Thunder vs. Pacers Player Props Tonight: NBA Prop Picks & Best Bets
My Thunder vs. Pacers player props and NBA picks set the stage for tonight's rematch of the 2025 NBA Finals. Tipoff is 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Oklahoma City (1-0), the defending champions, enters this matchup as a 7.5-point road betting favorite. This will be the Pacers’ season opener, as they begin the 2025-26 campaign without Tyrese Haliburton, who suffered an Achilles injury in Game 7 of the NBA Finals. For more NBA bets, check out our NBA predictions today.
🏀 Thunder vs. Pacers player props: Thursday
NBA player prop bets for Thursday; NBA odds subject to change.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop: Over 32.5 points (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Andrew Nembhard player prop: Over 2.5 turnovers (+123 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bennedict Mathurin player prop: Under 27.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Best Thunder vs. Pacers player prop picks
Our NBA player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
🔥 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 points (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The reigning MVP struggled for three quarters in the season, finishing 12-of-26 from the floor and 1-of-9 from long range. And he still finished with 35 points, clearing his closing total of 32.5.
Now, the two overtime periods indeed led Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to get Over his points prop. However, this exact total was trading as high as 34.5 throughout the NBA Finals.
Given the full-game total has climbed four points overnight, the market is expecting an uptempo game. With better shooting, I project SGA to clear his points prop and finish with 34 points. DraftKings is offering the best line here, with the -108 odds carrying a 51.92% implied win and profiting $9.26 on a winning $10 wager.
⬆️ Andrew Nembhard Over 2.5 turnovers (+123) ⭐⭐⭐
With Tyrese Haliburton injured this year, Andrew Nembhard figures to step into the role of lead ball-handler. That’s why his assists prop is trading at 7.5, even though he averaged five dimes per game last season.
Rather than touch his assists prop, however, I like targeting the turnovers angle against the best defensive team in basketball. Nembhard committed three turnovers in back-to-back preseason outings, playing just 41 minutes over that span.
DraftKings is offering the best plus-money price on Over 2.5 turnovers out of any of our best sports betting sites, earning $12.30 on a $10 wager
⬇️ Bennedict Mathurin Under 27.5 points, rebounds + assists (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
The market will need to adjust after the Pacers lost Haliburton and Myles Turner (now with the Milwaukee Bucks) from last year’s team. That’s why Bennedict Mathurin’s PRA line is 27.5 after averaging 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 1.9 assists last year.
My theory is that it’s tougher to embrace a larger role than we might realize, particularly against the top-ranked defense. I project Mathurin’s this line closer to 24, leading to a bet on the Under.
A winning $10 wager on the -115 odds would profit $8.70.
📊 Thunder vs. Pacers odds
📺 How to watch Thunder vs. Pacers
- Date: Thursday, Oct. 23
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- TV: ESPN
💡 NBA expert picks tonight
- NBA picks and predictions today
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