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Trump vs. Biden Golf Challenge Odds: Will Presidential Race Take to Golf Course?

Esten McLaren

Last Updated: July 3, 2024 3:50 PM EDT • 1 min 51 sec read.

Former President Donald Trump gestures to the crowd as we look at the Trump vs. Biden golf challenge odds
Former President Donald Trump gestures to the crowd as Bubba Watson tees off on one during the final round of the LIV Golf Bedminster golf tournament at Trump National Bedminster. Photo by Danielle Parhizkaran/NorthJersey.com / USA TODAY NETWORK.

If the 2024 U.S. presidential election didn't already have high enough stakes, odds have been set by an Ontario sports betting site for a hypothetical golf match between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Silly season is about to get whole lot sillier.

The first debate between Donald Trump and incumbent president Joe Biden drastically shook up the U.S. presidential election odds across our best sportsbooks in Canada. One of those books, Sports Interaction, is raising the bar by offering odds for an 18-hole head-to-head golf match between the Republican and Democratic hopefuls.

We need to preface that while the betting market states that the match must take place before the end of the 2024 calendar year, it's highly unlikely this match will ever see the light of day.

Some may be right to think that the 81-year-old Biden and 78-year-old Trump are better suited for the golf course, but just over four months away from election day, both candidates still have all of their focus on the 2024 U.S. election.

Lowest round of golf head-to-head

Odds via Sports Interaction Ontario as of July 3.

GolferOddsImplied probability
Donald Trump-333397.09%
Joe Biden+12007.69%

The odds heavily favor Trump to win this hypothetical golf match with an implied probability of 97.09% all but assuring an easy victory.

The concept of this match began during the June 27 debate between the two presidential candidates. During said debate, Biden boasted about his 6 handicap (last updated six years ago). Trump countered that he is currently a 2.5 handicap (meaning he would shoot two or three strokes over par, on average, regardless of the course).

The former president added, "I’m in very good health. I just won two club championships, not even senior, two regular club championships."

So, while these odds may accurately portray the differences between a 2.5 and 6 handicap, non-golf fans need to note that golf scores are only as accurate as those who are recording them are honest.

Most importantly, for our purposes, it would take a $3,300 bet on Trump to return a profit of $100 with a victory on the links.

One would also need to invest that capital without any promise of the "event" taking place, and wait until the end of the calendar year for a refund when bets are ultimately voided with no golf played between the two.

If only this election race was as hypothetical as this novelty betting market.

2024 presidential election betting odds pages

Republican presidential oddsDonald Trump oddsDemocratic presidential oddsMichelle Obama odds

Here are our best political betting sites:

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Written By:
Esten McLaren
Esten is the Senior Publishing Editor for SportsbookReview.com. He has been in the sports betting industry since the legalization of mobile sports betting in New Jersey, and with SportsbookReview prior to the launch of sports betting in Ontario. Esten's previous stops include the USA TODAY network, including GolfWeek. He previously worked in the fantasy sports industry, with FNTSY Sports Network, theScore, and USA TODAY. Esten graduated from the College of Sports Media with a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting after acquiring a degree in Biological Sciences from the University of Guelph. He has appeared on FNTSY Sports Network, VSiN, and VSiN's Long Shots podcast, where he correctly called Will Zalatoris as the winner of the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship. Esten is a big proponent of the entertainment side of sports betting and loves to dip his toes into the novelty and alt-markets while chasing long shots with reduced wagers on golf outrights and futures markets. He's also been known to sprinkle some lunch money on touchdown-scorer parlays with two notable hits still funding his bankroll. Esten looks at sports betting much like golf and advises beginner bettors to compete against themselves rather than being concerned with what others may or may not be doing based on social media claims.