Want a lock tomorrow - take Detroit Tigers (-117 currently)

agendaman · 08-17-14, 12:34 AM

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jtoler · 08-17-14, 12:41 AM

Did you say lock...SBR poster's win percentage on threads with the word lock in the title from Oct. 2009- July 2014 are currently at a paltry 16.4%.

mcdonae101 · 08-17-14, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by Plaza23

Chris Young's ERA is 3.20.
His X-FIP is 5.15 - that is the WORST in baseball among qualified starters.

Basically means he is due for a massive regression.

Now on the other side you got Robbie Ray - who is not very good but the Mariners havent seen him this year. Plus, they cant hit in general but are really bad vs LHP.

I expect the Tigers to wake up after getting behind the Royals and finish strong. Cant see them losing this series tomorrow.

Load up on the Tigers. Lot of people were expecting the Tigers to make it to the World Series a few weeks ago. What happened since then? Nothing. They just went in a slump and now everyone is betting against them. Be smart, get back on em.

TIGERS!

There must have been a lot of idiots then, anyone who said Detroit going to World Series is a fuking idiot. Their bullpen is atrocious, they likely don't even make postseason

carll · 08-17-14, 09:44 AM

Seattle wins thanks

labones00 · 08-17-14, 09:52 AM

Seattle is one of my top two plays for today
at least one of us will be winning! BOL

whtsox13 · 08-17-14, 10:10 AM

Mariners vs LHP = 25W-16L. That's really bad?

SBRMAN23 · 08-17-14, 10:13 AM

Interesting record they have the lowest on base percentage vs lefties in whole Al but winning record wtf lol hmm don't know which way to lean game a toss up rather play the under Bol

Pauulzcappin · 08-17-14, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

Interesting record they have the lowest on base percentage vs lefties in whole Al but winning record wtf lol hmm don't know which way to lean game a toss up rather play the under Bol

The very positive record against lefties is pretty obvious to me which is what defines their team as whole: Their pitching carries the team.

SBRMAN23 · 08-17-14, 10:19 AM

Even more reason to like the under haven't pulled the trigger yet

Pauulzcappin · 08-17-14, 10:57 AM

Small sample size but it looks like only Torii Hunter can hit Chris Young

SBRMAN23 · 08-17-14, 11:12 AM

And hunter out of lineup today

KRIT · 08-17-14, 12:20 PM

1-0 Ms. Robbie Ray is horrible. Can't believe they gave up Fister for him.

Simon Gruber · 08-17-14, 12:23 PM

Just. Take. Him. Out.

KRIT · 08-17-14, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by Simon Gruber

Just. Take. Him. Out.

Bullpen isn't much of an upgrade. Detroit is fukked here. I do think Tigers will get to Chris Young though.

labones00 · 08-17-14, 12:28 PM

This might be solid advice

...just like that jjgold guy telling everyone to take the Dodgers last night. Stop making this claims if you can't back it up with some stats or an angle

Simon Gruber · 08-17-14, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Bullpen isn't much of an upgrade. Detroit is fukked here. I do think Tigers will get to Chris Young though.

Some of these teams really need at least one decent long reliever. Ray had 1.47 WHIP in AAA. What piece of fvcking shit decided that this loser deserved another chance over Verhagen?

RavensFan2k3 · 08-17-14, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by labones00

This might be solid advice

...just like that jjgold guy telling everyone to take the Dodgers last night. Stop making this claims if you can't back it up with some stats or an angle

Right...ppl post so much losers on here that I feel the books do it to deter winners lmao

ZIPPER HEAD · 08-17-14, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by Plaza23

Chris Young's ERA is 3.20.
His X-FIP is 5.15 - that is the WORST in baseball among qualified starters.

Basically means he is due for a massive regression.

Now on the other side you got Robbie Ray - who is not very good but the Mariners havent seen him this year. Plus, they cant hit in general but are really bad vs LHP.

I expect the Tigers to wake up after getting behind the Royals and finish strong. Cant see them losing this series tomorrow.

Load up on the Tigers. Lot of people were expecting the Tigers to make it to the World Series a few weeks ago. What happened since then? Nothing. They just went in a slump and now everyone is betting against them. Be smart, get back on em.

TIGERS!

Detroit is never a lock young grasshopper. Is this your first day betting mlb

labones00 · 08-17-14, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Right...ppl post so much losers on here that I feel the books do it to deter winners lmao

It's really simple, make your own picks, do your own research. If you chose to "tail" people in here then you are taking all the control out of betting. It's pretty obvious the majority of people in this forum are not very good at betting on baseball. The books are not sending people into these forums to mess people up lol. It's typical behavior for our society, do none of the work and somehow get paid off big. Ain't that easy

RavensFan2k3 · 08-17-14, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by labones00

It's really simple, make your own picks, do your own research. If you chose to "tail" people in here then you are taking all the control out of betting. It's pretty obvious the majority of people in this forum are not very good at betting on baseball. The books are not sending people into these forums to mess people up lol. It's typical behavior for our society, do none of the work and somehow get paid off big. Ain't that easy

I wasnt saying the books are infact doing that, I was just exaggerating how much losing picks people post and claim them to be locks

I was agreeing with you. People just post picks, no reasoning and get upset when you question then in order to create discussion. They just want you to tail or shut up lol. And then it loses lol.

LtDarsh · 08-17-14, 01:42 PM

looking real good

44 Mag · 08-17-14, 01:44 PM

Man, Detroit ??? WTF is wrong with them ?????

Mikail · 08-17-14, 01:49 PM

Plaza23 · 08-17-14, 01:52 PM

Sorry fellas. Chris Young is horrible. The stats back it up. I cant explain how he hasnt given up way more runs than he has this year. I'm going to fade and martingale him until I get my money back.

Tigers, at home, one of the best offenses in the league going against the garbage that is Chris Young. At less than -120. Thats good value. Sometimes even good bets dont win.

labones00 · 08-17-14, 02:01 PM

No need to be sorry, like I said the Mariners were one of my top plays of the day. Did you even look at Seattle's record vs. lefties? (26-16) and their performance in day games (23-16) not to mention they are 8-2 in their last 10 games....

RavensFan2k3 · 08-17-14, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by Plaza23

Sorry fellas. Chris Young is horrible. The stats back it up. I cant explain how he hasnt given up way more runs than he has this year. I'm going to fade and martingale him until I get my money back.

Tigers, at home, one of the best offenses in the league going against the garbage that is Chris Young. At less than -120. Thats good value. Sometimes even good bets dont win.

But if Chris Young is garbage, what is Robbie Ray? Robbie Ray -120 vs Chris Young made sense? Thats a good bet?

Plaza23 · 08-17-14, 02:21 PM

Robbie Ray isn't very good but he was going against the worst offense vs left handers in the league. Chris Young, due for a massive regression, going against one of the best offenses.

I like that matchup. It lost. Whatever. Not going to defend my reasoning other than fading Chris young from here on out. His type of luck with era being way under xfip never lasts an entire year. Seemed its correct itself vs the tigers but it didnt. Oh well.

RavensFan2k3 · 08-17-14, 02:25 PM

Im not bashing you, or the pick or anything...and I can see how you could like the pick, but lock...either way, lets get the next pick

labones00 · 08-17-14, 02:29 PM

I'm just asking what information you looked at besides the starting pitcher(s)...?