Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis Odds, Updated Betting Lines & Pick to Win: Paul's Odds Shortening

Last Updated: October 1, 2025 7:53 AM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

There's just over a month to go until Gervonta "Tank" Davis and Jake "El Gallo" Paul fight on Friday, Nov. 14 at Kaseya in Miami, and the Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis odds and betting lines are getting tighter.
Paul is now listed as the +125 underdog, representing an implied win probability of 44.44% against the more accomplished boxer. That movement has come after the date and location of the fight was changed as Georgia officials refused to approve the event due to the size difference between Paul (cruiserweight) and Davis (lightweight).
Watch Paul vs. Davis on Netflix as part of your streaming subscription on Nov. 14.
📊 Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis betting odds
Here are the latest Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis betting odds as of Wednesday, Oct. 1:
Fighter | Odds | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Jake Paul | +125 | $12.50 |
Gervonta Davis | -165 | $6.06 |
The opening Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis odds showed Paul as a significant underdog. This is a rare occurrence for the former YouTuber as he takes on a more experienced and only 30-year-old opponent (also a rare occurrence). The Paul vs. Davis are moving toward El Gallo, however, as is often the case with his fights.
The more public figure draws the lion's share of betting action. It's also important to recognize that this isn't a professional bout.

🔮 Who will win Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis?
Here is my best bet for the Nov. 14 fight between Paul and Davis at State Farm Arena in Miami.
Jake Paul to win (+125)
In case you're new to Jake Paul's version of "boxing", he doesn't "fight" to lose.
The former YouTuber purposefully selects his opponents, and he's rarely the betting underdog by the time the fight begins. Many are also noting the size difference following a New York press conference, where it was also announced the weight limit for the fight would be 195 pounds. Paul typically fights at heavyweight, while Davis is a lightweight.
Though Davis is the most accomplished (active) fighter Paul has faced - no, I don't count Paul's win over the 59-year-old Mike Tyson - Paul is nearly eight inches taller and 60 pounds heavier. Though Davis is one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the sport, I have my doubts that'll be enough to overcome the sheer size difference.
Especially in an exhibition bout.
🥊 Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis tale of the tape
Here is a look at how Jake Paul and Gervonta Davis match up ahead of their Nov. 14 exhibition match:
Jake Paul | Gervonta Davis | |
---|---|---|
28 | Age | 30 |
12-1 | Record | 30-0-1 |
6-foot-1 | Height | 5-foot-5 |
76 inches | Reach | 67 inches |
199.4 | Last weigh-in | 133.8 |
Paul has advantages over Davis in the following:
- Age
- Height
- Reach
- Weight
Paul last defeated Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., via unanimous decision in late June. Davis is the No. 3-ranked lightweight following his March 1 draw against Lamont Roach Jr. He has never lost.
📜 Full Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis fight card
Here is the full Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis fight card from Most Valuable Promotions for their Nov. 14 fight in Miami:
- Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis (exhibition)
- Alycia Baumgardner vs. Leila Beaudoin (IBF and WBO women's super featherweight titles)
- Gary Russell vs. Andy Hiraoka (WBA super lightweight)
- Ellie Scotney vs. Mayelli Flores (WBA, WBC, IBF, and WBO super lightweight titles)
- Yokasta Valle vs. Yadria Bustillos (WBC strawweight title)
- Avious Griffin vs. Cesar Francis (N/A)
📺 How to watch Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis
- When: Friday, Nov. 14
- Time: 5 p.m. ET (undercard)
- Where: Kaseya Center (Miami)
- How to watch: Netflix
- Favorite: Gervonta Davis (-165)
❓ Jake Paul vs. Tank Davis FAQs
Who is the favorite for Paul vs. Davis?
Tank Davis is a -165 moneyline betting favorite against Jake Paul. Those odds represent an implied win probability of 62.26%, according to our odds converter.
When is the Paul vs. Davis fight?
Paul vs. Davis will take place on Friday, Nov. 14.
Where is the Paul vs. Davis fight?
Paul vs. Davis will take place at Kaseya Center in Miami.
How to watch Paul vs. Davis fight
Paul vs. Davis will be streamed live on Netflix and will be free for subscribers.
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