Mlb 2014

[iloseagain]

he didnt make it a play but it was a play from yesterday and the line dropped today so he didnt play it.. but i played it small for the hell of it and freakin billy hamilton hits a solo shot to push.. didnt even know that dude had HR power

Can't see much reason not to play Cubs FF again tomorrow, all things being equal. Will be interested to see where line opens.

Cubs (Samadzija) FF ML that I played at +130 yesterday opened at +116 today. Bah.

[Nick Nacho]

adding

1* Braves/Marlins runs + hits + errors under 22 (-115)

Tuesday 4.29.2014 updated card
1* Mets FF ML (+135)
1* Braves/Marlins under 6 (+100)
1* Braves/Marlins R+H+E under 22 (-115)
1* A's/Rangers under 8 (-105)
1* Rockies ML (-105)

How do you find this type of bet (1* Braves/Marlins runs + hits + errors under 22 (-115))? Is it available on 5dimes?

[iloseagain]

how do you find this type of bet (1* braves/marlins runs + hits + errors under 22 (-115))? Is it available on 5dimes?

yes it is, i dont use 5d so i dont know where it is but they definitely have it

[incognitoh]

yes it is, i dont use 5d so i dont know where it is but they definitely have it

Select "Props" under Baseball. That is where you find it as well as which team scores first, no score or score in 1st inning, etc...

[BiffTFinancial]

Tuesday 4.29.2014 final card
1* Mets FF ML (+135) - WINNER
1* Braves/Marlins under 6 (+100) - LOSER
1* Braves/Marlins R+H+E under 22 - LOSER
1* A's/Rangers under 8 (-105) - LOSER
1* Rockies ML (-105) - WINNER
1* Tribe TT over 3' (-115) - WINNER

3-3 +0.15u Tuesday

Damn my eyes for playing both Braves/Fish game under, RHE under.

67-52-7 +16.64u MLB to date

[BiffTFinancial]

Select "Props" under Baseball. That is where you find it as well as which team scores first, no score or score in 1st inning, etc...

Correct, it's under props at 5D. Of course, it was better not to find it yesterday....

26 total RHE in game, 16 of which were in bottom of 3rd and bottom of 6th. Double bah.

[Jay Millz]

Tuesday 4.29.2014 final card
1* Mets FF ML (+135) - WINNER
1* Braves/Marlins under 6 (+100) - LOSER
1* Braves/Marlins R+H+E under 22 - LOSER
1* A's/Rangers under 8 (-105) - LOSER
1* Rockies ML (-105) - WINNER
1* Tribe TT over 3' (-115) - WINNER

3-3 +0.15u Tuesday

Damn my eyes for playing both Braves/Fish game under, RHE under.

67-52-7 +16.64u MLB to date

Green is green in my eyes.

[shaggydog88]

Cards

[BiffTFinancial]

Yadi Molina out of lineup for Cards. Lean under in that game, over in Tigers/CWS, not sure yet that I like either enough to play them.

[BiffTFinancial]

Wednesday 4.30.2014
1* Marlins first five innings ML (-103)

[BiffTFinancial]

passing on afternoon games

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Padres/Giants under 7 (-102)

Wednesday 4.30.2014 updated card
1* Marlins FF ML (-103)
1* Padres/Giants under 7 (-102)

[RavensFan2k3]

I really like Miami today, but hate playing FF. You really feel this is better than full game in this situation? Is Miami bullpen trash?

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Rays ML (+103)

Wednesday 4.30.2014 updated card
1* Marlins FF ML (-103)
1* Rays ML (+103)
1* Padres/Giants under 7 (-102)

[BiffTFinancial]

I really like Miami today, but hate playing FF. You really feel this is better than full game in this situation? Is Miami bullpen trash?

I wouldn't say that Marlins pen is trash, but they do have Carlos Marmol out there... Braves pen definitely better.

My angle is that i think that Braves will really struggle vs Eovaldi, i think that Harang is due for some serious regression and Marlins bats are hot. i just like FF better than full game here. I know who will be starting, but no clue as to relievers, and Braves pen is one of the best, so i think that FF will be more predictable. If Braves build a lead on the Fish, i think that a rested Braves pen is likely to hold it.

Out of curiosity, why do you hate FF? In my humble opinion, any play that (a) offers the possibility of a push, or (b) has a plus sign next to it is generally preferable. BOL whatever you decide.

[Smutbucket]

What about just the under in that one?I think I like a that better than just the fish....I only watched harang once this season on pitch tracker and it was very impressive.....plus we got high humidity like always in so fla......ur the totals expert..... What's ur models take on it?

[Jay Millz]

Thoughts on Oak ML biff?

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Dodgers/Twins over 7.5 (+104)

Wednesday 4.30.2014 updated card
1* Marlins FF ML (-103)
1* Rays ML (+103)
1* Dodgers/Twins over 7' (+104)
1* Padres/Giants under 7 (-102)

[BiffTFinancial]

What about just the under in that one?I think I like a that better than just the fish....I only watched harang once this season on pitch tracker and it was very impressive.....plus we got high humidity like always in so fla......ur the totals expert..... What's ur models take on it?

I actually lean over there, esp if roof is open (model says around 7.3 with roof closed, 8+ if open). I think that Harang is due for some serious regression (how could he not regress, given his ERA of 0.85)? I see a lot of sharp guys on under but I'm not crazy about it. I also don't like this ump (Barber) for under. BOL whatever you decide.

[BiffTFinancial]

Thoughts on Oak ML biff?

I didn't even cap that game. I generally pass on any game with Laz Diaz behind the plate because he's a penetrating psycho. Model leans A's despite their struggles vs lefties (though it's worth noting that they didn't struggle to hit LHP last night....).

