Giants vs. Broncos Player Prop Picks: Best Prop Bets & TD Picks for Week 7
I’m going contrarian with one of my Giants vs. Broncos player props for Sunday afternoon’s rematch of Super Bowl 21 from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS).
To be specific, Giants rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart has cleared his rushing prop in each of his first three NFL starts, but I’m going the other way in a game that features Denver as a robust 7-point betting favorite.
As for my other NFL picks related to this game — which are part of a large batch of NFL predictions for Week 7 — I’m riding high with two Broncos: wide receiver Courtland Sutton and running back J.K. Dobbins.
🏈 Giants vs. Broncos player props
NFL player prop bets for Week 7; odds subject to change.
- Jaxson Dart Under 39.5 rushing yards (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 receptions (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- J.K. Dobbins to score a touchdown (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
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💰 Best Giants vs. Broncos player prop picks
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬇️ Jaxson Dart Under 39.5 rushing yards (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jaxson Dart has only started three games, yet he’s the Giants’ second-leading rusher with 167 yards. In fact, Dart easily beat his rushing projection in each start, compiling 54, 55 and 58 yards. So on the surface, this Giants vs. Broncos player prop number seems low — until you realize that no quarterback this season has cashed the Over on his rushing prop against Denver.
Not Daniel Jones (2 yards). Not Justin Herbert (6 yards). And not Jalen Hurts (3 yards). The 31 rushing yards that Jets quarterback Justin Fields had last week in London? A season high for a QB against the Broncos … and still well below his 42.5-yard projection.
Dart undoubtedly will try to pick up yards with his legs Sunday. It won’t end well. Tail this one at BetMGM, where the -125 odds imply a 55.56% win probability. Bet $10 to win $8.
⬆️ Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 receptions (-102) ⭐⭐⭐
Broncos receiver Courtland Sutton had just one reception in last week’s narrow win over the Jets in London. It was just the second time this season that Sutton failed to catch at least five passes. In fact, including last year’s playoff game at Buffalo, Sutton has had five-plus receptions in eight of his last 10 contests and 14 of his last 17.
Sutton’s reception totals in his last seven home games: 8, 7, 6, 3, 5, 6 and 5. That’s clear evidence that the eighth-year pro has developed a strong rapport with Broncos QB Bo Nix. That should continue Sunday against a Giants secondary that has let 12 different opposing players record five-plus receptions — including at least one in every game.
Bet this Giants vs. Broncos player prop at FanDuel, where the -102 odds imply a 50.50% win probability. Potential return on a $10 bet: $9.80.
6️⃣ Best touchdown scorer pick for Giants vs. Broncos
Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.
🔥 J.K. Dobbins to score a touchdown (-105) ⭐⭐
Broncos running back J.K. Dobbins has a team-high four rushing touchdowns. However, he’s only hit pay dirt once since starting the season with a three-game scoring streak. Still, he’s Denver’s No. 1 running back, which matters for this reason: Four different starting running backs — Washington’s Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Dallas’ Javonte Williams, Kansas City’s Karim Hunt, and the Chargers Omarion Hampton — have scored TDs against New York.
Dallas backup Miles Sanders also had a rushing score versus the Giants, as did Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts last week. That’s seven ground TDs that New York has yielded in six games. Back to Dobbins, who didn’t score last week against the Jets: He hasn’t been held out of the end zone in consecutive games in his last 15 starts.
FanDuel’s -105 price on this Giants vs. Broncos player prop carries a 51.22% win probability. Risk $10 to pocket $9.52.
📊 Giants vs. Broncos odds
Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.
📺 How to watch Giants vs. Broncos: NFL Week 7
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 19
- Kickoff: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV: CBS
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