Dutch Grand Prix Prediction, Odds 2025: F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot for Sunday
Oscar Piastri will start first on the grid for Sunday's Dutch Grand Prix at Circuit Zandvoort (9 a.m. ET, ESPN) after edging out teammate Lando Norris in qualifying.
My Dutch Grand Prix odds and prediction and Dutch Grand Prix best bets headline one of the dominant McLaren drivers while offering a best value and long-shot pick.
Piastri is the clear betting favorite after winning qualifying, with his odds shifting from +150 to -190 at BetMGM. Norris' odds lengthened from +100 to +160.
π₯Dutch Grand Prix odds & favorites 2025
Dutch Grand Prix odds via BetMGM as of Sunday, Aug. 31
| Driver | BetMGM | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | -190 | 65.52% | $5.26 |
| Lando Norris | +160 | 38.46% | $16 |
| Max Verstappen | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| George Russell | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Charles Leclerc | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
| Fernando Alonso | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +25000 | 0.4% | $2,500 |
| Carlos Sainz | +25000 | 0.4% | $2,500 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +100000 | 0.1% | $10,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Alex Albon | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Oliver Bearman | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
π° Dutch Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Here are my best Dutch Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Circuit Zandvoort. It's the 15th race of the 24 scheduled for the 2025 season.
Editor's note: Picks made on Monday, Aug. 25
π Pick to win Dutch Grand Prix: Lando Norris ββββ
π Best odds: +150 via FanDuel ($10 to win $15)
π’ Implied probability: 40%
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The summer break came at the worst possible time for Lando Norris, who won three of the four races entering the hiatus. That included an improbable win in Hungary, where he held off Oscar Piastri despite running on worn and weathered tires for most of the final third of the race.
While the momentum he created would have evaporated like standing water in a desert during the nearly month-long break, Norris will still feel confident about how he was racing. For the most part, he has been the better driver since the end of May in Monaco, and he enters as the reigning Dutch Grand Prix winner.
Excluding the Monaco Grand Prix, securing pole position at Circuit Zandvoort bears arguably the most weight.
The previous four pole-sitters, including Norris last year, went on to win the race. Norris has taken two of the past four pole positions, and he'll be ready to secure his second in a row in the Netherlands.
Of our best sports betting apps, FanDuel offers the best value. With +125 odds, Caesars offers the least value.
π Best value bet to win Dutch Grand Prix: Max Verstappen βββ
π Best odds: +900 via FanDuel ($10 to win $90)
π’ Implied probability: 10%
Max Verstappen sputtered into the summer break, finishing ninth in Budapest. His best finish in the past four races was fourth, which he achieved in Belgium at the end of July. The Dutchman has been boisterous about his displeasure with his car, bemoaning it at every turn.
So, the reset couldn't have come at a better time, but does it guarantee an improved performance? Of course not. However, Verstappen has won three of the last four Dutch Grand Prix races and finished in second last year.
Circuit Zandvoort represents one of the slower tracks, where passing opportunities are limited. It's the ninth-slowest track on the circuit, with just 55% of each lap spent in full throttle. That's good news for an underperforming car, as Verstappen can bridge the gap with his experience and elite driving skills.
Qualifying is key, though.
If Verstappen can find a way to do what Charles Leclerc did in Hungary, the Dutchman could be on track to win his third race of the season. However, don't hold your breath if he doesn't capture pole. FanDuel is ahead by a nose, with the rest of our best sportsbooks offering +800 odds.
π― Best long shot to win Dutch Grand Prix: Charles Leclerc ββββ
π Best odds: +1100 via DraftKings
π’ Implied probability: 8.33%
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Charles Leclerc was angrier than a whacked wasp after the Hungarian Grand Prix. Eventually, he discovered that an issue with the chassis was to blame for the car's decrease in acceleration in the second half of the race.
Bitterly disappointed, the Ferrari driver deserved better after a brilliant qualifying, which saw him secure pole position.
Leclerc has been one of the best drivers on the grid recently, finishing third or better in four of the last seven races. He found himself hard done by in finishing fourth in Budapest after the disastrous and painfully extended tail off.
While he's not a long shot by the truest definition (i.e. the odds), Leclerc hasn't won a race all season. So, in that respect, he's the quintessential embodiment of a long-shot pick.
Leclerc finished second at the Monaco Grand Prix, inarguably the most difficult track to pass. Circuit Zandvoort is not too dissimilar, offering slightly more confidence in his chances to break the goose egg.
π Past Dutch Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last four Dutch Grand Prix winners. The 2021 edition was the first Dutch Grand Prix since 1985.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | π¬π§ Lando Norris | McLaren |
| 2023 | π³π± Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing |
| 2022 | π³π± Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing |
| 2021 | π³π± Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing |
π Dutch Grand Prix trends & history
ποΈ The first Dutch Grand Prix that was part of the Formula One World Championship was held in 1952
ποΈ Lewis Hamilton owns the fastest lap, which he set in 2021 (1 minute 11.097 seconds)
ποΈ Max Verstappen has won the most pole positions (3). He won all three of those races
ποΈ The last four pole-sitters went on to win the Grand Prix
ποΈ Jim Clark has the most Dutch Grand Prix victories (4)
ποΈ Turns 3 and 14 are particularly noteworthy, with a gradient of 19 and 18 degrees, respectively. Both are twice as steep as the corners found at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway
ποΈ The 235-meter pit lane is the shortest of the season
ποΈ It's the second-shortest track, and the race only has six fewer laps than Monaco
ποΈ Only 55% of the lap is spent at full throttle
πΊ How to watch the 2025 Dutch Grand Prix
π
Race date: Sunday, Aug. 31
π Start time: 9 a.m. ET
π Track: Circuit Zandvoort (Zandvoort, Netherlands)
πΊ TV: ESPN
π» Streaming: ESPN+
βοΈ Weather: 66 degrees, 17-mph to 23-mph winds, 40% chance of precipitation (about 1 mm)
ποΈ Dutch Grand Prix schedule
- Practice 1: Friday, Aug. 29; 6:30 a.m. ET
- Practice 2: Friday, Aug. 29; 10 a.m. ET
- Practice 3: Saturday, Aug. 30; 5:30 a.m. ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, Aug. 30; 9 a.m. ET
- Race: Sunday, Aug. 31; 9 a.m. ET
β Dutch Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Dutch Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri is the Dutch Grand Prix odds favorite, with the McLaren driver trading at -190 at BetMGM.
What are the odds for the Dutch Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri (-190), Lando Norris (+160), and Max Verstappen (+1200) are getting the shortest odds to win the Dutch Grand Prix at BetMGM.
What time is the 2025 Dutch Grand Prix?
The Dutch Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 31.
How to watch the 2025 Dutch Grand Prix
You can watch the Dutch Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Dutch Grand Prix races?
Jim Clark has the most Dutch Grand Prix victories (4).
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