[5mike5]

Alright guys it's finally that time to start the first official NASCAR race of the year!!! As usual can't wait to get a new season started up. Glad to be back around here after a few year mandatory hiatus. Just like before I'll make a thread for each CUP race every week. I'll still be studying my own driver/track personal notebooks and watching past events as I always have done for my own handicapping. This year with ALL the rule changes not sure what to expect but can't be any crazier than last year was overall.

This is for the actual Daytona 500 race. We already have a posted thread for the other speed week races like te Duels on Thursday night

DAYTONA is a 2.5 mile Tri-oval with 31 degrees banking in the turns and 18 degrees @ the start finish line. Front stretch is 3,000 ft with the back a little less at 3,000 ft

As always everybody's picks, race thoughts, and opinions are always welcomed and encouraged. This sub-forum was a cash cow for years so hopefully we can get it back there! Hope we all have a great season!!!



GOODLUCK!!!!!

[5mike5]

I made some early plays last month a few more yesterday. I will def have a cover for any plate race so not sure yet what it will be but maybe a play I already have. Will adjust bets according to how odds move and # of win wagers if I add on to anything or leave it. Took a few longshots already but will add several more plays overall this was just the start.

Truex +2200
dillon +3300
blaney +4500
Hamlin +1150

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Nascar forum about to heat up again.

[5mike5]

Added to Hamlin (+1350) blaney (+6000)

[5mike5]

Front Row qualifying starting now

[5mike5]

POLE--Chase Elliot
2ND---Dale JR

***all other spots determined by the DUELS Thursday night

[Optional]

Baby Bill Elliot on pole.

[5mike5]

Stat of the day:

no Daytona 500 pole winner has finished in the top 5 in the last 15 years

[5mike5]

Gonna be tough to decide on what single odds Guy to take. JR?, BK?,and Logano will be under 10-1 soon enough. Parlay always possible. Always tell myself don't go too wild for the 500 since it's so unpredictable, just usually never works out that way

[shaunovery]

Think junior will be bet down as low as 6-1 come raceday

[5mike5]

Think junior will be bet down as low as 6-1 come raceday

Id be stunned if he isn't

[5mike5]

Be interesting to see if odds shift any after being taken down yesterday. Of course whatever is going on with 5dimes NASCAR is odd to say the least. Only book to leave up 500 odds til AFTER the clash then took them down. Odds did shift in that time but not how I expected. Hamlin got BETTER somehow. If I was 100% sure on logano pick I should have jumped at 11-1 but didn't and probably will wish I had. Blaney had insane value imo at 60-1. Anyways be interesting to see if they overreact to even the front row starting positions. Lol

[Copizzle]

02/18 12:10 PM	Future/Prop	Pending	$500.00	$3,750.00	NASCAR Futures - Daytona 500 Brad Keselowski +750 for To Win ~ Daytona 500
02/12 07:48 PM	Future/Prop	Pending	$500.00	$6,000.00	NASCAR Futures - Daytona 500 Chase Elliott +1200 for To Win ~ Daytona 500
02/12 07:48 PM	Future/Prop	Pending	$500.00	$9,000.00	NASCAR Futures - Daytona 500 Martin Truex Jr +1800 for To Win ~ Daytona 500
02/12 07:48 PM	Future/Prop	Pending	$500.00	$9,000.00	NASCAR Futures - Daytona 500 Clint Bowyer +1800 for To Win ~ Daytona 500

You can see the date and time of these picks. Feel like the winner can come from one of these four. Got to eat the chalk with Brad K. He looks very strong and just has a great feel for the draft right now.

[5mike5]

Ur right any of those can surely win I agree. Just depends on luck of the draft. I'll probably be debating between BK and JR but not gonna play either as straight chalk. Just too low for a plate tack for me. Just gotta decide between them and which h2h I'll play with it. And that's if logano isn't around the same price.

BK is definitely a top plate track driver. If this was dega I would insta bet him

[5mike5]

The Greek just reposted odds.

JR new betting fav(shocker!) @ +650, Keslowski up to +800

pole winner stayed the same +1400

[5mike5]

Who had the best average finish at plate tracks last season?

