Nuggets vs. Warriors Player Props Tonight: NBA Prop Picks & Best Bets for Thursday
My Nuggets vs. Warriors player props tonight and NBA best bets feature three superstars ahead of Thursday's marquee showdown at Chase Center in San Francisco (10 p.m. ET, ESPN).
Golden State is a 2-point home betting favorite, and my NBA picks target the Over on a pair of Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler player props.
🏀 Nuggets vs. Warriors player props: Thursday
NBA player prop bets for Thursday; NBA odds subject to change.
- Nikola Jokic player prop bet: Over 48.5 points + rebounds + assists (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jimmy Butler player prop bet: Over 18.5 points (-111 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Stephen Curry player prop bet: Over 29.5 points + rebounds (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Best Nuggets vs. Warriors player prop picks
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⬆️ Nikola Jokic Over 48.5 points + rebounds + assists (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Naturally, Denver big man Nikola Jokic is always a candidate to produce astronomical numbers any time he takes the floor, and perhaps even more so when he’s refreshed and fully healthy as a season begins. Factor in a marquee matchup against Stephen Curry and the Warriors to get the adrenaline pumping even further, and the Over on any number of props related to the perennial All-Star is in play. Such is the case on Thursday, with Jokic, who averaged 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 10.2 assists across 70 regular-season games a year ago.
The versatile big man also shot 65.9% in his two games against Golden State, leading to an average of 35.5 points in that two-game split. The Warriors also finished last season surrendering the fourth-most rebounds per game to centers (15.5), and over his last 10 games against Golden State, Jokic is averaging 31.3 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 9.4 assists.
The -118 at BetMGM have a 54.1% implied probability of winning, while a $10.00 bet would net $8.47 in profit.
⬆️ Jimmy Butler Over 18.5 points (-111) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
It would stand to reason that a player of Jimmy Butler’s talent would benefit from a full offseason with the team he was traded to at the deadline last season, and Jimmy Buckets indeed hit the floor running during the Warriors’ season-opening win over the Lakers on Tuesday. Butler went off for 31 points on 50.0% shooting versus Los Angeles, while adding five rebounds, four assists, and one steal.
Butler also shot a crisp 47.8% over four games against the Nuggets last season, recording between 18 and 23 points in three of those contests. He’s been productive offensively since arriving in Golden State in February, averaging 17.9 points on 47.6% shooting over 30 regular-season games and upping his average to 19.2 per contest in 11 postseason tilts.
At -111 odds on DraftKings, the bet has a 52.6% implied probability of hitting, and a $10.00 bet would net $9.01 in profit.
⬆️ Stephen Curry Over 29.5 points + rebounds (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stephen Curry wasn’t at his sharpest to open the season Tuesday against the Lakers, but he still managed to get to 23 points despite middling 42.9% shooting, including 33.3% from 3-point range. Naturally, those figures are a departure from the overall norm for the legendary sharpshooter, and Thursday, he draws a matchup that could lead to his first higher-percentile performance of the nascent campaign.
Curry overcame some shooting woes versus Denver last season to still average 26.7 points and 4.3 rebounds in three meetings with David Adelman’s squad. The Nuggets also surrendered 37.1% from the 3-point line to backcourt players during the 2024-25 campaign. Over his legendary career, Curry has averaged 24.1 points and 4.4 rebounds versus Denver in a 47-game sample, including 25.4 points and 3.8 boards in the last 10 contests.
It’s also worth noting the single-rebound game against the Lakers is essentially an outlier, considering Curry pulled down multiple boards in 70 of 79 regular-season, Play-In, and postseason contests a year ago.
At -112 odds on FanDuel, the bet has a 52.83% implied probability of hitting, while a $10 bet would net $8.93 in profit.
📊 Nuggets vs. Warriors odds tonight
📺 How to watch Nuggets vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, Oct. 23
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: ESPN
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