Best Saints vs. Bills Player Prop Bets: NFL Week 4 Odds & Expert Picks

The New Orleans Saints were whipped 44-13 last week in Seattle, and another lopsided loss could be in the cards for the Saints in Week 4. New Orleans visits Highmark Stadium on Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS) as 16-point underdogs to the 3-0 Buffalo Bills, a point spread we’re taking into account when making our best Saints vs. Bills player props.

Our NFL picks for this game project a touchdown for an unheralded Bills receiver, a light workload for Josh Allen, and plenty of passing once again for Saints quarterback Spencer Rattler.

Learn more about these NFL predictions for Week 4 below, and check out a full breakdown of this matchup along with the latest live odds in our Saints vs. Bills prediction.

🏈 Best Saints vs. Bills player props: Week 4

NFL player prop bets for week 4; odds subject to change.

• Spencer Rattler Over 21.5 completions (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Josh Allen Under 26.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Joshua Palmer anytime TD scorer (+300 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

💰 Best Saints vs. Bills player prop bets

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Spencer Rattler Over 21.5 completions (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Who’s the only quarterback this season to complete at least 25 passes in all three of his starts? You might be surprised to learn it’s the Saints’ Spencer Rattler, who has actually accomplished the feat in four straight games going back to last season.

Some of that production can be attributed to volume, since the Saints are often playing from behind (Rattler has gone Over his attempts prop in seven of his last nine.) Some is also due to a 67.2% completion rate, largely on short routes with Rattler only averaging 5.4 yards per attempt.

With the Saints underdogs of two-plus touchdowns, there’s little reason to anticipate Rattler throwing any less than usual on Sunday. A $10 wager at BetMGM pays $8.70 with an implied probability of 53.5%.

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⬇️ Josh Allen Under 26.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

Allen’s ability to create big plays on the ground is one of the things that make him a superstar, but he and the Bills have shown a tendency not to rely on his legs unless they absolutely have to.

In the Bills’ seven games last season that were decided by more than 10 points, Allen ran for 25 years or less in six of them. He’s also gone Under his rushing yards prop in eight of his last 10 home games, including last week’s 31-21 win over the Miami Dolphins when he ran four times for 25 yards.

The possibility of a Bills blowout victory means we could also see backup Mitch Trubisky for the last few series, further lowering the chances that Allen goes over this number.

FanDuel and DraftKings are offering identical -114 odds on Allen Under 26.5 rushing yards, implying a 53.3% probability and the chance to profit $8.77 on a $10 bet.

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🔥 Joshua Palmer anytime touchdown (+300) ⭐⭐

When you’re projecting which Bills receiver might score a touchdown, longer odds can be enough to tip the scales. There’s no clear #1 option in Buffalo right now, with four different players recording at least 110 receiving yards so far but none with more than 158.

At +300 odds, I’ll take a flyer on Palmer to find the end zone for the first time this season. His 32-yard catches in both Week 1 and Week 2 are the longest by any receiver on the team, and he could do some damage against a Saints defense that has already allowed eight passing plays of 20-plus yards this year.

DraftKings’ price suggests just a 25% probability that Palmer scores a touchdown against the Saints, but a winning $10 wager would result in $30 profit.

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📺 Saints vs. Bills game info

Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.

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