Mebaran's 2013 MLB Hangout

EXhoosier10 · 03-08-13, 05:26 PM

Make that 4 straight blown leads in the 7th or later.

Also, my Oakland bet that I made but didn't bother posting was cancelled when they were winning 10-1. Anybody need some fade material?

mebaran · 03-09-13, 10:27 AM

3/9:

Pirates over Twins -130

Might be more later

mebaran · 03-09-13, 10:38 AM

..adding Blue Jays over Tigers -115

mebaran · 03-10-13, 09:58 AM

Yesterday, 1-1, -0.30u

Overall, 15-13-4, +0.30u

mebaran · 03-10-13, 10:15 AM

Today (possibly more in a few minutes):

Red Sox +125

mebaran · 03-10-13, 10:22 AM

adding:

Angels EV

EXhoosier10 · 03-10-13, 11:42 AM

no plays for me today.

YTD 15-14-2 + 0.9045u

mebaran · 03-10-13, 06:50 PM

Today went 1-1, +0.25u

Overall: 16-14-4, +0.55u

EXhoosier10 · 03-11-13, 10:41 AM

Shot in the dark, but does anyone have an easy source for how long SP are going at this point in ST?

Hanger · 03-11-13, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Shot in the dark, but does anyone have an easy source for how long SP are going at this point in ST?

Over on CBS Sports MLB Spring Training Stats it has a cumulative for Innings/Start Under the Extended Stats. ATL has the highest at 3.1 and Seattle is lowest at 1.9

Not exactly what you asked for, but its all I've been able to find so far

mebaran · 03-11-13, 03:46 PM

Haven't seen anyone go more than 5 yet, I don't think. I don't have a source though, no.

mebaran · 03-11-13, 09:32 PM

Found some edge in mlb game props. Can't wait to use them as I am a smallish bettor. These are great for growing a bankroll.

I'll also be looking into player game props, but to a lesser degree as they require a bit more effort. If they prove to be +EV, I'll allocate some more time for them..but as of right now, its mainly straight bets, a few totals, and game props.

Seasons almost here, boys..

italianbandit · 03-12-13, 11:04 AM

Looking forward to this thread, best of luck.

EXhoosier10 · 03-12-13, 11:42 AM

No plays again for me. Value has just been sucked out of every favorite IMO. Every favorite is -130 or so.

mebaran · 03-12-13, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Looking forward to this thread, best of luck.

Thank you, sir. Will do my best.

mebaran · 03-14-13, 10:02 AM

Will officially end spring training selections in this thread, in case anyone was wondering. These were, as previously stated, only for fun to get a feel for running the model in-season, etc. Overall Spring Training 2013: 16-14-4, +0.55u

On schedule for Opening Day plays.

EXhoosier10 · 03-15-13, 09:46 AM

Just going to throw these out to look back on at the end of the season. Who I think will win, and who I would bet based on current odds.

AL EAST
Win: Tampa Bay +300
Best Value: Tampa Bay +300

AL CENTRAL
Win: Detroit -250
Best Value: Kansas City +800

AL WEST
Win: LA Angels -145
Best Value: LA Angels -145

NL EAST
Win: Washington -120
Best Value: Washington -120, although i'm really tempted to take Atlanta +240

NL CENTRAL
Win: Cincinnati -120
Best Value: St. Louis +250 :: Can Matheny & Yadi carry on the LaRussa / Duncan legacy of useless starting pitchers becoming stars? I say yes.

NL WEST
Win: LA Dodgers -115
Best Value: LA Dodgers -115

I haven't made any plays on these or any other futures for that matter. Just throwing these out there

mebaran · 03-20-13, 04:10 AM

Still wanted to see if anyone wants to play fantasy on the side this year...we can do it for points or not, it's up to you all..

Let me know!

italianbandit · 03-20-13, 12:20 PM

Originally posted by mebaran

Still wanted to see if anyone wants to play fantasy on the side this year...we can do it for points or not, it's up to you all..

Let me know!

I wish meb, no time.

mebaran · 03-20-13, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

I wish meb, no time.

