Archers vs. Redwoods PLL Picks: Upset Brewing in Quarterfinal Round?
In the second game of the PLL quarterfinals at Gillette Stadium this Saturday, the No. 3 seeded Archers take on No. 6 Redwoods. We have the highlighted odds and best picks for the second installment of the quarterfinals with our Archers-Redwoods picks.
These two met once in the regular season, in a 10-9 victory for the Archers right before the All-Star break in Minneapolis. A tough loss against a worthy opponent, the defeat seemed to turn the tide in the Redwoods locker room for a much better second-half performance.
When the Archers’ offense is locked in, they’re without a doubt the most dangerous offense in the league. They rank second in the league in scoring and are No. 1 in assists.
The Redwoods got off to a franchise-worst 1-4 start to the year, including that one-goal loss to the Archers. They've since won three of their last five.
The Archers have yet to make a deep playoff run in their team’s history. The Redwoods have plenty of playoff experience, but have they come far enough since that 10-9 loss on July 2 to take down the Archers this time around?
Here are my Archers-Redwoods PLL picks and predictions for Saturday’s playoff contest (odds via Caesars Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook).
Archers vs. Redwoods Game Info
Date/Time: Saturday, Sept. 3, 2:30 p.m. ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Weather: 84 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, 9-mph wind
Archers vs. Redwoods Picks
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Archers vs. Redwoods ML Pick
Redwoods (+145)
Both teams have improved since their previous meeting. For the Archers, it’s been Grant Ament's return to the lineup that has made the difference. The reigning Attackman of the Year might not be having the season he was last year, but he’s another offensive weapon defenses have to pay attention to. That attack group, which also features Marcus Holman and Will Manny, forces defenses to make very difficult decisions. We’ve seen the short stick on Manny quite a bit as he’s slowed down since his dominating first half, but he’s still dangerous every time the ball is in his stick.
There's a whole new feel to this Redwoods offense than we’ve seen in years past. Rob Pannell quarterbacked the unit in the second half of the season and he hasn’t gone a game without at least three points since the one-goal loss to the Archers. He can do damage as a goal-scorer and as a feeder. He single-handedly can change the game for the Redwoods.
Charlie Bertrand’s also emerged as an offensive weapon for the Woods. He had a solid rookie season last year, but the midfielder’s been enjoying a breakout year this season. He’s recorded at least one goal in the last seven games and has been a mainstay on SportsCenter Top 10 this season, with a handful of highlight-reel worthy goals. He’s brought a new life to the Redwoods midfield that in prior seasons relied so heavily on the production of Myles Jones and Sergio Perkovic. The Woods are sharing the ball and getting creative with it rather than relying on star power.
After suffering a one-goal loss the first time around with an offense that wasn’t gelling like it is now, I’m giving the Woods the upset here. While TD Ierlan might not have any playoff experience at the stripe, neither does Archers rookie Justin Inacio. The last time these two met, Ierlan won 61% of the faceoffs and 60% of the clamps. If Ierlan can do that again, that one extra possession can make all the difference for the Redwoods. Any chance to get the ball away from the Archers offense is key.
Archers vs. Redwoods ATS Pick
Redwoods +1.5 (-105)
I expect it to be a one-goal game again. Though I am taking the Redwoods to upset the Archers, if they do lose, it’ll be another close margin. Historically speaking, the Redwoods have been involved in all three one-goal playoff elimination games in the PLL, and have lost them all, per Dan Arestia.
The Woods are in a much better place now than they were on July 2 and they were still able to pull within one against a hot Archers team. I don’t see that changing in a playoff game given their history, as well as the Archers’ own playoff struggles.
Archers vs. Redwoods O/U Pick
Over 24.5 goals (-115)
The Over/Under odds were set at -115 for both sides at both sportsbooks because this really is a coin flip. While there were just 19 goals scored the last time these two teams met, the Redwoods were held to single digits. The Woods offense has improved since then.
The Archers are the second-highest scoring team in the league and are tough to stop when they get going. It really is a toss-up, but I’m taking the Over.
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Archers vs. Redwoods picks from 9/01/2022 at 11 a.m. ET.
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