Commanders vs. Cowboys Player Prop Picks: Best Prop Bets & TD Picks for Week 7

Our NFL picks explore my favorite Commanders vs. Cowboys player props as Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the matchup and the workload trending in his favor for a big game this weekend.

After D’Andre Swift exploded against the Commanders run defense on Monday night, our NFL predictions for Week 7 look to target the Washington unit against Javonte WIlliams in a bounce-back spot. We also think George Pickens can stay hot, even amid CeeDee Lamb’s return.

The action for Commanders vs. Cowboys kicks off from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). The Cowboys are 1.5-point betting favorites.

🏈 Commanders vs. Cowboys player props

NFL player prop bets for Week 7; odds subject to change.

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 66.5 rushing yards (-111 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Javonte Williams Over 62.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• George Pickens to score a touchdown (+165 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Commanders vs. Cowboys player prop picks

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 66.5 rushing yards (-111) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt has evolved into the lead rusher for the Commanders, garnering 14+ rushing attempts in consecutive weeks leading into this matchup with the Cowboys' 29th-ranked run defense. Dallas is allowing 142.2 yards per game on the ground and has permitted opposing lead rushers to cruise for 86 or more rushing yards in three straight weeks.

JCM has only cleared this 66.5-yard rushing line from DraftKings in two games, but the recent increase to his volume plus his sterling efficiency (5.7 YPC) points to a productive day for the man they call Bill.

The -111 odds on this prop from DraftKings equate to an implied probability of 52.61%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $9.01.

⬆️ Javonte Williams Over 62.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The often inefficient Bears RB D’Andre Swift erupted for 108 rushing yards on 14 carries in last week’s Monday night game against Washington, setting the scene for a strong matchup for Javonte Williams on Sunday.

The Commanders have allowed 142.7 rushing yards per game over the past three weeks. Opposing lead rushers have reached 63 or more yards against Washington’s defense in four of the past five games. Williams is coming off a quiet outing against Carolina, but he has cleared this rushing line in four of six games.

BetMGM’s line at 62.5 offers this line with -115 odds on Over. The implied probability at those odds is 53.49%. A winning $10 wager would profit $8.70.

6️⃣ Best touchdown scorer pick for Commanders vs. Cowboys

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

🔥 George Pickens to score a touchdown (+165) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Though George Pickens will again have to contend with CeeDee Lamb for end zone targets, his reliability for big plays connected to Dak Prescott cannot be ignored. Pickens has found the end zone in a remarkable five straight games, yet is seeing anytime TD scorer odds at +165 from FanDuel.

The implied probability at those odds is 37.74%. Meanwhile, Pickens has scored in 83.3% of his games as a Cowboy. Six of the nine receiving touchdowns permitted by Washington’s defense have gone to wide receivers.

A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $16.50.

📊 Commanders vs. Cowboys odds

Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Commanders vs. Cowboys: NFL Week 7

• Date: Sunday, Oct. 19
• Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Where: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
• TV: FOX