Best Timberwolves vs. Warriors Player Props Tonight: Best Bets & SGP for Game 3

With the series knotted at 1-1, the Minnesota Timberwolves head to Chase Center for Game 3 of their NBA playoff showdown against the Golden State Warriors. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET tonight on ABC.

As part of our NBA picks, we break down our top Timberwolves vs. Warriors player props, with a spotlight on rising star Anthony Edwards in a pivotal road test.

📈 Timberwolves vs. Warriors betting action

According to BetMGM, the Under on Julius Randle's 3-pointers (1.5) is the most bet prop tonight, with the Over on Naz Reid's points (11.5) being the second-most bet prop. Following those are the Under on Randle assists (5.5), Over on Gobert rebounds (10.5), and Under on Jimmy Butler assists (6.5)

⛹️ Best NBA player props for Timberwolves vs. Warriors tonight: Game 3

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🔥 Jonathan Kuminga Under 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Even though the absence of Stephen Curry has forced the Golden State Warriors to get creative with their rotations, which means more minutes for Kuminga, his strong Game 2 performance and confident post-game press conference led the books to jack his points prop total up far too high.

While Kuminga played 27 minutes in Game 2, through which he scored 18 points, 18 of those minutes and eight of those points came in the lost cause that was the second half. The bulk of Kuminga’s points came in the paint, where Minnesota is allowing an NBA-low 34.9 points per game this postseason.

Lastly, we’re beating the market by a bunch by buying the under 14.5 for -115 at Hard Rock Bet. The same wager will cost you -130 or worse at our other best sports betting sites, with several even listing his total at 13.5. In a slow-paced series, this Under stands out. 

✅ Best odds: -115 via Hard Rock Bet ($10 to win $8.70)

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🔥 Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Edwards played 42 minutes in Game 1 and scored 23 points. He played 34 in Game 2 and scored 20. Despite these performances, his prop total is set all the way up at 26.5. With the Warriors and Wolves playing at such a slow pace this series, I’m generally drawn to unders, and this one stands out on the player prop markets.

Steve Kerr has had Gary Payton II on Edwards for much of this series, and in the 8:30 he has spent covering him, Edwards has scored … five points. Kerr pivoted from Payton and toward Kuminga in Game 2, and while JK is likely to see plenty of chances, don’t be surprised if GP2 gets plenty of action as a stopper with Moses Moody likely to fall into a smaller role.

✅ Best odds: -115 via Fanatics ($10 to win $8.70)

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🔥 Buddy Hield Over 1.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐

I don’t love laying the juice of -130 for this Timberwolves vs. Warriors prop bet, but with several of our best sports betting apps charging north of -150, I cannot leave it off the card. Hield is averaging 46.5 passes (third-most for Golden State), 5.5 potential, and two actual assists this series, which has largely come without Curry. 

Over a 12-game regular season sample without Curry, Hield averaged 1.8 assists per game, and, importantly, 0.07 assists per minute. He averaged just 25.6 minutes per contest in those games, but he had to play 40 minutes in Game 1 and 29 in Game 2. I’d set this at 2.5 with the juice stacked on the under.

✅ Best odds: -130 via ESPN BET ($10 to win $7.69)

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🚀 Best same-game parlay (SGP)

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📡 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Warriors live (Game 3)

📅 Saturday, May 10
🕗 8:30 p.m. ET
📍 Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 ABC | 🛜 ESPN+

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