Newcastle vs. Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: Premier League Matchweek 6 Best Bets

My Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction breaks down the Magpies’ chances of delivering a blow to their rivals’ hopes of winning the Premier League in Sunday’s marquee match at 11:30 a.m. from St James’ Park.

Arsenal are the favorites at +115, but my soccer picks predict Newcastle to upset the Gunners and continue their recent tradition of containing Mikel Arteta’s side at home.

And if Newcastle are going to win Sunday’s game (airing on USA Network), it’ll be because of a returning star who’s on the brink of a breakout.

⚽ Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction

Premier League expert picks made Saturday; odds subject to change.

• Moneyline pick: Newcastle (+260 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
• Against the spread pick: Newcastle +0.5 (-150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Under 2.5 (-135 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

📝 Newcastle vs. Arsenal preview & best bet

 🟨 Both teams to be carded (-600) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

If history means anything, it’s going to be a busy day at the office for Sunday’s match official. Which is why I’m targeting both teams to get carded in what should be another intense battle.

The last four matches between these two squads have produced a whopping 23 yellow cards, with Newcastle winning three times before falling to Arsenal in their previous meeting. Newcastle was given 12 yellow cards to Arsenal’s 11.

Discipline has continued to be a theme for both teams this campaign. Newcastle's games have been averaging over four cards while Arsenal’s have featured over three.

While the score is expected to be low, the cards should be flying out of the referee’s pocket on Sunday. The best odds are over at bet365, which is setting the line at -600 since it’s likely this bet will pay off. A $10 bet nets a profit of $1.66.

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💰 Best Newcastle vs. Arsenal player prop bet

🔥Anthony Gordon to score or assist (+250) ⭐⭐⭐

Newcastle star Anthony Gordon will be aiming to make an instant impact when he returns from suspension Sunday against Arsenal. I’m backing the England winger to score or assist.

After netting his first goal of the season in the Champions League against Barcelona, Gordon will be a focal point again in Newcastle’s attacking scheme. He registered 10 shots over two Premier League appearances before his ban, so expect him to test Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya often when Gordon gets back from suspension.

Gordon, who scored nine goals and provided seven assists last season, will be a welcome presence in a Newcastle attack that’s lacked sharpness so far. Newcastle have scored three goals in five games during Premier League action.

FanDuel is posting the best odds, with a $10 bet on Gordon scoring or assisting at +250 potentially leading to a profit of $15.

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📊 Newcastle vs. Arsenal odds: Matchweek 6

Premier League odds update live in real time.

📈 Newcastle vs. Arsenal betting odds analysis

It’s unlikely the odds will shift much ahead of what could be a defining match for both teams. Arsenal would likely be larger favorites had they not struggled at Newcastle’s hostile stadium in recent meetings.

But the Gunners could get a slight boost if captain Martin Odegaard is able to return from injury.

🔢 Newcastle vs. Arsenal results

Team vs. Team history courtesy of 11v11.com.

🚑 Newcastle vs. Arsenal injury report

📺 Newcastle vs. Arsenal game info

• When: Sunday, Sept. 28
• Kickoff: 11:30 a.m. ET
• Where: St James’ Park (Newcastle)
• How to watch: USA Network

❓ Newcastle vs. Arsenal FAQs

Who is favored to win Newcastle vs. Arsenal?

Arsenal are the favorites at +115, with Newcastle at +250.

What is the spread for Newcastle vs. Arsenal?

Arsenal are at -0.5, with odds of +105 over at DraftKings.

What is the Over/Under for Newcastle vs. Arsenal?

The total for Newcastle vs. Arsenal is 2.5, with the Over paying +110.

What are the best bets for Newcastle vs. Arsenal?

Both teams to be carded and Anthony Gordon to score or assist are my best bets.

When is the Newcastle vs. Arsenal game?

Newcastle vs. Arsenal kicks off at 11:30 a.m. ET from St. James' Park on Sunday.

How do soccer odds work?

When betting on soccer, the spread shows how many goals the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by fewer than 1 goal to cover the spread.

Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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