Lionel Messi Picks, Predictions & Odds: Messi Has Inter Miami on Cusp of Major Final
Our Lionel Messi Leagues Cup picks for Tuesday's Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami matchup look at whether Messi can continue his scoring streak that has him with eight goals over five Leagues Cup games.
Messi holds the record for the best scoring streak in soccer history, netting in 21 consecutive games for Barcelona during the 2012-13 season. His eight goals in five matches for Inter Miami are a long way off breaking that record, but his current run of goals doesn’t look like it will be ending anytime soon. The MLS record for consecutive matches scored is 15, held by Messi’s new teammate Josef Martinez in 2019.
Next up for Messi and Miami are Philadelphia Union, who boast a top-three defense in MLS this season. The Union Zolos have scored 10 goals all tournament, just two more than Messi alone.
Here is our best Lionel Messi pick for Tuesday's Leagues Cup match between the Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Lionel Messi pick: Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami
Messi anytime scorer (-133 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Messi is now the leading scorer in the Leagues Cup. Monterrey’s German Beterame (5) is the closest player still eligible of catching the Argentine in the golden boot race. Messi also has the most shots on target in the tournament (13).
With Inter Miami, Lionel Messi has a conversion rate of 53.3%, meaning more than half of his shots turn into goals. He’s currently averaging 48 minutes per goal.
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Philadelphia Union have conceded four goals in five Leagues Cup games. Their only clean sheet came in the 0-0 draw with D.C. United in the round of 32. Philadelphia won that contest on penalties. The Union Zolos have won two penalty shootouts in the competition so far.
They beat Miami 4-1 the last time these two sides met in June. Philadelphia has conceded 26 goals in the current MLS season, which is the third best defense in the league. They have an xGA of 1.15 at home in their domestic league.
However, in their last 12 matches, including MLS and Leagues Cup, they’ve only kept two clean sheets. With all respect to the competition, they haven’t faced the GOAT. As Inter Miami head coach, Tata Martino, simply put it after Friday’s quarterfinal win over Charlotte, "Beyond collective effort, we’re (in the semifinals) because of what Messi has given us in these last five games."
In this irresistible form, we’re continuing to back Messi to keep his scoring streak going.
Lionel Messi anytime goal best odds
BetMGM (-133)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messi anytime scorer | Messi anytime scorer | Messi anytime scorer | Messi anytime scorer | Messi anytime scorer |
| -135 | -143 | -133 | -143 | -138 |
The last time these two sides met was on June 24, Inter Miami were +750 underdogs. This time, despite being on the road again, they’re +125 favorites via DraftKings.
Messi being on the road works in our favor for this play. Philadelphia’s resolute defense will also be a factor in raising Messi’s anytime scorer odds. We’re taking that improved value and running with it. BetMGM has the best price at -133. He’s +450 via bet365 to score from outside the box, if you fancy him to score from another free-kick. FanDuel has him at +300 to score more than two goals.
Messi’s form is overwhelming for teams right now, and with that I’m putting four stars on this play.
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami game info
- Date: Tuesday, Aug. 15, 7 p.m. ET
- TV: Apple TV – MLS Season Pass
- Location: Subaru Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Weather: 79 degrees, 7% chance of precipitation, 8 mph winds
Lionel Messi pick made 8/14/2023 at 2 p.m. ET.
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