Alouettes vs. Stampeders, Odds & CFL Best Bets: July 24

The Calgary Stampeders are in the rare position of being favorites entering Thursday's game against the Montreal Alouettes. Can they live up to expectations?

Matt Jacob

Last Updated: July 24, 2025 7:00 AM EDT • 5 minute read

It’s a battle of the top two teams on the Grey Cup odds leaderboard, as the Calgary Stampeders host the Montreal Alouettes at McMahon Stadium tonight at 9 p.m. ET (TSN/RDS).

Our Alouettes vs. Stampeders prediction focus on Calgary's chances of securing another lopsided win. The Stampeders are the 6.5-point betting favorites at our best sports betting sites.

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✅ Moneyline pick: Stampeders (-285 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Stampeders -6.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 49.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐

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✅ Moneyline pick: Stampeders will win (-285 via FanDuel)

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For the first time this season, Montreal will take the field as an underdog. And for the first time in a month — just the second time this year — Calgary will take the field as a favorite (and a sizable one at that). That suggests there could be solid moneyline value on the visiting Alouettes.

So, too, does the fact that the underdog has sprung an upset in each of Calgary’s last seven games.

However, the Stampeders recorded six of those upsets, all by double digits.

Their last two victories in the current three-game winning streak have seen them outscore Winnipeg and Saskatchewan by a combined 112-46. We’re not stepping in front of that freight train — and suggest you don’t, either.

💰 Alouettes vs. Stampeders prediction & CFL best bet

🐎 Stampeders -6.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 pays $9.52)

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Not only have the Stampeders been annihilating their competition, but all five of their victories have come as underdogs. They blasted Saskatchewan twice (27-12 and 24-10) as an underdog of 5 and 6.5 points; they crushed Winnipeg twice (37-16 and 41-20), both times as a 4.5-point pup; and they hammered Hamilton 38-26 as a 3-point ’dog.

Granted, Calgary’s lone loss came in its only game as a favorite (20-12 to lowly Ottawa as a 3-point chalk — and that was at home). It was an inexcusable defeat, the only time they didn't score at least 24 points.

Remove the Ottawa stinker, and Calgary is averaging 33.8 points, which would lead the CFL. The Stampeders still field the league’s second-best scoring offense (and the No. 1 total offense).

On the other side of the ball, Calgary is allowing just 18.5 points per game — 4.3 points fewer than the next-best defense.

Granted, that next-best defense is Montreal.

The Alouettes, however, escaped with a 26-25 home win over Toronto last week as a 9.5-point home favorite and have allowed an average of 27.3 points in their last four contests. That includes a 35-17 loss to Hamilton in their most recent road trip.

Throw in the fact that Montreal quarterback Davis Alexander (hamstring) will miss his third game in the last four weeks, and this looks like a fourth straight comfortable Calgary triumph — this one in the neighborhood of 29-17.

👀 Star player prop to watch

Alouettes vs. Stampeders Prediction, Odds & CFL Best Bet: July 24 — Pictured: Calgary Stampeders running back Dedrick Mills celebrates touchdown as we offer our Alouettes vs. Stampeders Prediction. Photo by Sergei Belski via Imagn Images

Dedrick Mills Under 77.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -115 via DraftKings ($10 pays $8.70)

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Calgary’s Dedrick Mills is not only the CFL’s second-leading rusher (466 yards), but he’s cleared 80 yards in four of six games this season. Even in one of his “off” performances — last week’s 41-20 rout at Winnipeg — he logged 70 yards on 13 carries.

So why fade Mills here?

Because he’s facing the league’s No. 1 run defense. Montreal surrenders just 69.8 ground yards per game. Making that stat even more impressive: Seven of the CFL’s eight other teams are allowing at least 89 rushing yards per outing.

Also, there’s tremendous value on this player prop at DraftKings, where Mills’ rushing number (77.5 yards) is 7 yards higher than at FanDuel.

🏈 Alouettes vs. Stampeders odds

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Written by:
Matt Jacob

Matt Jacob is a freelance writer and editor with more than three decades of professional experience working for an array of print and digital employers and clients. He first dove into the sports betting space in 2005 as a full-time handicapper and content producer. In addition to picking games 363 days a year, Matt wrote daily betting previews for all major professional and college sports, with those previews published (unbylined) on Yahoo’s website. He has since produced sports betting-related articles and picks pieces for outlets such as Forbes and the Philadelphia Inquirer. While Matt also has vast TV, radio and webcast experience, he is perhaps the only individual in the sports betting ecosystem without a podcast (for now, anyway). Instead, Matt’s opinions and borderline unhealthy fascination with betting trends can be found on Twitter @MattRJacob. As for actual wagering, Matt believes strongly in a longstanding principle: Only bet what you can afford to lose. Because in an industry where even the best of the best succeed less than 60% of the time, you’re going to lose … a lot. And the graduate of San Diego State University - aka “The Harvard of the West” - has shoeboxes full of losing tickets to prove it.