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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Memphis Stop the Bleeding as a Road Underdog?

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: January 25, 2023 10:03 AM EST • 2 min 19 sec read.

Ja Morant #12 of the Memphis Grizzlies handles the ball during the second half of the NBA game at Footprint Center on January 22, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Suns defeated the Grizzlies 112-110.
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JANUARY 22: Ja Morant #12 of the Memphis Grizzlies handles the ball during the second half of the NBA game at Footprint Center on January 22, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Suns defeated the Grizzlies 112-110. Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

Memphis is riding into Wednesday on its longest losing streak of the season. Can the Grizz right the ship as a road underdog in San Francisco? Read on for our Grizzlies vs. Warriors NBA picks based on the best NBA odds.

The Grizzlies (31-16) have lost three games in a row for the first time all season, most recently enduring a 33-point defeat to the Kings in which Memphis scored its lowest point total since December 20.

The Warriors (23-24) dropped a tough one at home to Brooklyn and have lost six of their last 10 coming into Wednesday. But can Golden State find its footing against a Memphis team that has struggled so significantly on the road this season?

Here is our best Grizzlies vs. Warriors NBA pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2023, 10 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds Analysis

Golden State opened as a 2.5-point favorite and now sits at -3.5 across our affiliated sportsbooks. The Warriors are seeing 65% of the money wagered on the point spread.

The total opened at 239.5 and has been steamed pretty significantly to between 245 and 245.5 at the majority of our affiliated sportsbooks. Bettors aren't taking the points, with 57% of the money backing the Under as a result of the massive line movement.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Pick

Warriors -3.5 vs. Grizzlies (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Memphis has the worst mark in the NBA this season in covering the spread as an underdog (2-5 ATS) but it’s an even more jarring trend when you isolate it to road games. The Grizzlies are the only team in the league without a cover as a road underdog, going 0-5 ATS in those circumstances this season.

Under normal circumstances, I’d make the case for the Grizzlies in this spot by making the argument that the season-long trend as road dogs shouldn’t matter because Memphis shouldn’t be an underdog in this matchup. But because of the absence of Steven Adams, I think the line is pretty accurate.

Memphis looked completely lost without the big man on Monday as Sacramento forwards Keegan Murray and Harrison Barnes had big scoring nights while Domanta Sabonis carved up the Memphis defense for 11 assists and a triple-double. The Grizzlies lost 133-100, scoring just 10 fourth-quarter points.

Though Memphis is bound to make adjustments after that thrashing, its road woes (11-13 outright and 8-15-1 ATS) make it difficult to trust an immediate bounce-back effort against a team that is so solid at home. Golden State fumbled away its last game late against Brooklyn and should emerge from that experience looking to boost its 14-8-1 ATS home record on Wednesday.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Best Odds

DraftKings (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Warriors -3.5Warriors -3.5Warriors -3.5Warriors -3.5Warriors -3.5
-110-110-110-110-110

As of this writing, the board is completely identical as the Warriors are 3.5-point favorites with standard -110 odds across our recommended sportsbooks. For a moneyline bet on Golden State, the -155 odds at Caesars are your best bet on the board.

If the line shrinks back to its opening number of -2.5, and therefore within a single possession, this recommendation would balloon to a five-star recommendation.

Grizzlies-Warriors pick made 01/25/2023 at 2:20 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Brenden Schaeffer has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts 'The Big Show' on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.