Wings vs. Dream Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Aug. 29
The Atlanta Dream (24-14) will begin a favorable finish to their regular season by hosting the Dallas Wings (9-30) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday in Gateway Center Arena (TV: ION). My Wings vs. Dream prediction expects Atlanta to take care of business.
Coming off a six-point loss to the Las Vegas Aces, Atlanta won’t play another playoff team the rest of the regular season. The Dream can climb back up to the No. 2 seed by the start of the playoffs.
However, that also means the Dream won’t have to work as hard to earn six more victories. That’s why I’m targeting Atlanta’s team total and Naz Hillmon’s rebounding prop for my WNBA picks.
🏀 Wings vs. Dream expert picks & predictions
WNBA expert picks made Thursday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Dream ML (-699 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Wings +11.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 164 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
📝 Wings vs. Dream preview & best bet
⬇️ Dream Under 88.5 points (-125 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
ESPN BET is the only shop with Atlanta’s team total as of this writing, but I like the Under at 87.5 or better for a four-star play. The Dream haven’t scored more than 88 points in any of the three head-to-head meetings with the Wings this season, averaging 75.3 points per contest.
Coach Karl Smesko has helped lift the Dream offensively in his first season at the helm. They rank third in offensive rating this year after being last in 2024. However, they have been more efficient than anything else. Atlanta is 12th in the league in pace.
As a result, the Dream are 20-16-2 to the Under this year. They have had nine straight games finish below the closing total, with only one of those contests featuring a total higher than Friday’s line.
While I see value in the full-game Under, I prefer targeting the Dream’s team total instead. They might be able to pull their starters in the fourth quarter, increasing our chances of getting this ticket to the window for an $8 profit on a $10 bet.
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💰 Best Wings vs. Dream player prop bet
⬆️ Naz Hillmon Over 5.5 rebounds (-138 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Naz Hillmon grabbed just one rebound in her previous matchup against Dallas on July 30. I don’t believe that will happen again, particularly given her recent form since joining Atlanta’s starting lineup.
Hillmon has started all 11 games for the Dream this month. She’s cleared this rebound line nine different times, averaging 9.3 boards per game. This is my favorite way to have action on Friday’s matchup, as a $10 bet nets a $7.25 profit.
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📊 Wings vs. Dream odds: Aug. 29
WNBA odds update live in real time.
📈 Wings vs. Dream betting odds analysis
The Dream opened as 11.5-point favorites against the Wings. Because Paige Bueckers hasn’t played since Sunday, her status will determine which way this line moves ahead of tipoff. If she’s ruled out, Atlanta will become a bigger home favorite.
🔢 Wings vs. Dream stats
Season stats courtesy of WNBA.com.
| Dallas Wings (9-30) | Statistic (per game) | Atlanta Dream (24-14) |
|---|---|---|
| -7 | Net rating | +7.1 |
| 101.7 | Offensive rating | 106.4 |
| 108.7 | Defensive rating | 99.3 |
| 81.8 | Points | 83 |
| 87.8 | Points allowed | 77.1 |
| 35.5 | Rebounds | 36.6 |
| 20.1 | Assists | 20.9 |
| 14.1 | Turnovers | 12.9 |
| 42.1% | FG% | 43.6% |
| 31.3% | 3PT% | 32.7% |
🚑 Wings vs. Dream injuries
📺 Wings vs. Dream game info
- When: Friday, Aug. 29
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Gateway Center Arena (Atlanta)
- How to watch: ION
💡 Expert WNBA predictions Friday
- Wings vs. Dream
- Fever vs. Sparks
❓ Wings vs. Dream FAQs
Who is favored to win Wings vs. Dream?
The Dream are -750 favorites to defeat the Wings, for an implied probability of 88.24%.
What is the spread for Wings vs. Dream?
Atlanta is an 11.5-point favorite against Dallas on Friday.
What is the Over/Under for Wings vs. Dream?
The total for Wings vs. Dream is 164.
What are the best bets for Wings vs. Dream?
The best bets for Wings vs. Dream are Atlanta Under 88.5 points and Over 5.5 rebounds for Naz Hillmon.
When is the Wings vs. Dream game?
Tipoff for Friday’s Wings-Dream battle is 7:30 p.m. ET in Gateway Center Arena.
How do WNBA odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -5.5 must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +5.5 must win outright or lose by 5 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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