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Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark dribbles the ball during a WNBA game between the Indiana Fever and New York Liberty. We're breaking down Clark's matchup in our Sun vs. Fever Predictions.
Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark dribbles the ball during a WNBA game between the Indiana Fever and New York Liberty. Photo by Angela Weiss via AFP.

Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever hope to get their first win of the season against the Connecticut Sun, and we're offering our top Sun vs. Fever predictions based on the best WNBA odds.

It's been a tough start to the season for Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever, who have yet to win a game. The 0-3 Fever now must try to get their first win against the Connecticut Sun, a WNBA championship odds contender.

It's been a challenging start to the season for Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever, who remain winless at 0-3. The Fever will now attempt to secure their first victory against the Connecticut Sun, a strong contender by the WNBA championship odds.

With the game set for at 7 p.m. ET tip-off on ESPN from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Clark will need to elevate her performance to prove she was deserving of having the fourth-shortest WNBA MVP odds. However, this will be a tough task against All-Star Alyssa Thomas and the Sun, who enter the game as 6.5-point favorites.

Here are our best Sun vs. Fever predictions (odds via our best sports betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Sun vs. Fever expert picks

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Sun vs. Fever predictions for Monday

Caitlin Clark Over 3.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐

To ask a rookie to step into a professional league and play at an MVP level right away is just flat out unfair. The expectations put on Clark entering the season were ridiculous, and of course she's taking her lumps early and having issues with turnovers.

But for all her struggles, she's not backing down and seems to have the green light from coach Christie Sides. Clark is already third in the WNBA in 3-point attempts per game (9.3) and tied for fourth in made threes (3.0). While she's shooting just 32.1% from deep, she's coming off a 4-for-10 performance. 

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For as ferocious of a defense as the Sun have, they're allowing opponents to hit 40.5% from three to start the season. These odds imply a 55.56% probability she hits the Over, according to our odds converter, with a $10 bet paying out $18.

Best odds: -125 via BetMGM

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Caitlin Clark Under 31.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While I'm expecting Clark to get into a rhythm from behind the arc, this will still be a blood bath for her against Connecticut. The Sun finished first in points allowed last season (79.0) and second in defensive rating (100.7), and with Thomas leading the charge, they're once again allowing the fewest points in the league (74.0).

Even as Clark comes off a 22-point, 8-assist, 6-rebound game against the New York Liberty, she's been turnover-prone and is struggling to look confident with the ball in her hands. Connecticut is only allowing opponents to hit 17.5 twos per game and ranks first in rebounds allowed (28.0) and fifth in assists allowed (19.0).

Not to mention, the Fever rank last in points per game (72.3) and offensive rating (90.2). These odds imply a 53.49% probability the Under hits with a $10 bet leading to an $8.70 profit.

Best odds: -115 via bet365

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Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

You don't get nicknamed "the Engine" by playing with a motor that runs cold. Thomas is among the most tantalizing players in the WNBA to watch because of her feistiness, physicality, and all-around skill set. She's a WNBA MVP candidate and still she somehow feels underrated.

The four-time All-Star is in for a field day against this struggling Fever squad, especially after she's already logged a triple-double and double-double to start the year. Thomas led the league in rebounds per game last season (9.9) and is coming off 10- and 11-rebound performances in the first two games of the season.

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Between the Fever's penchant for missing shots - creating more rebounding opportunities - and ranking last in rebounds per game (29.3), Thomas should own the boards. These odds imply a 54.55% probability the prop hits and a $10 bet pays out $18.33.

Best odds: -120 via bet365

Sun vs. Fever info & odds

  • When: Monday, May 20
  • Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Favorite: Sun -6.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Connecticut Sun-6.5 (-110)-6.5 (-110)-6.5 (-110)-6.5 (-115)-6.5 (-115)
Indiana Fever+6.5 (-110)+6.5 (-110)+6.5 (-110)+6.5 (-105)+6.5 (-105)

Sun-Fever predictions made Monday at 10 a.m. ET.

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