NBA Player Props & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Tuesday
We love the value across Tuesday's seven-game NBA schedule, and we have you covered with our NBA player props and best bets for Tuesday based on the best NBA odds.
After combing through NBA player props all entire season, I haven't been this excited about an NBA slate in quite some time. Not every day can we recommend two props with odds of +200 or longer on the same slate and feel great about each, as we are ahead of Tuesday's seven-game slate.
We’ll kick off the night with star rookie Chet Holmgren and the Oklahoma City Thunder facing the Indiana Pacers in a favorable matchup for the big man. Tyus Jones returns to Bluff City as the Washington Wizards visit the Memphis Grizzlies, and he’ll look to stay hot as a facilitator against his former team.
Fred VanVleet is expected to take on a larger role as a facilitator with Alperen Sengun out, and we’re banking on a big game in the assists department as the Houston Rockets face the San Antonio Spurs. We’ll cap off the night with a matchup that should offer plenty of scoring when Damian Lillard and the Milwaukee Bucks visit the Sacramento Kings.
Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Tuesday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Tuesday’s NBA best bets
- Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points vs. Pacers (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tyus Jones double-double vs. Grizzlies (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Fred VanVleet double-double vs. Spurs (+220 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-pointers vs. Kings (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Tuesday’s NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via FanDuel)
- Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks | Spread: Knicks -6 | Total: 209
- Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread: Thunder -7 | Total: 242
- Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies | Spread: Wizards -2.5 | Total: 219.5
- Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs | Spread: Rockets -3.5 | Total: 223.5
- Boston Celtics vs. Utah Jazz | Spread: Celtics -6.5 | Total: 235
- Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings | Spread: Bucks -2.5 | Total: 237
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Clippers | Spread: Clippers -7 | Total: 215
Tuesday’s NBA player props
Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points vs. Pacers (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Holmgren is averaging 16.9 points per game this season, and in 10 games since the All-Star break, he’s been slightly better, averaging 17.7 points. He’s hit the Over on this line in six of those and is in a great position to get there again on Tuesday. Holmgren scored a total of 15 points across his last two games, but the matchup with Indiana offers a fantastic bounce-back opportunity.
Holmgren averages 17.1 points per game at home compared to 16.7 on the road, and he’s hit the Over on this prop in exactly half of his games (32-of-64). The Pacers allow the most points in the paint overall (59.7) and the most on the road (61). Given the excellent matchup and the fact that Holmgren has hit the Over in 60% of his last 10 games, we’re ok taking the -115 odds at DraftKings, which give an implied win probability of 53.4%.
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Tyus Jones double-double vs. Grizzlies (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Jones has been magnificent as a facilitator this season, averaging a career-best 7.3 dimes in his first season with the Wizards. He has operated as one of the league’s best backup PGs for years in Memphis, but he’s shined with his first opportunity as a team’s full-time starter.
Over his last 12 games, Jones has averaged 10.9 assists, handed out double-digit assists seven times, and provided five double-doubles. He’s got nine double-doubles on the season, meaning 55% of them have come over the last month. Jones finished with 12 points and 16 dimes in his last game and handed out 17 assists against the Golden State Warriors on Feb. 27. Those are the two highest assist totals of Jones’ career.
Part of his recent success is Jordan Poole’s shift to the bench, which has kept the ball in Jones’ hands more often. His assists line sits at 8.5, and while the alt line of 9.5 offers profitable odds, we can get even better odds by taking the double-double. The implied probability at +210 is 32.2%, but Jones has hit this in 41.7% of his last 12 games, making this a great value.
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Fred VanVleet double-double vs. Spurs (+220 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Like Jones, VanVleet has been tremendous as a playmaker in his first season with his new team. VanVleet is averaging a career-high eight assists per game with Houston, and we’re banking on a double-double on Tuesday.
Alperen Sengun’s season is likely over, and he averages the second-most assists on the team at five per tilt. With the point center out, FVV should be in line for even more assists. VanVleet has averaged nine assists per game in three matchups with the Spurs this season, producing two double-doubles. He’s got 18 double-doubles on the season overall, and 11 of them have come on the road. VanVleet averages 8.3 assists per game on the road compared to 7.8 at home, and the Spurs allow the seventh-most assists this season.
VanVleet’s assists line is set at 8.5, but like Jones again, we’re not satisfied simply taking the alt line at 9.5. Instead, we’re getting longer odds on the double-double. VanVleet has averaged 20 points and 9.6 assists over his last five, racking up three double-doubles in that span. That means he’s produced a double-double in 60% of his last five, but +220 odds offer an implied probability of 31.2%. This is another value play, and we'll happily take it by using our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.
Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-pointers vs. Kings (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Last but not least, we’re riding with this season’s 3-Point Contest champion, who’s averaged 4.3 triples across his last eight games. He’s knocked down at least four triples six times in that span, including four straight. Lillard averages slightly fewer 3-pointers per game on the road, but he’s hit the Over in three straight on the road and averaged 3.7 triples in his last 10 road matchups.
Lillard hit five triples against the Kings in a wild 143-142 overtime victory on Jan. 14, and he can hit at least four once again. Sacramento allows the eighth-most treys per game to opponents on the season (13.3) and the highest 3-point percentage (39.8%). Over the last three, Sacramento has allowed opponents to hit 45.3% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is the second-most in that span. Lillard has hit the Over in 75% of his last eight, but the -102 odds give an implied probability of just 50.3%, meaning we’re getting another value on Tuesday's slate over at FanDuel.
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NBA best bets made Tuesday at 5:45 a.m. ET.
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