on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/16/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 22-1-0; Profit: +11.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 17-6; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 1-5; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 4-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
none (CLE/DET is only a 2 game series since the PPD game yesterday hasnt been rescheduled)

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[bbedore]

What about CHC/NYY? The Yanks closed at -200 (so I took the RL for even money). O/U closed at 7.5, so it isn't a filtered play.

[on3]

What about CHC/NYY? The Yanks closed at -200 (so I took the RL for even money). O/U closed at 7.5, so it isn't a filtered play.

Only a 2 game series, no play. I posted an update earlier.

[tr4sh]

Hey on3, when does the real fun begin (labby)? :P

[bbedore]

Only a 2 game series, no play. I posted an update earlier.

Sorry about that. Didn't see the earlier post.

[on3]

Hey on3, when does the real fun begin (labby)? :P

to be honest, this way is easier to track. but instead of doing a 3 line labby, i might just do a one line labby. im still debating what the most efficient way is.

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/17/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 22-1-0; Profit: +11.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 17-6; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 1-5; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 4-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) Tampa Bay -170

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[on3]

if anyone wants some more action, im playing COL and MIL today, both ML and reverse run line at -1.5.

[Joe05ca]

R u goin half and half of a unit on each game?

[on3]

R u goin half and half of a unit on each game?

one unit on each play. personal plays, not system affiliated.

[on3]

PSA: I wont be able to do the daily post next Thursday April 24th and need someone to post for me. Thanks in advance.

[knugen]

I can post the plays. Only One question. We are oonly playing ML right? Newer RL on dogs?

[on3]

I can post the plays. Only One question. We are oonly playing ML right? Newer RL on dogs?

correct. if the ML is > -190 i play the fave RL.

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/18/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 22-1-0; Profit: +11.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 17-7; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 1-5; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 4-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) TB -108
(A) OAK -210/+100 -- play RL
(A) TEX -153
(A) LAD -178
(A) COL -150

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) TEX -153
(A) COL -150

5/2
none

[HowardRoark]

What would happen if you start a series, first game is lost, and the second or third game gets rained out?

[on3]

What would happen if you start a series, first game is lost, and the second or third game gets rained out?

if game 1 loses and game 2 is rained out, you wait to see if there is a 2x header the next day. if not, then you eat the one unit loss and move on.

[HowardRoark]

if game 1 loses and game 2 is rained out, you wait to see if there is a 2x header the next day. if not, then you eat the one unit loss and move on.

That's what i figured. Thanks!

[on3]

sorry for the late post

(B) LAD -185

[Linkan]

Does anyone know a good site to see all 3 game series coming up?

[knugen]

Covers.com

[Linkan]

On3: Have i got it right when the history of this system shows that the beginning of the season is more risky. You mentioned going easy the first two weeks or so. If one was thinking about increasing the unit amount, now would be a good time?

[thompson182]

Meatspin.com typically posts a few series ahead of time

[parlay100]

Meatspin.com typically posts a few series ahead of time

yes here. And it is HD.

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/21/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 27-1-0; Profit: +16.28 units
Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 20-8; 5-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-5; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 4-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) SEA -250/-107 -- play RL
(A) ATL -175
(A) DET -195/+110 -- play RL
(A) CLE -152

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none
5/2
none

[on3]

LABBY LINES

So I wanted to ask everyone who follows this thread a question: do you like the current setup where I simply list the plays and the stage of the chase (A, B C) or do you want me to start posting a labby line where i tell you how much to bet? In past years I ran a three line labby, one for A, B, C. If I do run the labby line this year, I think I am going to just run it on one line and we would strike a number(s) off with every play. The A bet would be one strike, B bet would be 2 strikes, C bet would be three strikes.

Pros -- you dont have to calculate the betting amounts, lost units are recouped (in theory)
Cons -- lines can get big and present greater risk, not everyone has the same unit size, can be slightly confusing when numbers get shuffled

Let me know, thank you!

[thompson182]

I just like ABC, use my own Martingale

[analyzer]

Labby line

[dlunc3]

labby

[Yoinkerz]

abc

[Linkan]

Does not matter to me.

[BRAVES1985]

labby

[J.M. Disciple]

LABBY LINES

So I wanted to ask everyone who follows this thread a question: do you like the current setup where I simply list the plays and the stage of the chase (A, B C) or do you want me to start posting a labby line where i tell you how much to bet? In past years I ran a three line labby, one for A, B, C. If I do run the labby line this year, I think I am going to just run it on one line and we would strike a number(s) off with every play. The A bet would be one strike, B bet would be 2 strikes, C bet would be three strikes.

Pros -- you dont have to calculate the betting amounts, lost units are recouped (in theory)
Cons -- lines can get big and present greater risk, not everyone has the same unit size, can be slightly confusing when numbers get shuffled

Let me know, thank you!

I am just checking in and wanted to thank you for running the thread once again. I do vote for the labby has martingale didn't prove profitable long term with this system. I remember posting something last year where I ran a test using a 1 line labby with the plays and line would just get way too heavy. I think your 3 line labby suits this system best even though it will be less profit then a 1 line labby. I would advocate since A bet has the highest win rate just do two lines. One for A and one for B and C, but when your A line clears move your B/C line up and start a fresh b/c line.

Regarding your A = 1 strike, B = 2 strike, and C = 3 strike in theory this is good for a system like the JM NBA system long term since C has the highest win rate. However, this system the A bets have the highest win rate, so would recommend if your going to take that approach let A be the highest strike count. Also the 1 strike, 2 strike, 3 strike would be similar to a martingale I would think. If you start with 1 # and lose 2 times you would have 3 #s on your line, but your C bet would be for 3 strike.

There are so many different variations to bet this system it is really up to you since its your thread. I would just run the labby one side and post the plays, letter, o/u 9 filter, and amount your betting.

Good Luck

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/22/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 29-1-0; Profit: +18.28 units
Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 22-10; 5-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-5; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 4-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) SEA -169
(B) DET -238/-110 -- play RL
(A) TB -205/+105 -- play RL

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none
5/2
none

[on3]

I will start running the labby on 4/25. The 5/2 will be active then as well.

[knugen]

Shouldnt tampa be a play today. 3 games against Minnesota starting today.?