Wyndham Championship Expert Picks and PGA Tour Bet Slips

Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC hosts the PGA Tour’s 2021-22 regular-season finale. Our golf betting experts offer up their top picks for the Wyndham Championship.

The beginning of the FedEx Cup Playoffs are just one week away. While none of the top-10 golfers from the season-long points race are in attendance for the final event of the regular season, we still have a strong field for the 2022 Wyndham Championship. The field is led by reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year Will Zalatoris, who enters the week 11th in the FEC standings and 14th in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR).

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Below, our PGA Tour betting experts offer up their top picks for the 2022 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club. Picks made by Esten McLaren, Jordan Anderson, and Neil Parker, based on the odds at our top-rated sportsbooks.

Wyndham Championship Expert Picks

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Wyndham Championship Picks to Win

Kim (+3300 via PointsBet)

Joohyung Kim has soared to No. 34 in the OWGR amid a stretch of six straight made cuts in international events, with all but one of those being on the PGA Tour. The 20-year-old South Korean most recently finished seventh at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit, MI. He led the field in strokes gained: tee-to-green and SG: approach in Round 4 while shooting a field-best -9 on the day.

Over his last 12 rounds, Kim has averaged 1.25 SG: tee-to-green and 0.76 SG: approach per round. He’s also gaining strokes in all other key metrics. The little-known youngster is the eighth-best golfer in this field by the measure of the OWGR, but shares the 10th-best odds to win as a sign of potential value in a very top-heavy field.

Kim still has limited experience on the PGA Tour, but that’s the only thing propping up his odds. His current form makes him an excellent fit for Sedgefield CC. - McLaren

Henley (+2500 via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Russell Henley is a popular pick this week, and for a good reason. 

Sedgefield Country Club is a positional course that demands accurate driving and precision second shots. Henley enters the week 11th in good drives gained, and is first in this field with 24.4 SG: approach in his past 24 rounds - the most crucial statistic to gauge this week. 

Henley excels on courses designed by architect Donald Ross and is coming off a T-10 finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic last week, where he gained seven strokes with his ball striking. Much will be made of Henley blowing a three-stroke lead entering the final round here last year, but the truth is, his game is a perfect fit for Sedgefield. - Anderson

Im (+1600 via Caesars Sportsbook)

After missing the cut in the U.S. Open and Genesis Scottish Open, and finishing T-81 at The Open Championship, Sungjae Im appears past his recent slump and set to make a run at a second PGA Tour victory this season. 

He’s statistically sound, ranking 11th in SG: off-the-tee, 10th in SG: tee-to-green, and 12th in SG: total. Additionally, his 3.821 SG: putting at the 3M Open in his last tournament was critical to his T-2 result. 

Im has also flashed at the Wyndham Championship with two top-10 finishes and scoring in the 60s in 11 of his 12 rounds over the past three years. 

In a shallow field, Im's listed across the board at a short number, so waiting for better odds in a live-tournament market isn’t out of the question. Just note, this might also be the longest price you’ll find. - Parker

Wyndham Championship Long-Shot Picks

Piercy (+18000 via DraftKings)

Scott Piercy was running away with the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities two weeks ago before a final round of 76 dropped him to a T-4 finish. He’ll now return to the comparable Sedgefield CC for the fifth straight year off of a T-15 finish in the 2021 Wyndham Championship.

Piercy’s T-4 finish in the 3M Open is the outlier among his last eight events. He missed five cuts in that time with no other finish better than a T-21 at the RBC Canadian Open. However, we’ll lean into the similarities between Sedgefield and TPC Twin Cities, along with Piercy’s experience at this venue. He has averaged 0.61 true total strokes gained on the field per round over 30 career rounds at this event.

The high price tag negates any fear of recency bias, and Piercy needs a strong finish this week to hold onto his tentative spot in the FEC Playoffs while entering the week at No. 117 in the standings. - McLaren

Svensson (+7000 via DraftKings)

If you didn't know, Adam Svennson is the patron saint of Canadian golf, at least in my eyes. I unapologetically believe in Svennson's talent and continue to bet him, and will do so until he wins or I die. 

Regardless, we typically see a winning score of -20 or better at this tournament, meaning players need to go low. That is good news for Svennson, as he ranks first in the field in his past 24 rounds with 24.1 strokes gained in the birdies or better category. 

He's much improved with the putter and enters in good form, with five top-25 finishes in his past six events.Svensson is as low as +5000 at some shops, so we're finding value at DraftKings on this burgeoning talent. - Anderson

Streelman (+8000 via BetMGM)

With odds as low as +6000 via PointsBet, Kevin Streelman’s odds at BetMGM don't align with other sportsbooks. 

Despite just two top-10 showings all season, the veteran’s best finish of the year was out of another watered-down field at the Barbasol Championship in July. Streelman also finished seventh at the Wyndham last year and scored in the 60s in all four rounds. 

There’s nothing eye catching about his year-long statistical profile, but through his past 12 rounds, Streelman ranks 18th in SG: approach and 21st in SG: total in this week’s field.

