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Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow Player Prop Picks, Predictions: 3 Picks for Monday Night Football

Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 2, 2023 11:16 AM EST • 2 min 47 sec read.

The Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals hook up for a matchup with huge postseason ramifications. Read on for our Josh Allen-Joe Burrow NFL prop picks based on the top odds.

Joe Burrow and Josh Allen enter Monday night’s game with the second and third-most passing touchdowns in the NFL. They're each also in the top 10 in passing yardage.

Both quarterbacks will face tough matchups in Week 17, as the Bills are allowing the second-fewest points in the league and the Bengals are allowing the eighth-fewest.

Here are our Josh Allen-Joe Burrow player prop picks for their Monday Night Footbal clash in Week 17 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Bills-Bengals SGP, Monday Night Football prop picks, and Bills-Bengals picks.

Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow Monday Night Football Prop Picks

  • Allen and Joe Burrow Under 556.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Burrow -0.5 touchdown passes (+105) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Allen and Joe Burrow Over 1.5 interceptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Bills vs. Bengals Odds

Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow Monday Night Football Prop Predictions

Allen and Burrow Under 556.5 Passing Yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐

Bettors are expecting a high-scoring affair on Monday night, as more than 75% of the cash and tickets are backing the Over. More points normally mean more passing yards, yet that hasn't been the case for Burrow and Allen in 2022-23.

The Bengals have scored 20-plus points in seven consecutive games, yet Burrow has thrown for over 300 yards just twice during that span. He's recorded fewer than 250 yards in three of those games. 

Allen has been even more inconsistent. He's registered an equal amount of games above and below 200 yards over his last six contests, despite the Bills winning every outing while scoring at least 20 points.

Neither pass defense is fantastic, but both units are good enough to keep these two quarterbacks under this number.

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Burrow -0.5 Touchdown Passes (+105) ⭐⭐⭐

Burrow and Allen are pretty equal when it comes to touchdown passes. Burrow has recorded two more than Allen on the season, and the Bengals' signal-caller has tallied 16 over his last six games while Allen has logged 12. Burrow has produced 11 multi-touchdown games in 2022-23 while Allen has recorded 10.

Yet there's value in this pick because the Bengals are playing at home. The Cincinnati defense is only allowing 1.2 passing touchdowns per game at home in 2022-23, while the Bills allow 1.4 per matchup on the road. Burrow has thrown 12 touchdown passes and has yet to be shut out over six home games. Allen has thrown 15 touchdown passes across eight road games while being shut out only once. There isn’t much of a difference in those numbers, but there's enough to support backing a red-hot Burrow at home.

Allen and Burrow Over 1.5 interceptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Both quarterbacks are coming off two-interception performances in Week 16. Burrow has thrown at least one interception in three consecutive games, and he'll now face a defense that's caused an interception in over half of the Bills' 2022-23 games. The Bills are forcing 0.9 interceptions per game.

The Bengals are generating 0.7 interceptions per outing, which ranks just 19th. However, Allen has been struggling to take care of the ball in close games. He threw a combined four interceptions during the Bills’ two-game losing streak to the New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings earlier this year. Allen has thrown an interception in four of the Bills' six games decided by three or fewer points. 

It would be surprising to see the Bills blow out the Bengals. There will be plenty of opportunities for the Bengals to come up with an interception, and the Bills’ defense is well-positioned to get at least one pick.

Allen-Burrow player prop picks made 1/2/2023 at 8:11 a.m. ET

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.