Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks & Odds: Premier League Best Bets, Matchday 9
Sunday’s clash at Villa Park is packed with intrigue, as my Aston Villa vs. Manchester City prediction backs the visitors to continue their impressive form at the expense of a Villa side that’s been on the rise of late.
Manchester City are the deserved betting favorite (-125) amid their nine-game unbeaten run in all competitions. But victory is far from certain against a Villa team that’s on a roll in the Premier League after winning their last three games.
My Premier League best bets include backing Erling Haaland to terrorize Villa’s defense and extend his otherworldly scoring streak. The action starts at 10 a.m. ET on Peacock+.
⚽ Aston Villa vs. Manchester City predictions
Soccer picks for Sunday; odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Manchester City ML (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 (-138 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Erling Haaland to score anytime goal (-130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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✅ Aston Villa vs. Manchester City best bet
🌟 Both teams to score (-143) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Manchester City are in incredible form, but that doesn’t mean Aston Villa will be an easy assignment.
Although City are fresh off keeping a clean sheet for the third game in a row after beating Villarreal in the Champions League, I think Aston Villa will make things interesting by scoring a goal against Pep Guardiola’s formidable team.
City were the highest scoring team in the league coming into the weekend with 17 goals in eight games, boosted by Erling Haaland's 11 goals. Meanwhile, Villa’s attack is poised to give home fans a glimmer of hope despite getting off to a slow start this year. A successful $10 bet on both teams scoring at bet365 nets a profit of $7 with an implied probability of 58.85%.
💰 Best Aston Villa vs. Manchester City player prop bet
Our player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
🔥 Erling Haaland to score anytime goal (-130) ⭐⭐⭐
If you haven’t already, it’s time to start embracing the dizzying scoring rate of Erling Haaland.
The Manchester City striker should have no problem exploiting Aston Villa’s defense, which has allowed opponents over 11 shots per game in the league this season. I’m backing Haaland to extend his scoring streak to 10 games with a goal at Villa.
Defensive injuries have been an issue recently for the hosts, so targeting Haaland to extend his scoring streak on the road to five games should be a winnable bet. The best odds of Haaland scoring are at FanDuel, where a winning bet nets a profit of $7.69 with an implied probability of 56.52%. Our Gary Pearson is also backing Erling Haaland to score an anytime goal as part of his Premier League odds & predictions.
📊 Aston Villa vs. Manchester City odds
Premier League odds update live in real time.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City odds analysis
Manchester City might be a bigger favorite if there wasn’t uncertainty over the status of former Ballon d’Or winner Rodri, who is doubtful due to injury. Their odds of winning haven’t moved since the opening odds were released, while Villa’s have fallen after their Europa League defeat. City have dominated this fixture in recent years, and their current form reflects accurate odds for Sunday’s game.
📈 Aston Villa vs. Manchester City form & trends
| Aston Villa | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Last game | Lost 2-1 vs. Go Ahead Eagles | Won 2-0 vs. Villarreal |
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-W | W-W-W-D-W |
| Head-to-head record | 82-42-59 | 59-42-82 |
| Key stat | Aston Villa only earned one point on the road last season against the Premier League teams currently competing in the Champions League. | Erling Haaland has scored in all but one game he’s played in this season. |
📺 How to watch Aston Villa vs. Manchester City
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 26
- Kickoff: 10 a.m. ET
- Where: Villa Park (Birmingham)
- Weather: 50 °F, 15 mph winds, 45% chance of rain
- TV: Peacock+
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