Finally, if Streelman is in fact set to build on his recent ball-striking success, his accuracy off the tee should set the table. He ranks ninth on Tour this year in driving accuracy percentage. - Parker

Wyndham Championship Top Matchup Picks

Conners (-110) vs. Si Woo Kim (via BetMGM)

This is an evenly-priced matchup but the odds should be favoring Corey Conners over Si Woo Kim. Conners ranks 31st in the world off of a T-28 finish at The Open Championship. Even though Kim tied for 15th at The Open and for 14th at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic, he enters the week at No. 58 in the world rankings.

More importantly for Sedgefield CC, is the strengths of each golfer’s game. Kim’s regular advantage in power and distance won’t carry much weight at the short, par-70 venue. Conners’ season ranks of 17th in SG: tee-to-green and 26th in SG: approach make him the better course fit.

Kim finished in the top five in each of the last three runnings of this event, including a T-2 last year, but Conners is currently a much sharper ball-striker and will be able to keep his driver in the bag. - McLaren

Stallings (-130) vs. Streelman (via DraftKings)

Scott Stallings comes to Sedgefield in great form with three consecutive top-10 finishes. 

He's gained 22.0 strokes on approach in his past 24 rounds and ranks first in the field in the same period putting on Bermuda grass. 

Streelman fits the course profile here but isn't nearly in the form of Stallings, who seems to be knocking on the door of victory.I'll gladly back the hot hand with the better statistical profile. - Anderson

Scott (+105) vs. Simpson (via DraftKings)

Webb Simpson has been nearly automatic at Sedgefield with five consecutive top-five finishes, including two runner-up and two third-place results. He’s also the all-time money leader at this event. 

It’s just been an awful season for the seven-time PGA Tour winner. Simpson has a single top-10 showing all season, and after finishing 12th in strokes gained: total last year, he’s down to 61st this season. Perhaps more worrisome, Simpson ranks 131st on Tour in greens-in-regulation percentage.

Adam Scott enters in better form with top-15 finishes at both the U.S. Open and The Open Championship. Last week, a Saturday 78 derailed an otherwise solid performance at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Scott fired a Sunday 65 to climb to a T-37 result.

If the course-fit narrative is attracting bettors to Simpson, Scott finished second at the Wyndham Championship last year, so the Aussie is also familiar with the track. - Parker

Wyndham Championship Top Prop Pick

Top English Player: Tarren (+650 via FanDuel Sportsbook)

The Top English market is rather weak for the Wyndham Championship. Tyrrell Hatton has the best odds among his countrymen, but his 2022 form has been erratic at best. Justin Rose has battled injuries, and Aaron Rai enters this event off of back-to-back missed cuts at the Genesis Scottish Open and Open Championship.

Callum Tarren ranks sixth among all golfers with 1.42 SG: tee-to-green across his last 12 rounds. He tied for 20th last week with 1.23 SG: tee-to-green and 0.88 SG: approach per round and will need those to be the strengths of his game once again at this venue. - McLaren

Simpson Top-5 First Round Leader (+650 via BetMGM)

If you do even one minute of research on the Wyndham Championship, you’ll see Simpson's name plastered everywhere due to his exceptional course history. 

Simpson also currently ranks 10th on tour in first-round scoring average and has an early 7:45 a.m. ET tee time. Combine this with his storied history at Sedgefield, and I like his chances to come out strong in the opening round. - Anderson

First-Round Leader: Munoz (+7000 via Caesars)

Sebastian Munoz has fired two opening rounds of 60 already this season to earn first-round leader honors, and he’s also been in the 60s in 10 of his past 12 rounds at the Wyndham Championship over the past three years. 

Considering his proven ability to go low, the +7000 odds offer considerable value from the long-shot range. 

Additionally, while ranking 40th in SG: tee-to-green this season warrants attention, Munoz ranks seventh in this field through his past 50 rounds. He also ranks 12th on Tour in putting from 15-20 feet and 25th from 20-25 feet. 

If the ball-striking holds up, he’ll have opportunities to cash in on the greens on Thursday. - Parker

Picks to Fade

Kim

Despite his strong play of late and a rather weak field, Si Woo Kim isn’t worth backing at this price point. His recent play already has him up to No. 49 in the FEC standings, so there’s little reason for added motivation in the final event of the regular season.

Kim’s strong finishes in each of the last three runnings of this event are keeping his odds far too suppressed. His 2022 form, and especially of late, is based on his play with the driver. He’s losing 0.24 strokes per round on approach across his last 12 rounds, including 0.19 strokes lost per round in that category last week. - McLaren

Zalatoris

I love Will Zalatoris and believe his first win isn't far away; it may even come this week, but I can't get to him at this number. 

We discussed above how driving accuracy is important at this track, and Zalatoris currently ranks 112th on tour in good drives gained.  Additionally, there will be an emphasis on putting and that's an area Zalatoris struggles in, ranking 125th on Tour. He is undoubtedly one of the most talented players on Tour, but I believe there are better setups for him. 

If anything, if he struggles early like last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, he may be worth a sprinkle at a longer number, so keep an eye out after the opening round. - Anderson

Where to Bet on the Wyndham Championship

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

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