K. Leonard to win MVP (+5000)

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  • STAX
    SBR MVP
    • 11-01-13
    • 3718

    #1
    K. Leonard to win MVP (+5000)
    This guy is a future superstar in the NBA... I cannot believe he is +5000 to win finals MVP... Bet Leonard and Duncan (+250), and you will make a little money or a lot. Parker wont win MVP and Spurs will def win the series
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    He already is a very good player

    Good bet
    Comment
    • Pauulzcappin
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-23-10
      • 20295

      #3
      I think there is no way they don't give it to timmy
      Comment
      • Seto
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-16-11
        • 12906

        #4
        Wow that does seem worth a bet woulda thought it would be around +1500
        Comment
        • phillybadboy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-11-09
          • 9383

          #5
          how many stacks high society?
          Comment
          • Ballin24
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-06-14
            • 715

            #6
            cant find it anyone have a link to the bet?
            Comment
            • STAX
              SBR MVP
              • 11-01-13
              • 3718

              #7
              You can put $100 on Duncan (+250), LeBron (+130), and Leonard (+5000), Lose $70 if LeBron wins it, win $50 if Duncan does, and win $4800 if Leonard does. Seems like a lock Duncan or LeBron will win it, and you got a really good shot at a big payout if leonard does. I just cant see Parker winning it being hurt and all, and no one else seems to have a shot IMO... maybe Wade (+800) but I think Leonard has as good of a shot as Wade
              Comment
              • Ralphie Halves
                SBR MVP
                • 12-13-09
                • 4507

                #8
                Leonard already the 2nd best player on the team IMO. Good value if true.
                Comment
                • THam12
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-12-13
                  • 12640

                  #9
                  No.
                  Heat win it goes to LBJ, spurs win it goes to Tim or Parker.

                  Cmon now. If spurs win it is not gonna be because Leonard carried them. The old boys are the only way San wins.
                  Comment
                  • mcdonae101
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-02-14
                    • 3646

                    #10
                    It should go to joey Crawford. What's the line on that
                    Comment
                    • Seaweed
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 01-19-12
                      • 26318

                      #11
                      Sneaky players never win
                      Comment
                      • CWD
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-22-12
                        • 7665

                        #12
                        he can win, but he'll have to avg like 30+ a game to even sniff it
                        Comment
                        • Bostongambler
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-01-08
                          • 35581

                          #13
                          Good find. gl
                          Comment
                          • James Marques
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-04-14
                            • 1605

                            #14
                            Originally posted by STAX
                            You can put $100 on Duncan (+250), LeBron (+130), and Leonard (+5000), Lose $70 if LeBron wins it, win $50 if Duncan does, and win $4800 if Leonard does. Seems like a lock Duncan or LeBron will win it, and you got a really good shot at a big payout if leonard does. I just cant see Parker winning it being hurt and all, and no one else seems to have a shot IMO... maybe Wade (+800) but I think Leonard has as good of a shot as Wade
                            This is sharp right here. Think I'm gonna tail this.
                            Comment
                            • James Marques
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-04-14
                              • 1605

                              #15
                              Originally posted by mcdonae101
                              It should go to joey Crawford. What's the line on that
                              Okay, I'll admit it. I laughed.
                              Comment
                              • CWD
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-22-12
                                • 7665

                                #16
                                unless youre taking the favorites here its kind of like taking a wide receiver to win the heisman
                                Comment
                                • Eejit
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-22-11
                                  • 626

                                  #17
                                  Always the star player, Leonard would have to average 25+ pts 10+ reb and have an amazing series clinching game for them to give it to him over Duncan/Parker

                                  LBJ
                                  LBJ
                                  Dirk
                                  Kobe
                                  Kobe
                                  Pierce
                                  Parker
                                  Wade
                                  Duncan
                                  Comment
                                  • FranchisePlayer
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-05-11
                                    • 334

                                    #18
                                    I think this is the Finals where Ginobili redeems himself for last year and takes home the Finals MVP so all the big 3 have atleast one. Leonard was quietly the MVP last year though Green might of won it had we won game 6.
                                    Comment
                                    • seaborneq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-06
                                      • 22556

                                      #19
                                      Danny green would have been MVP if the series had ended after 5 games. He had nearly 30 three pointers in the first 5 games.
                                      Comment
                                      • jtoler
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-17-13
                                        • 30967

                                        #20
                                        Nice odds for a reason, if Spurs win it all then I cant see them doing it unless TP is doing the most for them, not to mention Bron will be guarding him, nice value no doubt but KL wont win it, but Ive been wrong before.
                                        Comment
                                        • MoneyLineDawg
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-01-09
                                          • 13253

                                          #21
                                          Not a bad shot at 50/1...If he holds Lebron in check for a few wins on defense I could see him gaining momentum as the key to the Spurs but he would have to add a decent amount of offense as well......The fact that the Spurs spread it around so much helps

