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Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs reacts as we look at our NBA best bets & player props for Tuesday
Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs reacts after being called for a charge on the Memphis Grizzlies on March 22, 2024. Photo by Ronald Cortes/Getty Images via AFP.

Injuries to some key NBA players have led to tasty opportunities for value props as the season whittles down, and we have you covered with our NBA player props and best bets for Tuesday based on the best NBA odds.

Nearly all 30 NBA teams are in action Tuesday with 14 games on the schedule, offering an abundance of compelling betting opportunities in the final week of the regular season. And we have our eyes on some key players in the player props market.

RJ Barrett is expected to lead the scoring charge for the Toronto Raptors against the Indiana Pacers, making him a strong candidate for a standout performance. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert and the Minnesota Timberwolves have a favorable matchup at home against the Washington Wizards, presenting an opportunity for Gobert to shine.

Likewise, Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs have an advantageous matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, setting the stage for Wembanyama to make an impact. To cap off the night, keep an eye on Deandre Ayton and the Portland Trail Blazers as they take on the New Orleans Pelicans in what promises to be an exciting matchup.

Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Tuesday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tuesday’s NBA best bets

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Tuesday’s NBA schedule and odds

(Odds via DraftKings)

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Tuesday’s NBA player props

RJ Barrett Over 24.5 points vs. Pacers (+110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Barrett has appeared in three of Toronto’s four games since returning from a nine-game absence and averaged 25.3 points. Barrett scored at least 25 points in two of three, and we’re banking on another strong scoring performance in this favorable matchup.

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Indiana has allowed the fourth-most points to opponents this season, and Barrett put up 23 and 24 points in two matchups with the Pacers as a member of the Raptors. Immanuel Quickley has averaged 20.9 points per game since the All-Star break, but he’ll be out for rest. Gary Trent Jr. has averaged 20 points since the break, but he relies heavily on triples, and the Pacers have allowed the fewest three-pointers to opponents this season. A $10 wager on this prop will net $11, and Barrett is set up nicely to cash it as Toronto’s primary scorer.

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Rudy Gobert Over 14.5 rebounds vs. Wizards (+105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

We’re taking the alt line on Gobert’s rebounds prop for plus-money odds. He’s hit the Over on this one in two of his last three and 26 times on the season. The implied probability of the +105 odds is 48.8%, and that’s appropriate given the excellent matchup.

Washington has comfortably allowed the most rebounds to opponents this season, and the revolving door of centers is a big reason. Marvin Bagley III is out, and Richaun Holmes and Tristan Vukcevic are questionable. Kyle Kuzma - who has played some small-ball center - is also questionable, leaving Gobert with a monster opportunity to dominate the paint. He averages 13.3 boards at home compared to 12.4 on the road, and he pulled down 16 rebounds in his first matchup with Washington this season.

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Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 rebounds vs. Grizzlies (+170 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Wemby has been tremendous since the All-Star break, averaging 12.2 boards compared to the 10 he averaged before the break. His rebound line is set at 11.5, but it’s understandably juiced to the point that we’re not interested. The alt line presents much longer and more profitable odds without much additional risk.

Since the break, Wemby has secured at least 14 rebounds in six games, including a matchup with Memphis in which he pulled down 16. He’s reached this milestone in three of five and five of his last 10. The implied probability of these odds is just 37%, but given his recent success, we’re getting this one at a bargain. The Grizzlies have allowed the third-most rebounds to opponents this season, further enhancing the appeal of this prop.

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Deandre Ayton Over 37.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Pelicans (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

We didn’t see “DominAyton” for the entire season, but we’re certainly getting shades of it now. Ayton has put up big numbers as of late, averaging 23.9 points, 13.3 boards, and 1.5 dimes across his last 12, good for 38.7 points + rebounds + assists (PRAs). He’s hit the Over on this prop in seven of those games or 58.3%. The implied probability of our -115 odds is 53.5%, which means we’re getting a deal on Tuesday.

Over his recent 12-game heater, Ayton has posted 40.4 PRAs at home compared to 37.6 on the road. He's posted 30 and 38 PRAs in two matchups with the Pelicans this season, and the Blazers’ injury report is long and filled with key scorers and rebounders, so he will be relied on for big numbers again.

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NBA best bets made 04/09/2024 at 7:30 a.m. ET.

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