2025 NASCAR AI Picks at Watkins Glen Today: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for Go Bowling at The Glen

Our NASCAR AI predictions seek to tally another road-course victory today behind Shane van Gisbergen, the betting favorite to win the Go Bowling at The Glen when it begins around 2 p.m. ET from Watkins Glen International.

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Watkins Glen predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends. The robot offered its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver in today's 39-car field.

Along with our 2025 NASCAR predictions at Watkins Glen, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🏆 Best NASCAR bet to win at Watkins Glen

🏎️ Shane van Gisbergen

• Racing team: No. 88 (Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
• Starting position: 2nd
• Best odds: -125 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8)

✅ Why Shane van Gisbergen wins at Watkins Glen

1. Elite road course ability
SVG’s background in Australian Supercars means he’s been competing on road and street circuits his entire career, often against the toughest touring car drivers in the world. That experience gives him a natural edge in cornering precision, throttle control, and racecraft that’s directly transferable to Watkins Glen’s high-speed, flowing layout.

2. Strong starting position
Rolling off P2 is a massive advantage here - Watkins Glen tends to string out quickly, and early track position is critical. By starting on the front row, SVG can focus on running his preferred line immediately rather than burning up his tires or brakes trying to slice through traffic.

3. Proven NASCAR road success
In just a handful of NASCAR starts, SVG already has multiple Cup Series road course wins and even more front-running performances. Even against drivers with years of Glen experience, his adaptability and raw pace make him one of the few who can realistically control the race from start to finish.

🔢 AI simulation for Shane van Gisbergen

• Projected finish: 1st
• Simulated odds to win: 65%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (3 out of 5 stars)

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🎯 Best NASCAR prop bet at Watkins Glen

🏎️ AJ Allmendinger top-10 finish

• Racing team: No. 16 (Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
• Starting position: 18th
• Best odds: +250 via bet365 ($10 to win $25)

✅ Why AJ Allmendinger finishes top-10 at Watkins Glen

1. Specialist in this discipline
Allmendinger has spent the bulk of his career excelling at road courses, with multiple NASCAR wins and dozens of top-10s at these layouts. Even when Kaulig’s overall speed isn’t elite, his personal skill often elevates the car well beyond its baseline.

2. Car setup focus
Unlike many teams that balance their builds for oval performance, Kaulig Racing can afford to throw more of their development weight behind maximizing the road course package for Allmendinger. That means better braking stability, sharper turn-in, and the kind of drive-off traction needed to execute passes cleanly at Watkins Glen.

3. Track history advantage
The Glen has been one of Allmendinger’s better tracks, with multiple strong qualifying runs and finishes inside the top 10–12 range. His comfort level here allows him to be aggressive on pit strategy without fear of overstepping the car’s limits.

🔢 AI simulation for AJ Allmendinger

• Projected finish: 7th
• Simulated odds for top-10: 45%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

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🚀 Best NASCAR long shot at Watkins Glen

🏎️ Michael McDowell

• Racing team: No. 71 (Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
• Starting position: 6th
• Best odds: +1600 via BetMGM ($10 to win $160)

✅ Why Michael McDowell can win at Watkins Glen

1. Underrated road talent
McDowell doesn’t always get the same road course hype as SVG or Allmendinger, but he’s a Daytona 500 champion with a deep background in sports cars and open-wheel racing. That foundation makes him consistently dangerous at tracks like Watkins Glen.

2. Qualifying strength
Starting P6 is a great position for a driver who can run consistent laps and manage his equipment. From this spot, he can jump into the top five early and keep himself in contention through pit cycles without overtaxing his car.

3. Strategy wild card
McDowell has a knack for staying mistake-free until it matters most. In a race that often comes down to fuel mileage or restart execution, he’s one of the few long shots capable of stealing the win if the leaders falter.

🔢 AI simulation for Michael McDowell

• Projected finish: 8th
• Simulated odds to win: 7%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐ (2 out of 5 stars)

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🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted Go Bowling at The Glen finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Watkins Glen

1. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing) 🥇
2. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥈
3. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥉
4. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
5. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske)
6. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports)
7. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing)
8. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
9. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing)
10. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
11. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
12. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
13. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
14. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
15. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
16. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske)
17. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
18. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
19. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing)
20. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing)
21. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
22. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
23. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
24. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
25. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing)
26. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
27. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
28. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
29. Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing)
30. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
31. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
32. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
33. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
34. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
35. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
36. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)
37. Katherine Legge (No. 78, Live Fast Motorsports)
38. Josh Bilicki (No. 66, Garage 66)
39. J.J. Yeley (No. 44, NY Racing Team)

💰 NASCAR AI picks for Watkins Glen

📈 Go Bowling at the Glen betting insights

Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours prior to the green flag waving:

• Michael McDowell, who's our AI long-shot top pick to win the race, is drawing the highest ticket percentage at 7.2%
• Shane van Gisbergen, who will start on the front row, is getting by far the highest percentage of the handle at 55.6%
• Long shot Connor Zilisch is receiving the second-highest handle percentage at 11.5%

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