St. Thomas vs. Omaha Prediction, Odds & Score Picks: Summit League Final Best Bets

There's no suspense about which team is heading to the NCAA tournament when Omaha and St. Thomas clash in Sunday’s Summit League championship game at 9 p.m. ET in Denny Sanford Premier Center.

The Omaha Mavericks (21-12) are dancing for the first time in program history. The St. Thomas Tommies (24-9) are ineligible while completing their transition to Division I. This will be the final year they're ineligible after transitioning from Division III in 2022.

Explaining the sport’s archaic rules is essential for this matchup, as the Tommies are 3.5-point favorites. Read on for our St. Thomas vs. Omaha prediction, odds, and expert picks for the Summit League Final on CBS Sports Network.

💰 St. Thomas vs. Omaha predictions, expert picks & best bets: Summit League Final

Here are my best St. Thomas vs. Omaha predictions, expert picks, and best bets today for the Summit League Final, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.

• Against the spread pick: Omaha +4 (-110 via Caesars) vs. St. Thomas ⭐⭐⭐
• My best bet: Over 149.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Exact score prediction: St. Thomas 78, Omaha 76 (+14000 via DraftKings)

🏀 St. Thomas vs. Omaha ATS prediction & best bet

Here's why I'm betting on Omaha to cover the spread (+4) while targeting Over 149.5 (-110) as my best bet for today:

✅ Omaha to cover the spread (+4) ⭐⭐⭐

The market believes St. Thomas is the better team, but bettors have been wrong about Omaha all year. The Mavericks are 22-9 against the spread this year, and their ROI (35.48%) is the ninth-best clip in the country.

Bart Torvik’s projections give St. Thomas a slight edge in an 80-79 affair, suggesting this championship game could be more of a coin flip. Omaha has won five straight since its nine-point road loss to St. Thomas on Feb. 15.

Not only are the Mavericks heading to the tourney, but they're being counted out and can avenge their last loss. They should have plenty of motivation on Sunday.

📊 Best odds:-110 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $9.09)

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🔥 Over 149.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Although this will be the third game in four days for both teams, I project value on the Over at 150 or better. Every college basketball model expects plenty of points on Sunday night:

• Kenpom: St. Thomas 81, Omaha 78
• EvanMiya: Tommies 79.1, Mavericks 76.1
• Bart Torvik: St. Thomas 80, Omaha 79

These two teams combined for 182 points on Feb. 15, clearing a closing total of 156.5. The squads scored 167 on Jan. 23, soaring past the game total of 154.

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📊 Best odds: -110 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $9.09)

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🎯 Expert St. Thomas vs. Omaha score prediction

🔮 Expert score prediction: St. Thomas 78, Omaha 76

I expect this potential track meet to come down to the wire on Sunday, even if the automatic berth isn’t up for grabs. I predict St. Thomas will prevail 78-76, leading to some buzz on social media about the NCAA’s rules.

📊 Best odds: +14000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,400)

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📊 Live St. Thomas vs. Omaha odds & latest betting splits

Here are the latest odds for St. Thomas vs. Omaha, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.

🔢 St. Thomas vs. Omaha opening odds

Here's a look at the opening odds for St. Thomas vs. Omaha, according to BetMGM.

• Spread: St. Thomas +3.5 (-110) | Omaha -3.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: St. Thomas -170 | Omaha +140
• Over/Under: Over 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 (-110)

🏆 Who will win St. Thomas vs. Omaha?

As of 11 a.m. ET Sunday morning, St. Thomas was the 3.5-point favorite to beat Omaha while getting moneyline odds of -175 at BetMGM, which suggests a 63.64% win probability for the Tommies. We're predicting a 78-76 win for St. Thomas as our final score projection.

However, in the hours before tipoff on Sunday afternoon both the moneyline started to move slightly, shortening from -165 to -180 at bet365.

So far, 52% of bettors have wagered against the spread on St. Thomas -3.5, while 68% expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 149.5 points.

📺 How to watch St. Thomas vs. Omaha tonight

📅 Date: Sunday, March 9
🕗 Time: 9 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Denny Sanford Premier Center (Sioux Falls, SD)
📺 TV: CBS Sports Network
💻 Streaming: Paramount+

❓ St. Thomas vs. Omaha FAQs

Who's favored to win the Summit League Conference tournament?

The St. Thomas Tommies are favored to win the Summit League conference tournament.

Who is favored to win St. Thomas vs. Omaha?

St. Thomas is -175 to win for an implied probability of 63.64%.

What are the betting odds for St. Thomas vs. Omaha?

The latest spread is St. Thomas -3.5 (-110) | Omaha +3.5 (-110), with a total of 149.5 points (-110).

What will be the final score of St. Thomas vs. Omaha?

We're predicting a final score of St. Thomas 78, Omaha 76 entering tonight's matchup at Denny Sanford Premier Center.

What time is St. Thomas vs. Omaha tonight?

Tonight’s St. Thomas vs. Omaha game will begin at 9 p.m. ET.

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