🏀 Celtics vs. Warriors Player Props Tonight: Top Picks With Steph Curry Sidelined
Stephen Curry remains out with a knee issue, but there’s still betting value on the board as the Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics tonight. I’ve landed on two best bets along with a same-game parlay worth considering.
For my Celtics vs. Warriors player props, I’m backing Jaylen Brown to make an immediate impact after the All-Star break, while Brandin Podziemski should stay productive with Curry sidelined. The Celtics are a 5.5-point betting favorite over the Warriors, with tipoff set for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video) at Chase Center in San Francisco.
🏀 Best Celtics vs. Warriors player props: NBA picks for Feb. 19
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown, G, Celtics | Over 28.5 points (-110) | 1.1u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Brandin Podziemski, G, Warriors | Over 10.5 points (-110) | 1.1u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2.2 units | Max profit: 2 units
💰 Best Celtics vs. Warriors prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 points (-110)
Brown has been super efficient this month, scoring 29 or more points in three of five games. The two games in which he didn’t go over this number were both blowouts, so he averaged just 31 minutes played in those outings.
Another positive sign for bettors backing his points Over is that he has attempted 25 or more shots in three of his last four games. If he takes 25 or more shots Thursday, he’s likely to cash this prop. The best price for this prop is -110 at DraftKings, but there's value up to -125.
⬆️ More Overs, more points
My Pistons vs. Knicks player props highlight another player I expect to post a great line tonight, so head over there for more Overs to tail tonight.
📊 Jaylen Brown prop trends
Our Dustin Saracini features more bets worth tailing in his NBA player props for tonight.
| Bet | Best odds | Last 10 games | Last 10 vs. Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 points | -110 via DraftKings | 5-5 ➖ | 3-7 ❌ |
| Over 6.5 rebounds | -105 via BetMGM | 8-2 ✅ | 6-4 ✅ |
| Over 4.5 assists | +118 via FanDuel | 3-7 ❌ | 2-8 ❌ |
| Over 1.5 three-pointers made | -165 via BetMGM | 5-5 ➖ | 6-4 ✅ |
🔥 More Celtics vs. Warriors prop picks
The Warriors are a -1100 betting favorite to make the NBA Play-In Tournament.
Brandin Podziemski Over 10.5 points (-110)
(Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET: Curry has since been ruled out, which moved Podziemski’s line. His Over is now playable up to 13.5 points at -105.)
Curry could return Thursday, which would likely drop Podziemski’s points line, but I’m not concerned. Curry may be on a minutes restriction in his first game back since Jan. 30, and Podziemski has scored 14 or more points in three straight games.
While Curry’s return could mean fewer shots for Podziemski, he has still scored 11 or more points in each of his last four games alongside the Warriors’ star point guard. The best odds are -110 at BetMGM, but I would play this up to -125.
🎂 It's Nikola Jokic's birthday today!
Will the three-time NBA MVP record a triple-double tonight? Find out in my Nuggets vs. Clippers player props.
💡 How I'm betting Celtics vs. Warriors
Our James Bisson breaks down how to bet on the NBA.
My bankroll strategy, in general, is to treat 1 unit as 1 percent of the money I have set aside solely for sports betting.
I bet each of these player props to win 1 unit. If larger edges were available, I would consider risking up to 2.5 units per bet. I allotted 2.2 units for this game because, while I am confident in these plays, the listed odds are not far off from where I projected them to be, and the uncertainty surrounding Curry isn’t a plus in this scenario.
📈 Sports betting how-to: Bankroll management
Our LJ Blut breaks down the dos and don’ts of bankroll management.
🚀 Celtics vs. Warriors same-game parlay
(Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET: Curry has since been ruled out, which moved both lines. This parlay remains playable with Boston -5.5 and Podziemski Over 12.5 points at +255 odds or better.)
This same-game parlay is worth taking, as the Celtics’ line will balloon if it’s announced that Curry is out. Even if Curry plays, the number is low enough that Boston can still cover it comfortably.
Adding Podziemski to go Over his points provides solid value at +325, as he should continue his strong play even if Curry is announced in. However, if Curry sits, both lines will jump, making the parlay even more valuable.
💵 Celtics vs. Warriors SGP picks
- Celtics -2.5 (-110)
- Brandin Podziemski Over 11.5 points (+102)
Best odds: +325 via bet365 (.31u -> 1u)
🚑 Celtics vs. Warriors injuries
💸 Celtics vs. Warriors betting splits
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Bet type | % of tickets 🎟️ | % of handle 💰 |
|---|---|---|
| Celtics ML (-225) | 51% | 14% |
| Warriors ML (+185) | 49% | 86% |
| Celtics -5.5 | 87% | 83% |
| Warriors +5.5 | 13% | 17% |
| Over 212.5 | 53% | 29% |
| Under 212.5 | 47% | 71% |
📺 How to watch Celtics vs. Warriors
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 19
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: Prime Video
🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| # | Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Champagnie | Spurs | Over 3.5 rebounds | -135 |
| 2 | Stephon Castle | Spurs | Over 26.5 points + rebounds + assists | -110 |
| 3 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | 76ers | Under 5.5 rebounds | -155 |
| 4 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Hawks | Over 3.5 rebounds | +100 |
| 5 | De'Anthony Melton | Warriors | Under 1.5 three-pointers made | +100 |
🔮 NBA futures odds after All-Star break
- NBA championship odds
- NBA Play-In Tournament odds
- NBA MVP odds
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- NBA Clutch Player of the Year odds
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