                                          Might throw a little on it myself, good find
                                          Comment
                                          • paco
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-07-09
                                            • 62873

                                            #22
                                            Manu will be the X factor for spurs as usual
                                            Comment
                                            • UntilTheNDofTimE
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-29-08
                                              • 9285

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by FranchisePlayer
                                              I think this is the Finals where Ginobili redeems himself for last year and takes home the Finals MVP so all the big 3 have atleast one. Leonard was quietly the MVP last year though Green might of won it had we won game 6.
                                              Duncan won MVP, that was the vote. The tape was being set up and they were wheeling the trophy. It was well known that all the sports writers were given the email/text message to vote. Duncan would of took MVP. I read this somewhere, I think it was even ESPN.
                                              Comment
                                              • FranchisePlayer
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-05-11
                                                • 334

                                                #24
                                                I realize Leonard would not of actually won MVP. I am just saying he actually was their most important player. His defense, rebounding, and scoring really gave the Spurs the huge shot they had at winning.
                                                Comment
                                                • CWD
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-22-12
                                                  • 7665

                                                  #25
                                                  its actually a great number most spots around 20-1, i just think it doesnt have a shot
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sballen
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-26-14
                                                    • 815

                                                    #26
                                                    Sorry but i don't think there's a chance at this cashing. Alright, maybe a .5-1% chance of it cashing, but at 50-1 odds he would need a 1.96% chance of it cashing, thus it's -EV. While Leonard, in actuality, is a very important player and could very well be the true mvp on the spurs team for the series IF they win, there's no way they don't give it to Duncan, ginobili, or parker imo. Parker being the least likely of the three (due to injury uncertainty). As other posters have stated, he would need to average 25+ pts and probs close to 10+ rebounds for him to even be considered, and I don't see that happening with the way the Spurs spread the ball around.

                                                    these huge payout bets, while enticing, typically have -EV because many gamblers love to play them for the large payout. Just my two cents, not impossible he wins it, but pretty damn near close.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Git Lo
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-20-11
                                                      • 3785

                                                      #27
                                                      This is a good play because Leonard will play the most minutes of any spur unless he is in foul trouble and that likely wont happen. All the other star spur plays minutes will be managed and Parker isn't 100 either. Heat should win so it really negates it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • STAX
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-01-13
                                                        • 3718

                                                        #28
                                                        Duncan down to +200 and Leonard down to +2500
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FranchisePlayer
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-05-11
                                                          • 334

                                                          #29
                                                          What is Ginobili at?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • oldscho0led
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-18-11
                                                            • 1407

                                                            #30
                                                            What's the price for Green?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Gonz312
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-11
                                                              • 1467

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                              Duncan won MVP, that was the vote. The tape was being set up and they were wheeling the trophy. It was well known that all the sports writers were given the email/text message to vote. Duncan would of took MVP. I read this somewhere, I think it was even ESPN.
                                                              Yeah, Timmy was about to take it of they won game 6. He was dominating that game so that was the biggest reason why he was being voted it. Much like in 05 when Manu had a huge series, but Timmy had a big 4th qtr in game 7 amd took home MVP. The voters always have the most recent game in mind when voting.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RMStanley
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-03-11
                                                                • 824

                                                                #32
                                                                It's a decent bet but I have a hard time believing that Duncan or Parker wouldn't win the award if/when Los Spurritos prevail. MVP voting is one of the squarest things left in sports - absolutely no analytics go into the decision.

                                                                If you think the Spurs are going to win the series (which you obviously do - betting on Leonard to win MVP) I'd just roll with them at -120 and increase your bet size.

                                                                Gambling-wise, I don't think it gets much better than an 80% return on a bet that probably hits 7 times out of 10. I feel really good about Spurs taking this.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seto
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                                  • 12906

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Where is this +5000? Best I'm finding is +2800.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RMStanley
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-03-11
                                                                    • 824

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Eejit
                                                                    Always the star player, Leonard would have to average 25+ pts 10+ reb and have an amazing series clinching game for them to give it to him over Duncan/Parker

                                                                    LBJ
                                                                    LBJ
                                                                    Dirk
                                                                    Kobe
                                                                    Kobe
                                                                    Pierce
                                                                    Parker
                                                                    Wade
                                                                    Duncan
                                                                    +1. And there'd be even more incentive to reward Duncan or Parker given last season, their tenure, etc. Almost like a "lifetime achievement" award for either one of them. Leonard would have to be so head and shoulders above both of them that it's almost more likely LeBron would win it in a losing effort than Leonard take it as a winner (it last happened in 1969).
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheCentaur
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-28-11
                                                                      • 8108

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Yeah Leonard can completely go off some games

                                                                      I wouldn't be surprised if he got it if he scored 30-40 points a couple games including the final game which he is capable of doing
                                                                      Comment
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