing the underdog??Comment -
nick6570
I was just talking about something that I am tracking right now...bc I noticed favs do better than the rest of the plays and filtered too (%)....so Phi was a 4 unit play and COL too... we should have won the COL game... but hey we had some bad beats today...SEA and TOR and COL all could have gone our way too, very close... but we will get it back...
unfiltered 2-5 -2.92 units.... for the last week we are 24-23 +9.7 units
filtered 2-4 -1.92 units..... for the week we are 14-12 +5.91 units
my weighted unit system was 2-5 -5.2 units (biggest loss so far).... for the week it is 24-23 +20.67 units
run went 1-4 -2.92 units.... for the week it is 2-13 -9.32 units ... so it is obvious now I wont follow it anymore... only the PR system...
BB went 2-0 again...
todays plays later
GLComment -
nick6570
like I said b4 ... 75% of our plays are on dogs... and when we play a fav we usually hit around 60% so far (19/29 65.5%)...and when we do we dont pay more than -130.... thats why favs are 2 unit plays in my system (and if they are a filtered play too they become a 4 unit play)...at least so far... filtered plays are 2 units and the rest 1 unit only...
I know I only have two weeks of data but so far it looks like this:
week fav filtered rest weighted-system-total
1 5.8u 9.55u -0.3u 30.4u
2 2.53u 5.91u 3.79u 20.67u
I dont think that we will make 30 units each week, but I think (no data to proove it) we should make 10-15 units per week... or at least I hope we willComment -
ok for monday we have:
unfiltered PR: ATL, CIN, TX, FLO and maybe DET (if less than -130), we would also have NYY but line is already way too high...
filtered PR: TX, FLO
GLComment -
TX and FLO are filtered plays....ATL 2L streak and CIN playing against PHI on 3W streak...Comment -
ok so it looks like DET wont be a play today...
so for my modified system.... 1 unit on ATL and CIN, 2 units on TX and FLO...
GLComment -
well looks like all 4 plays lost today...horrible day...again...seems like we are right in a little slump...so lets hope we break out of it today...
btw BB went 3-0 again...
GLComment -
PR: PHI, OAK, NYM, CHC, HOU, CLE, COL, BAL, SF... but PHI and COL will be probably too high for the system
filtered PR: OAK, CHC, HOU, CLE, SF and PHI/ COL if under -130
GLComment -
chc still a play...4 unit one and so is hou...
GLComment -
Just a question.. Could you guys post up the BB plays? Seems like they are on fire, but I can't differentiate between the filter plays and the BB's..
If not, that's ok too. Thanks for all the info guys!Comment
