🏀 Celtics vs. Warriors Player Props: NBA Picks & Best Bets (Feb. 19)

Stephen Curry could return from a knee injury Thursday as his Golden State Warriors host Jaylen Brown and the Boston Celtics. I bet this matchup early, as Brown’s points total is too low, and if Curry plays, I don’t project him to be as productive as the market expects.

My Celtics vs. Warriors player props back Brandin Podziemski to continue his strong play - even if Curry returns - as part of my NBA picks and best bets for Thursday. The Celtics are a 3-point betting favorite over the Warriors, with tipoff from Chase Center in San Francisco set for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video).

🏀 Best Celtics vs. Warriors player props: NBA picks for Feb. 19

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.2 units | Max profit: 2 units

💰 Best Celtics vs. Warriors prop bet

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 points (-110)

Brown has been super efficient this month, scoring 29 or more points in three of five games. The two games in which he didn’t go over this number were both blowouts, so he averaged just 31 minutes played in those outings.

Another positive sign for bettors backing his points Over is that he has attempted 25 or more shots in three of his last four games. If he takes 25 or more shots Thursday, he’s likely to cash this prop. The best price for this prop is -110 at DraftKings, but there's value up to -125.

🔥 More Celtics vs. Warriors prop picks

The Warriors are a -1100 betting favorite to make the NBA Play-In Tournament.

Brandin Podziemski Over 10.5 points (-110)

Curry could return Thursday, which would likely drop Podziemski’s points line, but I’m not concerned. Curry may be on a minutes restriction in his first game back since Jan. 30, and Podziemski has scored 14 or more points in three straight games.

While Curry’s return could mean fewer shots for Podziemski, he has still scored 11 or more points in each of his last four games alongside the Warriors’ star point guard. The best odds are -110 at BetMGM, but I would play this up to -125.

💡 How I'm betting Celtics vs. Warriors

Our Dustin Saracini features more bets worth tailing in his NBA player props for Thursday.

My bankroll strategy, in general, is to treat 1 unit as 1 percent of the money I have set aside solely for sports betting.

I bet each of these player props to win 1 unit. If larger edges were available, I would consider risking up to 2.5 units per bet. I allotted 2.2 units for this game because, while I am confident in these plays, the listed odds are not far off from where I projected them to be, and the uncertainty surrounding Curry isn’t a plus in this scenario.

🚀 Celtics vs. Warriors same-game parlay

This same-game parlay is worth taking, as the Celtics’ line will balloon if it’s announced that Curry is out. Even if Curry plays, the number is low enough that Boston can still cover it comfortably.

Adding Podziemski to go Over his points provides solid value at +325, as he should continue his strong play even if Curry is announced in. However, if Curry sits, both lines will jump, making the parlay even more valuable.

🚑 Celtics vs. Warriors injuries

📺 How to watch Celtics vs. Warriors

• Date: Thursday, Feb. 19
• Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
• TV: Prime Video