[BiffTFinancial]

1* Rays ML (+103) - POSTPONED

[labones00]

Yadi Molina out of lineup for Cards. Lean under in that game, over in Tigers/CWS, not sure yet that I like either enough to play them.

Cards game already at 9 runs total and they are only in the top of the 5th lol

Where do you get information on where the "sharps" $ is going? Just curious...

[BiffTFinancial]

Cards game already at 9 runs total and they are only in the top of the 5th lol

Where do you get information on where the "sharps" $ is going? Just curious...

Yeah, glad i laid off of the Brewers/Cards under.

Is your question re: sharp money in reference to my comment to Smut re: Braves/Marlins under? If so, my comment has to do with seeing a handful of guys that I respect on that under, not the line move/market.

Generally speaking, where a significant percentage of the public (like 2/3 or more) is on a given side, but the line moves the other way, people will say that "smart money" is contra the public. I don't worry too much about line moves vs public sides in baseball. I'm primarily concerned with getting the price/value that i want. Unless you can rule out other reasons as to why a line moves/identify the reason behind the move, you can be chasing your tail on stuff like that. In baseball, so many things happen that can influence a line (line-up news, primarily) that i'd prefer not attribute a 10-cent line movement to some unseen force. I like to see the market agree with me because then i got a good price, not because i think that "smart money" knows what will happen before the game is played. Track it over time, "smart money" loses plenty.

[BiffTFinancial]

Thinking about Cubs FF ML and Nats RL. Time to put in some more work on those.

If anyone is considering the Angels, you can feel free to pull the trigger. Kipnis out for Tribe, McAllister has never gone on three days rest before, CJ Wilson is great in day games (4 pm local time start) and Tribe stuggles vs lefties. I wish that i could bring myself to fade my beloved Tribe, but it's still penetrating April.

[RavensFan2k3]

I wouldn't say that Marlins pen is trash, but they do have Carlos Marmol out there... Braves pen definitely better.

My angle is that i think that Braves will really struggle vs Eovaldi, i think that Harang is due for some serious regression and Marlins bats are hot. i just like FF better than full game here. I know who will be starting, but no clue as to relievers, and Braves pen is one of the best, so i think that FF will be more predictable. If Braves build a lead on the Fish, i think that a rested Braves pen is likely to hold it.

Out of curiosity, why do you hate FF? In my humble opinion, any play that (a) offers the possibility of a push, or (b) has a plus sign next to it is generally preferable. BOL whatever you decide.

I guess I've been burned so many times where who I bet on will be losing aftet 5, but win the game. Or they wont hit the pitcher till the 6th or so. This is especially so with games with low totals

[SnakesPicks]

I hate going against my Reds, I also have a bad percentage when I do. But I think Angels again tonight, mostly lousy averages on Indians side and LA's hitters really warming up in California sun.

[BiffTFinancial]

Pass on Cubs. What the penetrate am I thinking wanting to back Edwin Jackson?

[BiffTFinancial]

I guess I've been burned so many times where who I bet on will be losing aftet 5, but win the game. Or they wont hit the pitcher till the 6th or so. This is especially so with games with low totals

Fair enough. Rule #1: never book a play that you don't like, because then you'll kick yourself twice if it loses.

[BiffTFinancial]

I hate going against my Reds, I also have a bad percentage when I do. But I think Angels again tonight, mostly lousy averages on Indians side and LA's hitters really warming up in California sun.

I'm genuinely tempted to play Halos -1 RL (-108). I hate fading Tribe, but then again, right now I hate watching them. They are baaaaaad right now.

[RavensFan2k3]

Fair enough. Rule #1: never book a play that you don't like, because then you'll kick yourself twice if it loses.

I like FF especially given your rationale, but also like the full game, but Im not sure which is stronger

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Nationals RL (+115)

Wednesday 4.30.2014 updated card
1* Marlins FF ML (-103)
1* Rays ML (+103) - POSTPONED
1* Dodgers/Twins over 7' (+104)
1* Nationals RL (+115)
1* Padres/Giants under 7 (-102)

BOL to all tonight.

[BiffTFinancial]

Wanted to fade beloved Tribe with Halos -1 RL, but couldn't bring myself to do it. Heard Lou Brown's voice in my head, beseeching, "It's only April."

[BiffTFinancial]

Headed out back later tonight. BOL fellas.

[whtsox13]

Out of curiosity, why do you hate FF? In my humble opinion, any play that (a) offers the possibility of a push, or (b) has a plus sign next to it is generally preferable. BOL whatever you decide.

I guess I've been burned so many times where who I bet on will be losing after 5, but win the game. Or they wont hit the pitcher till the 6th or so. This is especially so with games with low totals

Agree w/ Ravens mostly. To be more esoteric its the human element; teams of course want to be winning after 5 innings but are mentally emotionally physically geared to that 9 inning finish line. FF is an enigma to me, and to get that push or plus sign I'd prefer a -1 full game wager. Like your style Biff, keep it going sir.

[RavensFan2k3]

Only reason why you arent betting LAA is because you dont want to go against your team? Or do you think they can win? Im afraid to bet that game because I bet Indians the last two, now watch my bet Angels, and CLE win smh

Agree w/ Ravens mostly. To be more esoteric its the human element; teams of course want to be winning after 5 innings but are mentally emotionally physically geared to that 9 inning finish line. FF is an enigma to me, and to get that push or plus sign I'd prefer a -1 full game wager. Like your style Biff, keep it going sir.

Exactly. Teams arent really trying to win the first five, so its more of a gamble.