Rangers vs. Mets Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Sept. 12
In a game with playoff implications, my Rangers vs. Mets prediction is banking on Texas earning a pivotal win. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday at Citi Field on MLB Network.
The Rangers are two games back of the final wild-card spot in the American League, while the Mets are holding onto a 1.5-game lead for the No. 6 seed in the National League. New York is a slight -118 favorite at home, suggesting value on the road underdog for Friday’s MLB picks.
In addition, I like backing Texas right-hander Jacob deGrom in his first start at Citi Field since 2022.
⚾ Rangers vs. Mets prediction
MLB odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Rangers moneyline (-102 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Rangers +1.5 (-225 via Caesars) ⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-119 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Rangers vs. Mets preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🔥 Rangers to win (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Starting with the most critical factor, the Rangers should be the favorites in this game. Ballpark Pal’s model projects a 52.8% chance of victory, suggesting a fair price of -112. I’ll gladly take the -102 price tag, cashing a profit of $9.80 on a $10 bet.
With that out of the way, allow me to focus on the narrative aspect: There is no way I’m passing up the opportunity to back Jacob deGrom in this spot. He’s returning to the place where he spent the first nine years of his MLB career.
So far this season, deGrom is 11-7 with a 2.78 ERA in 27 starts. He’s given up only eight earned runs across his past 27 innings, so I’ll bank on him maintaining that form against a New York team that has lost six straight games.
💰 Best Rangers vs. Mets player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Jacob deGrom Over 15.5 outs (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I’m counting on some adrenaline and familiarity helping deGrom stay in the game to record an extra out or two. It’s certainly worth taking the +110 price tag at bet365, as a $10 bet earns a profit of $11.
In 27 starts, deGrom has recorded 16-plus outs 18 times. He’s pitched as many as eight innings against the Houston Astros on May 15. He’s cleared this prop just twice in his past six starts, creating a good opportunity to buy the discount.
📊 Rangers vs. Mets odds: Sept. 12
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Rangers vs. Mets betting odds analysis
This game opened as a coin flip, but the Mets are trading as high as -118 to win Friday’s opener. The total started at a flat eight before dropping overnight. I’d be surprised if the odds move much further in either market, but I like Texas and the Under at the current price.
🔢 Rangers vs. Mets stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Rangers (77-70) | Statistic (per game) | Mets (76-71) |
|---|---|---|
| 4.29 | Runs | 4.72 |
| 7.9 | Hits | 8.4 |
| .236 | AVG | .250 |
| .387 | SLG | .427 |
| .692 | OPS | .755 |
| 3.43 | ERA | 4.02 |
| 8.4 | K/9 | 8.8 |
| 2.9 | BB/9 | 3.6 |
| 1.1 | HR/9 | 0.9 |
🚑 Rangers vs. Mets injuries
📺 Rangers vs. Mets game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 12
- First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field (Flushing, N.Y.)
- How to watch: MLB Network
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❓ Rangers vs. Mets FAQs
Who is favored to win Rangers vs. Mets?
The Mets are a -118 favorite to defeat the Rangers, giving them an implied probability of 54.13%.
What is the run line for Rangers vs. Mets?
New York is a -1.5 run line favorite against Texas in the series opener.
What is the Over/Under for Rangers vs. Mets?
The total for Friday’s Rangers-Mets matchup is 7.5.
What are the best bets for Rangers vs. Mets?
My bets for Rangers vs. Mets are Texas moneyline (-102) and Jacob deGrom Over 15.5 outs (+110)
When is the Rangers vs. Mets game?
First pitch for Rangers vs. Mets is 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday at Citi Field on MLB Network.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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