UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Anthony Hernandez, Geoff Neal & Alden Coria Headline Predictions
The Octagon touches down at the Toyota Center in Houston on Saturday, and I’m breaking it down with my UFC Fight Night predictions and best bets.
Anthony Hernandez (-275) and Sean Strickland (+200) collide, and I’m backing the red-hot Hernandez to extend his win streak to nine. I’m also taking Geoff Neal, Alden Coria, and underdog Dan Ige to get the job done.
The full card is available to stream live with a Paramount+ subscription. Early prelims start at 5 p.m. ET, the prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and the main card starts at 9 p.m. ET.
💰 UFC Fight Night best bets
See all of our UFC picks for this weekend's fights; pick confidence based a 1-to-5-star scale.
| Best bet | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Hernandez by decision vs. Strickland | +140 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Neal TKO vs. Medic | -130 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Coria TKO vs. Gurule | +250 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Ige by decision vs. Costa | +550 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐ |
🚀 My best UFC Fight Night pick: Hernandez by decision vs. Strickland ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Strickland has been fighting professionally for 18 years. And after 36 pro fights, it finally appears the 35-year-old former champion is starting to slow down.
“Fluffy” Hernandez, who's favored in the UFC Fight Night odds, enters this fight on an impressive 8-fight win streak, and he’s landed 43 takedowns during that stretch. Strickland is durable enough to last the distance, but ultimately, Hernandez will do what he does best on Saturday night and routinely ground Strickland for 25 minutes to claim the decision victory.
🔥 More UFC Fight Night predictions
Check out our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this weekend's fights.
Geoff Neal TKO vs. Uros Medic ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
After years of fighting the sport's top welterweights while also battling addiction issues outside of the cage, Geoff Neal is finally healthy and motivated to start his climb back up the divisional ladder. With 10 knockout wins across 16 pro victories, Neal looks poised to deliver once again and turn away opponent Uros Medic.
Alden Coria TKO vs. Luis Gurule ⭐⭐⭐⭐
A close friend and training partner of current UFC flyweight champion Josh Van, Alden Coria brings a lot of the same high output and finishing abilities that made his teammate a champ.
After cashing at +300 in his UFC debut five months ago, Coria will continue his rise to contention. And with nine of his 11 career wins inside the distance, expect the 27-year-old to get it done by knockout. Chase the value here.
Dan Ige by decision vs. Melquizael Costa ⭐⭐⭐
This is a step down in competition for “100 Grand Dan,” who’s fought the division's elite and still managed to win rounds over the likes of Diego Lopes, Lerone Murphy, and Pitbull Freire over the last 16 months.
He holds a cardio advantage here and should be able to keep it close enough to make a +550 win by decision shot worth it.
📝 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez fight card
- Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez, middleweight
- Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic, welterweight
- Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa, featherweight
- Serghei Spivak vs. Ante Delija, heavyweight
- Jacobe Smith vs. Josiah Harrell, welterweight
- Michel Pereira vs. Zach Reese, middleweight
- Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal, welterweight
- Alibi Idiris vs. Ode Osbourne, flyweight
- Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule, flyweight
- Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle, bantamweight
- Punahele Soriano vs. Ramiz Brahimaj, welterweight
- Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, welterweight
- Yadier del Valle vs. Jordan Leavitt, featherweight
- Carli Judice vs. Juliana Miller, flyweight
📺 How to watch Strickland vs. Hernandez: UFC Fight Night
- Date: Saturday, Feb. 21
- Time: 5 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
- TV: Paramount+
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