I hear ya...

bhssoccer89 · 03-20-13, 08:54 PM

i would be down

EXhoosier10 · 03-21-13, 07:26 AM

Placed my first future/team prop:

Toronto Under 88.5 wins @ -105 ~ 1u

EXhoosier10 · 03-21-13, 08:10 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Just going to throw these out to look back on at the end of the season. Who I think will win, and who I would bet based on current odds.

AL EAST
Win: Tampa Bay +300
Best Value: Tampa Bay +300

AL CENTRAL
Win: Detroit -250
Best Value: Kansas City +800

AL WEST
Win: LA Angels -145
Best Value: LA Angels -145

NL EAST
Win: Washington -120
Best Value: Washington -120, although i'm really tempted to take Atlanta +240

NL CENTRAL
Win: Cincinnati -120
Best Value: St. Louis +250 :: Can Matheny & Yadi carry on the LaRussa / Duncan legacy of useless starting pitchers becoming stars? I say yes.

NL WEST
Win: LA Dodgers -115
Best Value: SF Giants +205

I haven't made any plays on these or any other futures for that matter. Just throwing these out there

Changing this due to the greinke scare as well as Hanley missing time. I'll probably make a play or two on WS/pennant props early next week

mebaran · 03-21-13, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Changing this due to the greinke scare as well as Hanley missing time. I'll probably make a play or two on WS/pennant props early next week

Nice nice

mebaran · 03-24-13, 07:49 PM

My boy Adam Eaton....damn that hurts the D'Backs. This guy is a legitimate starting major leaguer and now he's out for a few months possibly. Ugh...

EXhoosier10 · 03-25-13, 06:35 AM

Originally posted by mebaran

My boy Adam Eaton....damn that hurts the D'Backs. This guy is a legitimate starting major leaguer and now he's out for a few months possibly. Ugh...

tough loss for them. I was excited to see what he could do.

Either way, this last week or so of ST has been dragging forever. lets get this season started!

EXhoosier10 · 03-31-13, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Placed my first future/team prop:

Toronto Under 88.5 wins @ -105 ~ 1u

St. Louis Cardinals win NL Central @ +255 ~ 0.5u

I'll try to get a few more O/U's in before the 7:05 start

EXhoosier10 · 03-31-13, 10:37 PM

KC, stl, and phi all booked tonight at 5d. +132, +105, +115 or something close to those each for .5u. Will post more details tomorrow, just wanted to get these out for those looking for early bets

mebaran · 04-01-13, 06:34 AM

Will have some props for today probably, and will start the moneyline plays for tomorrow's games.

EXhoosier10 · 04-01-13, 08:26 AM

FUTURES

Toronto Under 88.5 wins @ -105 ~ 1u
Atlanta Under 87.5 wins @ -105 ~ 1u
Houston Over 59.5 wins @ +105 ~ 1u
St. Louis Over 86.5 wins @ 105 ~ 0.5u

St. Louis Cardinals win NL Central @ +255 ~ 0.5u

April 1

Cardinals +103 ~ 0.5u
Phillies +114 ~ 0.5u
Royals +132 ~ 0.5u

italianbandit · 04-01-13, 11:09 AM

Good luck Ex.

mebaran · 04-01-13, 11:59 AM

BOS/NYY Score in 1st Inning - YES $130 to win $141 (two different prices)

CHN/PIT o24 H+R+E -115 -- $27.85 to win $25

STL/ARI o27 H+R+E -115 -- $27.85 to win $25

KC/CHA o24 H+R+E -115 -- $27.85 to win $25

DET/MIN o24 H+R+E -115 -- $27.85 to win $25

italianbandit · 04-01-13, 12:20 PM

Good luck Baron

EXhoosier10 · 04-01-13, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

April 1

Cardinals +103 ~ 0.5u
Phillies +114 ~ 0.5u
Royals +132 ~ 0.5u

Adding one last play
Cubs +120 ~ 0.5u

Hey Italian, are you posting anywherE?

italianbandit · 04-01-13, 12:34 PM

It takes me a few weeks to get rolling, then I'll start posting some plays, last year I posted in PAC's thread.