Fever vs. Mercury Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Tonight: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 2
The question of the day in the WNBA in my Fever vs. Mercury prediction is: Can Phoenix remain hot and extend their win streak to five, as they face the Indiana at 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV) at the PHX Arena?
There are good reasons to back the home-standing Mercury tonight, even as a 7.5-point favorite, but I prefer fading Indiana’s team total to lead Tuesday’s WNBA picks. As a related wager, I’m betting against Aliyah Boston’s points and assists prop in this matchup.
🏀 Fever vs. Mercury expert picks & predictions
WNBA expert picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Mercury ML (-290 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Mercury -6.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 166.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Fever vs. Mercury preview & best bet
⬇️Fever team total Under 79.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Indiana’s offense has taken a step back in recent games. The Fever were held to 63 points in a loss to the Golden State Valkyries on Sunday, and only scored 76 points in a win over the Los Angeles Sparks on Friday.
I expect that trend to continue against Phoenix. The Mercury rank third in defensive rating and fourth in opponent scoring this season. They’ve held three different teams to fewer than 80 points during their current four-game win streak.
These two teams last faced off on Aug. 7. Phoenix crushed Indiana in that matchup, earning a 95-60 victory. I won’t bank on Tuesday’s tilt being that lopsided, but I don’t see how the Fever find much offensive success with their current personnel.
This total is painted 79.5 across the board, but BetMGM’s offering provides a $9.09 profit on a $10 wager.
Up To $1,500 First Bet
Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
💰 Best Fever vs. Mercury player prop bet
⬇️ Aliyah Boston Under 18.5 points + assists (-130) ⭐⭐⭐
Aliyah Boston was held to four points and three assists against Golden State in Sunday’s loss. She finished with four points and three assists against Phoenix on Aug. 7.
Boston’s scoring average has dropped when playing on the road this year, averaging 13.8 points in away games compared to an average of 17 at home. The Mercury make life difficult for opposing players, so I’ll fade Boston in this spot with a $10 wager for a $7.69 profit at FanDuel.
Bet $5, Win $300 in Bonus Bets
New customers only. Min. first deposit and wager of $5+. Bonus bets are awarded within 72 hours of winning your first wager. T&Cs apply.
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
📊 Fever vs. Mercury odds: Sept. 2
WNBA odds update live in real time.
📈 Fever vs. Mercury betting odds analysis
The Mercury started as a 6.5-point betting favorite, but the line has climbed to 7.5 at most of the best sports betting sites. I don’t know if the spread will move much further, as 53% of the bets have come in on Phoenix as of this writing.
🔢 Fever vs. Mercury stats
Season stats courtesy of WNBA.com.
| Fever (21-19) | Statistic (per game) | Mercury (25-14) |
|---|---|---|
| +3.2 | Net rating | +4.2 |
| 105.6 | Offensive rating | 103.8 |
| 102.4 | Defensive rating | 99.6 |
| 84.5 | Points | 83.1 |
| 82.2 | Points allowed | 79.6 |
| 33.6 | Rebounds | 34.6 |
| 20.4 | Assists | 20.8 |
| 14.3 | Turnovers | 13.6 |
| 45.3 | FG% | 43.4 |
| 33.8 | 3PT% | 34.2 |
🚑 Fever vs. Mercury injuries
📺 Fever vs. Mercury game info
- When: Tuesday, Sept. 2
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: PHX Arena (Phoenix)
- How to watch: NBA TV
❓ Fever vs. Mercury FAQs
Who is favored to win Fever vs. Mercury?
The Mercury are -300 favorites to defeat the Fever at home on Tuesday.
What is the spread for Fever vs. Mercury?
Phoenix is a 7.5-point favorite against Indiana at PHX Arena.
What is the Over/Under for Fever vs. Mercury?
The total for Tuesday’s Fever-Mercury matchup is 166.5.
What are the best bets for Fever vs. Mercury?
My Fever vs. Mercury best bets suggest fading Indiana’s team total (79.5) and Aliyah Boston’s points and assists prop (18.5).
When is the Fever vs. Mercury game?
Tipoff for Fever vs. Mercury is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday on NBA TV.
How do WNBA odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -5.5 must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +5.5 must win outright or lose by 5 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