Austin Dillon

[5mike5]

New odds posted at 5dimes!

trucks , xfinity, AND cup all posted!

[5mike5]

Brad odds haven't been HAMMERED down +375. No value there. And logano too. Knew I should have jumped before they went down on Joey . Of course they will change again after duels

[5mike5]

HAMLIN reopened last night @+1200

has already been HAMMERED down to +700

odds on all the top guys are GROSS right now. Yikes

[Optional]

5Dimes horrible for faves.

Jr fave at Crownbet +700
BK +800
Denny and Joey +1000
Jimmie, KyleB, Harvick +1200
Chase and Kenseth +1400

Everyone else over +2000



5Dimes

NASCAR Cup Series Nascar Cup Series Daytona 500
Thu 2/23 12:00PM

Brad Keselowski +350
Joey Logano +550
Dale Earnhardt Jr +650
Denny Hamlin +700
Kyle Busch +900
Kevin Harvick +1300
Jimmie Johnson +1350
Martin Truex Jr +1400
Matt Kenseth +1500
Chase Elliott +2000
Kyle Larson +2200
Kurt Busch +2650
Clint Bowyer +2650
Austin Dillon +2700
Jamie McMurray +3300
Daniel Suarez +3300
Kasey Kahne +4400
Erik Jones +4400
Ryan Blaney +4500
Trevor Bayne +6600
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +6600
Paul Menard +6600
Ryan Newman +6600
Casey Mears +10000
Aric Almirola +12500
A.J. Allmendinger +12500
Ty Dillon +12500
Danica Patrick +12500
Chris Buescher +16500

[5mike5]

Biggest mover since get reopens yesterday is that Hamlin dead +1200. Nobody else has moved really. Favs are gross I agree

[5mike5]

Not sure if they argue horribly mexpoaed with Brad, Denny, Joey or what. Never seen them wait SO long to post @ Greek does is 1 thing that's odd as well. Knew I should have jumped on Joey when they left odds posted during clash. Oh well they will change a lot still I would guess

not sure I'll be adding to my roster til after duels.

And nd I got Keslowski +450 for the DUEL race'. Better than 500 and only 1/2 the field. CRAZY

[5mike5]

Elliot has great odds at 20-1 now

*curse of the pole sitter scoring 0 top 5s last 15 years still scaring me off

[5mike5]

Absolutely LOVE blaney>ty dillon(-130)

[5mike5]

Added LOGANO (+850)

updated:
logano(+850)
hamlin (+1350)
truex (+2200)
dillon (+3300)
blaney (+6000)

probably 1 more and a cover and I'll be done. That one may include a parlayed winner just have to wait and see. And will be h2h parlay and/ or singles

[5mike5]

No idea why logano jumped up from +550 this morning to +850 this afternoon but figured it was time to take him rather than wait. No idea who else I'm taking but kennseth is becoming attractive in some fashion

[5mike5]

Absolutely LOVE blaney>ty dillon(-130)

ay like blaney>jones (+100) even more

[5mike5]

Added KENNETH (+1600)

**im done besides de using what my cover bet will be. Maybe somebody I already have or somebody new. Just have to look over %s and any addon bets I will make. So I guess possibly 1 more. It that will have a cover involved in some fashion u less I decide not to have 1 at all. Just depends

[Optional]

Practice cancelled due to rain.

Anyone know forecast for tonight?

[5mike5]

Practice cancelled due to rain.

Anyone know forecast for tonight?

15% chance of rain between 6PM-10pm.

[5mike5]

I don't feel very good about most of my 500 roster after watching duels blaney and Dillon impressed but nothing else

no no clue what I'm gonna do about a cover bet.shift current guy and add to roster or new guy. Sheesh

[5mike5]

JR, BK, HAMLIN just look heads above the comp. overall

[5mike5]

Any of u guys playing the trucks or xfinity races next few days??

[5mike5]

I'll be interested to see how the duels effect 500 odds when they post again

but Practice starts at 1PM today FYI

[Optional]

Chase and Denny and Bowyer and Kurt will all be shorter due to them I think