Lynx vs. Aces Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 4
The Las Vegas Aces (26-14) put their 12-game win streak on the line against the league's best team when the Minnesota Lynx (32-8) come to town at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday from T-Mobile Arena (Amazon Prime).
All good things must come to an end, as explained in my Lynx vs. Aces prediction.
Minnesota is a 1-point favorite after defeating Las Vegas in six straight head-to-head meetings since last June. That was top of mind when I made my WNBA picks for this game, along with Napheesa Collier needing to put the finishing touches on her MVP campaign.
🏀 Lynx vs. Aces expert picks & predictions
WNBA expert picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Lynx ML (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Lynx -1 (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 164.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
📝 Lynx vs. Aces preview & best bet
🐅 Lynx -1 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Aces’ last defeat came against the Lynx on Aug. 2, so it’s essential to recall what happened in that matchup. Minnesota shellacked Las Vegas for a 111-58 victory, easily covering the 4.5-point spread on the road.
Much has changed since that blowout performance, but I’m betting the Lynx are still clearly better than the Aces. After all, Minnesota has recorded double-digit wins in its last six clashes with Las Vegas. The Lynx have posted a 32.6-point average margin of victory during the season series against the Aces thus far.
Las Vegas hasn’t played since last Wednesday, which could hinder the team given its recent strong performances.
There's not much for the Lynx to play for during these final days of the regular season. However, this is a chance for Collier to remove any doubt about her MVP candidacy while sweeping A’ja Wilson's club in the season series.
I expect Minnesota to be motivated on Thursday to remind everyone of its dominance. A $10 bet to lay the short spread would lead to a $9.52 profit at one of our best sports betting sites.
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💰 Best Lynx vs. Aces player prop bet
⬆️ Napheesa Collier Over 21.5 points (-122) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Collier has been building on her lead as the MVP favorite since returning from injury on Aug. 24. She scored 32 points in her first game back and has cleared this scoring prop twice in the veteran's last four outings.
She's only logged one game in which the forward played 20-plus minutes against the Aces, which is when Collier scored 25 points on 7-of-12 shooting. I expect Collier to clear this scoring prop and reach her season average of 23.5 points per game if she's on the floor for a normal workload.
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📊 Lynx vs. Aces odds: Sept. 4
WNBA odds update live in real time.
📈 Lynx vs. Aces betting odds analysis
Minnesota begins as a 1-point favorite against Las Vegas. Despite the Aces’ win streak and extended break before this matchup, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Lynx receive more action ahead of Thursday’s tipoff.
🔢 Lynx vs. Aces stats
Season stats courtesy of WNBA.com.
| Lynx | Statistic (per game) | Aces |
| +13.1 | Net rating | +1.7 |
| 110.5 | Offensive rating | 104.5 |
| 97.4 | Defensive rating | 102.8 |
| 87 | Points | 82.7 |
| 76.7 | Points allowed | 81.6 |
| 34.2 | Rebounds | 33.7 |
| 23.6 | Assists | 18.9 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13.2 |
| 47.4 | FG% | 43.1 |
| 38.4 | 3PT% | 34 |
🚑 Lynx vs. Aces injuries
📺 Lynx vs. Aces game info
- When: Thursday, Sept. 4
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
- How to watch: Amazon Prime
Who is favored to win Lynx vs. Aces?
The Lynx are -120 favorites to defeat the Aces, giving them an implied probability of 54.55%.
What is the spread for Lynx vs. Aces?
Minnesota is a 1-point road favorite against Las Vegas on Thursday.
What is the Over/Under for Lynx vs. Aces?
The total for the Lynx vs. Aces game is 164.5.
What are the best bets for Lynx vs. Aces?
My best bets for Lynx vs. Aces are Minnesota -1 and Napheesa Collier Over 21.5 points.
When is the Lynx vs. Aces game?
Tipoff for Thursday’s Lynx vs. Aces matchup is set for 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime.
How do WNBA odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -5.5 must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +5.5 must win outright or lose by 5 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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