Bills vs. Bengals SGP Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 17: Cincy Holds Edge in Battle for AFC Supremacy
The Bills and Bengals are both seeking to get control in the AFC in the first-ever meeting between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow. Here are our top Bills-Bengals SGP picks based on the best NFL odds.
The Bills (12-3) are pursuing the top spot in the AFC, and the security of a bye week. But don’t count out the Bengals (11-4), who are still alive for the playoff bye too.
Cincinnati has been charging hard and is putting its seven-game win streak on the line as it looks to shake up the conference pecking order on Monday night.
Here are our best Bills-Bengals NFL SGP picks (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our Bills-Bengals picks, Monday Night Football prop picks, Allen-Burrow prop picks.
Bills vs. Bengals SGP Picks Week 17
- Bengals +1.5 (-110)
- Burrow Over 280.5 passing yards (-110)
- Joe Mixon Under 50.5 rushing yards (-110)
Combined odds: +677
Editor's note: Hey Ohio! Welcome to legal sports betting. Check out the best sites for Ohio sports betting and the best Ohio sportsbook promos!
Bills vs. Bengals Odds
SGP Predictions for Bills vs. Bengals
Bengals +1.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The clash Monday night could be the most-hyped regular-season Cincinnati home game in a long, long time. The energy in the building will be electric. The average ticket price on some secondary markets is north of $270.
The Bengals have thrived in that environment, as Cincy is an NFL-best 5-1 against the spread at home. Though Buffalo’s 4-3-1 ATS record on the road is among the top half of the league in away cover rate, Cincinnati holds the edge.
Buffalo hasn't faced a team that sports a winning record during its current six-game winning streak. The Bengals are a battle-tested group that's getting the most out of its defense in big games over the last couple of seasons. Josh Allen has never seen this Cincinnati defense, and the Bengals will have a plan in place to hold him in check in a rowdy atmosphere.
Burrow Over 280.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
I’m calling a big Joe Burrow game on Monday night. The Bengals will lean on their strongest attributes while trying to pull off the upset on Monday night. The primary way to exploit the talented Bills' defense is through the air. Buffalo ranks fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, but just 14th against the pass.
Burrow has posted five games in 2022-23 with 300-plus passing yards, and the game environment Monday would call for another eruption. The Bengals' pass-catching group finally seems to be healthy, with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Hayden Hurst back to strength.
DraftKings lists the Burrow passing prop at 286.5 yards, and it only allows alternate passing totals within an SGP. FanDuel’s straightforward odds at a more favorable number are preferred for this parlay.
Mixon Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Joe Mixon ranks 37th in the NFL in yards per carry on the season at 4.0. FanDuel’s 50.5-yard line for Monday night isn’t particularly aggressive, as Mixon is coming off a solid 65-yard outing at New England. But only three teams in the NFL allow fewer rushing yards per game than Buffalo in 2022-23. I don’t anticipate the Bengals attacking much on the ground against this stout Bills defensive front.
After the first two legs of our parlay, the combined odds were +260. I was pleasantly surprised with the significant boost from adding Mixon’s rushing Under. FanDuel’s boosting algorithm probably considers it a contrarian play to take a team on the spread while also fading the starting running back within the same parlay. But I'm anticipating a Burrow-heavy path to competitiveness for Cincinnati, which leads to a juicy boost to our odds.
Bills-Bengals SGP picks made 1/2/2023 at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Here are our Best NFL Betting Sites:
- FanDuel: Get a $1,000 No-Sweat Free Bet | Read our FanDuel Review
- Caesars: Earn a Free Bet of Up to $1,250 | Read our Caesars Review
- DraftKings: Get a 20% Deposit Match up to $1,000 | Read our DraftKings Review
- PointsBet: Earn Five Free Bets of Up to $100 Each | Read our PointsBet Review
- BetMGM: Get a Free Bet of Up to $1,000 | Read our BetMGM Review
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.