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College basketball best bets.
College basketball best bets.

There's a loaded college basketball slate on Tuesday with nine teams from Monday's newly released AP top 25 in action, and we have you covered with our daily college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday based on the best college basketball odds.

The ACC/SEC Challenge kicks off on Tuesday night, featuring the first seven of 14 games to determine conference supremacy over the next two days. The marquee game among these matchups on Tuesday is the only one between two ranked teams, as No. 8 Miami visits No. 12 Kentucky. Our Shane Jackson gave his favorite Miami vs. Kentucky prediction ahead of tipoff.

The AP top 25 in college basketball mirrors the sport's striking parity, showcasing teams from an impressive array of 10 different conferences. This diverse representation underscores the competitive balance and depth across collegiate basketball, illustrating how talent and strength are distributed widely among various conferences, fostering a highly competitive and unpredictable landscape in the sport.

Here are our college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tuesday’s college basketball schedule and odds

(Odds via DraftKings)

Tuesday’s college basketball best bets

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Tuesday’s college basketball player props

Norchad Omier (Miami) Over 25.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Kentucky (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Norchad Omier has the highest points/rebounds/assists combo at DraftKings of any Hurricanes player, which is impressive considering he ranks fourth on the team in scoring and is just one of five Hurricanes averaging in double figures. Of course, it helps that he is second in the ACC in rebounds (9.2 per game) and a skilled passer, with two assists per game.

We are confident in Omier cashing the Over. Kentucky is much more perimeter-oriented than it has been in the past and only has Tre Mitchell as a reliable post defender. Kansas' Hunter Dickinson ate up Mitchell for 27 points and 21 rebounds. In Omier's last five games against KenPom's top 18 teams (Kentucky is 17th for reference) dating back to last season, he has 26-plus points/rebounds/assists in two of them. Still, all those games were against teams that finished in the top 16 in adjusted defensive efficiency, while Kentucky currently ranks 65th in that metric this year.

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JJ Starling (Syracuse) Over 0.5 3-pointers made vs. LSU (-135 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Syracuse guard JJ Starling has relatively steep -135 odds to make at least one 3-pointer against LSU despite entering the game just 1-of-16 from beyond the arc. We expect slight positive regression for Starling, who shot 29.9% from 3-point range last year, and expect it to start with a matchup against LSU, who allowed 23 combined 3-pointers in back-to-back losses to Nicholls State and Dayton.

The Tigers are long and athletic on the perimeter, but they struggle in pick-and-roll defense, and we expect Starling to be the beneficiary of at least one kick-out from point guard Judah Mintz as he puts pressure on the LSU defense. This is a three-star play, as Starling has played at least 34 minutes in five of six games this year and had multiple 3-point attempts in all those contests. 

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Tuesday’s college basketball game picks

South Carolina -9 vs. Notre Dame (-110 via Caesars, DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Notre Dame returned 1.6% of its scoring from last year, the fourth-fewest in Division I. While the Fighting Irish had a nice non-conference win in Brooklyn against Oklahoma State, they still were out-rebounded, committed 16 turnovers, and shot 32% (8-of-25) from 3-point range. Notre Dame was bludgeoned 83-59 by Auburn, the only other SEC team it has faced this year, and while South Carolina may not be as talented, this is still a tough, true road game, and the Gamecocks score much more efficiently than the Fighting Irish.

South Carolina ranks in the top 33 in effective field goal percentage and 3-point shooting. Lamont Paris's bunch earned an impressive neutral site win over Virginia Tech in a game where it shot 14 fewer free throws than the Hokies, mainly because it shot 56.4% from the field and scored a blistering 1.30 points per possession. The Gamecocks should also be one-and-done on most of their defensive possessions, as they rank 33rd in offensive rebounding percentage allowed, while Notre Dame secures just 25.6% of its misses (278th).

South Carolina backers have their choice of three of our best sports betting apps to get the best value from, as FanDuel and BetMGM are both slightly higher at -9.5.

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Oral Roberts-Kansas State Under 154 (-110 via Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Kansas State has allowed an average of 86.5 points per game in its two losses to USC and Miami, as it had trouble defending the two dynamic backcourts. However, at least in the loss to USC, the Trojans dominated the Wildcats in the paint, shooting 65% from inside the arc as opposed to 25% from 3-point range. Given that Oral Roberts ranks in the bottom 10 in Haslametrics' near-shot proximity, it is safe to say the Golden Eagles will not be challenging Kansas State's more vulnerable interior defense and will continue to fire away from deep.

Kansas State will half to work for everything it gets in the half-court, as Oral Roberts does not turn the ball over (it ranks second in the country with an 11.3% turnover percentage) and eschews offensive rebounds (it ranks 344th in offensive rebounding percentage) to emphasize getting back in transition. The Wildcats have cashed the Over in five of six games this year, including all three as home favorites, but the Under is 8-4 in Oral Roberts' 12 games as road underdogs since 2021.

Caesars and bet365 are the only shops offering a total as high as 154, as all other competitors are at 153.5.

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College basketball best bets made 11/28/2023 at 6:21 a.m. ET

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