🏀 Pistons vs. Knicks Player Props: NBA Predictions & Top 3 Prop Picks for Feb. 19
The New York Knicks will be seeking revenge when they host the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. While New York defeated Detroit in a six-game first-round series during last season's playoffs, the Knicks have lost both matchups this season by more than 31 points. Let’s break down where we can find value in the Knicks’ “double-revenge” spot on Thursday.
My Pistons vs. Knicks player props feature Jalen Brunson, Cade Cunningham, and Karl-Anthony Towns as part of my NBA picks and best bets for Thursday. The Knicks are listed as a 4.5-point betting favorite over the Pistons, with tipoff from Madison Square Garden in New York slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
🏀 Best Pistons vs. Knicks player props: NBA picks for Feb. 19
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson, G, Knicks | Over 5.5 assists (-130) | 1.3u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Cade Cunningham, G, Pistons | Over 24.5 points (-114) | 1.14u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Karl-Anthony Towns, C, Knicks | Under 1.5 three-pointers made (-120) | 1.2u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3.64 units | Max profit: 3 units
🤑 More NBA player props
💰 Best Pistons vs. Knicks prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jalen Brunson Over 5.5 assists (-130)
Brunson's averaging 7.1 assists per game through seven February games.
He's scoring just 23.7 points per game in February (compared with 27 for the season) but has taken on a larger role as a distributor. The Pistons have routed New York in both meetings this season, with Brunson totaling just four assists across the two games. The Knicks are favored - indicating the market expects them to get revenge - and Brunson will need to step up to make that happen. The best price for this prop is -130 at DraftKings, but there's value up to -160.
📊 Jalen Brunson prop trends
The Knicks and Pistons have the fifth- and sixth-shortest odds, respectively, to win the NBA Finals this season.
| Bet | Best odds | Last 10 | Last 10 vs. Pistons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 points | +100 via BetMGM | 4-6 ❌ | 6-4 ✅ |
| Over 3.5 rebounds | +124 via FanDuel | 5-5 ➖ | 5-5 ➖ |
| Over 5.5 assists | -130 via DraftKings | 4-6 ❌ | 7-3 ✅ |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -108 via FanDuel | 5-5 ➖ | 4-6 ❌ |
🔥 More Pistons vs. Knicks prop picks
Cade Cunningham has the third-shortest odds to win NBA MVP this season.
Cade Cunningham Over 24.5 points (-114)
The median of Cunningham's points since Jan. 1 is 27, and he has hit this prop in four of his six February games.
The only two games in which Cunningham didn’t cash this prop this month were both wins by 38 points or more, limiting him to 26 or fewer minutes in each outing. If those games had been closer - like Thursday’s matchup is projected to be - there’s a solid chance Cunningham would have scored 25 or more points. The best odds are -114 at BetMGM, but I would play this up to -135.
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 1.5 three-pointers made (-120)
Towns has struggled from beyond the arc this month, making just 25% of his 3-pointers in February.
Since Towns has been dominant on the boards and with 2-point field-goal attempts, I expect him to focus on those areas rather than forcing 3-point shots. The Pistons are also one of the better teams at defending the perimeter and are in a three-way tie for allowing the fourth-lowest 3-point field-goal percentage in the NBA at 34.7%. FanDuel features -120 odds, but this bet is good up to -150.
💡 How I'm betting Pistons vs. Knicks
Our Dustin Saracini features more bets worth tailing in his NBA player props for Thursday.
My bankroll strategy, in general, is to treat 1 unit as 1 percent of the money I have set aside solely for sports betting.
I bet each of these player props to win 1 unit. If bigger edges were available, I would consider risking up to 2.5 units per bet. I allotted 3.64 units for this game because, while I am confident in these plays, the listed odds are not far off from where I projected them to be.
📈 Sports betting how-to: Bankroll management
Our LJ Blut breaks down the dos and don’ts of bankroll management.
🚀 Pistons vs. Knicks same-game parlay
The parlay below has solid value for this game, as if the Knicks exceed expectations, their chance of routing the Pistons increases, making it even less likely that Towns will attempt enough 3-pointers to make two or more. DraftKings, however, treats Towns Over 1.5 three-pointers as the more correlated pick to a Knicks cover - and overvalues the correlation.
💵 Pistons vs. Knicks SGP picks
- Knicks -4.5 (-105)
- Karl-Anthony Towns Under 1.5 three-pointers made (-117)
Best odds: +264 via DraftKings (.38u -> 1u)
🚑 Pistons vs. Knicks injuries
📺 How to watch Pistons vs. Knicks
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 19
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden (New York)
- TV: Prime Video
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