Packers vs. Cowboys Prediction, Pick & Odds: Wild Card Weekend - Sunday
One of the league's best rivalries renews Sunday between the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys as part of NFL Wild Card Weekend action, and our Packers vs. Cowboys prediction based on the best NFL odds expects a strong outing from Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense.
Even with all the compelling storylines throughout NFL Wild Card Weekend, it's hard to beat the pageantry of this storied matchup between the Green Bay Packers (9-8) and NFC East champion Dallas Cowboys (12-5), who renew their epic rivalry on Sunday in their first playoff meeting in seven years.
The last time these teams faced off in the postseason, Cowboys QB Dak Prescott and his team lost by a field goal in his playoff debut. The Cowboys QB enters Sunday as a sizable favorite this time around, hoping to preserve his team's perfect 8-0 record at home (6-2 ATS) against a Packers team that has never lost at AT&T Stadium.
As part of our NFL Predictions for Wild Card Weekend and to accompany our Packers vs. Cowboys NFL player props, here is our best Packers vs. Cowboys prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Packers vs. Cowboys prediction for Wild Card Weekend
CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown (-150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Who else, right? Lamb has been a touchdown-scoring machine for the Cowboys over the back half of the season, and I'd be stunned if he doesn't reach paydirt in his team's most important game to date.
Lamb's credentials are common knowledge at this point, but they're worth repeating: the fourth-year star lead the league in receptions (135) on a ridiculous 181 targets, and his 14 total touchdowns are the most by any receiver in 2023. He scored in 11 of 17 games thus far, including seven of eight home games, and he reached the end zone at least once in nine consecutive weeks entering Wild Card Weekend.
In addition to all of that, this is a compelling matchup for Lamb against a Green Bay secondary that has been burned by star wideouts this year and is even lighter on star power than usual entering this weekend.
Former All-Pro cornerback Jaire Alexander, who was already in the midst of a career-worst campaign, sprained his ankle on Wednesday and is uncertain to play Sunday. That would thrust the likes of Keisean Nixon, Carrington Valentine, and Corey Ballentine - the Packers' three most-used corners on the year - into an even more unenviable spot trying to coral arguably the best receiver in football.
Lamb is dealing as short as -182 to score across our best sports betting sites, so we're getting a relative discount betting this at bet365. I have confidence in the Cowboys' offense putting up points on Sunday (see below), and I'm expecting Lamb to play a key role in that as he has all season.
Don't miss Esten McLaren's anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday.
Cowboys team total Over 30.5 points (+105 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Packers vs. Cowboys best odds
Cowboys team total Over 30.5 points: BetRivers (+105)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 | Over 29.5 | Over 28.5 | Over 29.5 | Over 30.5 |
| -110 | -118 | -135 | -115 | -115 |
As you can see above, the vast majority of our best sports betting apps are either dealing the Cowboys' team total below 30 with inflated odds or at 30.5 with standard -110 or -115 odds.
That's why we'd recommend placing this wager at BetRivers, where you can bet Over 30.5 at +105 odds or even drop down to 28.5 points at -125. There isn't a ton of added value in doing that without ducking below the key number of 28, which would cost you -143 to bet the Over on 27.5.
One way to score some extra value on this prop? See which of our best sportsbook promos are offering the best bonuses for this game, which could enhance the value of this plus-money wager at BetRivers or make some of these prices at other books a little more palatable.
Packers vs. Cowboys odds
Packers vs. Cowboys odds analysis
This team total has been trading between 27.5 and 30.5 across our best sports betting apps since this game first opened, though the odds for betting the Over on the lower range is a little too pricey for our taste. That's why we're more interested in rolling the dice on the high end with +105 odds at BetRivers.
As for the side, the Cowboys opened as 7-point favorites but have been bet as high as -7.5 across our best live betting sites before settling back at -7 as of Thursday. Keep an eye on this line as the week progresses, especially if you're hoping to get the best value on the road 'dogs.
Sunday's total opened as low as 49 but has climbed to 50.5 across our best sportsbooks ahead of NFL Wild Card Weekend. I don't mind a play on the full-game Over, but with Love making his playoff debut, I'd rather directly target the Cowboys to continue their torrid scoring pace at home.
Packers vs. Cowboys game info
- When: Sunday, Jan. 14 at 4:30 p.m. ET
- Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: Indoors
Packers-Cowboys prediction made Tuesday at 3:45 p.m. ET.
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